Packers 2023 Offense Will Keep Opponents Guessing

With so many new pieces, we don't know exactly what the Packers offense will look like this year. The upside is: neither do opponents.

Matt LaFleur was hired by the Packers in large part due to his creativity as a gameplanner and playcaller.

Over the last three years, however, the offense has seen its output drop from 509 points to 450 points to 370 points.

Maybe things were getting stale, maybe it was due to injuries, or maybe teams were picking up on the tendencies of a team that relied heavily on established veterans running a predictable system..

Whatever the reason, things should change this year.

Everyone on offense is healthy and they won't be running the same offense they ran last couple of years.

Whether you think Aaron Rodgers was running his own or offense or not, he is gone and that alone is a huge change. As good as Rodgers was, defensive coordinators had a very good understanding of his tendencies and the tendencies of the Packers offense when he was at the helm. He ran certain plays certain ways. He had specific connections with specific players.

The strongest connection of all was with Davante Adams, who is also gone.

Jordan Love is a big unknown. Not only from a talent and ability perspective, but also from a tendency perspective.

Teams don't know what he tends to do in any specific situation.

If the Packers had kept Davante Adams, teams would probably expect the young quarterback to latch on to the superstar receiver.

But the Packers don't have one receiver that stands above the rest as a superstar volume target guy.

The other tendencies of young quarterbacks is to dial in to a wide receiver they were drafted with. They build a rapport running the scout team together and create a familiarity.

That won't happen here, either.

Love wasn't drafted with other wide receivers. Last year, they drafted three receivers who all had moments to shine.

This year, the Packers drafted a couple more wide receivers to round out the corps and let their remaining veterans all go. Since none of the wide receivers have been in the league more than a year, there isn't a lot of history for opposing defensive coordinators to plan around. They won't know the quarterback's tendencies with the wide receivers and they won't even know very much about the wide receivers themselves, either.

Of course, the Packers don't just throw to their wide receivers, they throw to their tight ends, too.

The Packers also let their veteran tight ends walk in the offseason and replaced them both with rookies.

All in all, the Packers passing offense is pretty much a giant unknown for any team trying to scout them.

Green Bay has a great pair of running backs, too. They are better known commodities in this league, but the fact that the Packers have the flexibility to run with either of them, or throw to either of them, is just another example of how unpredictable this unit can be.

Throw in H-back holdover Josiah Deguara, who can function as a motion blocker, inline blocker, or pass receiver, and things get really unpredictable.

With an offense made up largely of new parts (and an offensive line that has proven capable of run blocking and pass blocking at a high level), opposing defenses have no idea what to expect.

It's time for Matt LaFleur to take advantage of that and draw up game plans that capitalize.

 

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__________________________

Bruce Irons has played, coached, and studied football for decades. Best-selling author of books such as A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Draft, A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Salary Cap, and A Fan's Guide To NFL Free Agency Hits And Misses, Bruce contributes to CheeseHeadTV and PackersForTheWin.com.

Follow Bruce Irons on Twitter at @BruceIronsNFL.

__________________________

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13 points
 

Comments (77)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Savage57's picture

July 14, 2023 at 06:13 am

Now that the Headgeneralmanagerback position is no longer a roster spot, I agree 100% with your statement, "It's time for Matt LaFleur to take advantage of that and draw up game plans that capitalize."

3 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:50 pm

Yes, now that the Hall of Fame talent is gone with his 3 seasons in a row of 13 wins, followed by a season with a broken thumb and little WR talent. I wonder how Rodgers-led offense would have looked if they had invested in new WRs and TEs his last 5 years, the way they have with this squad? Maybe that's why the offense dropped off. He had Adams and a bunch of nobodies, particularly lacking in talent at TE.

Here's hoping that a few of these shiny draft picks work out. And the last decent WR they drafted before last year was MVS, and he was a 5th rounder and a one-trick pony with drop issues. Otherwise, they had undrafted Lazard, undrafted Tonyan and not much else on the receiving depth chart. No wonder he favored Adams and struggled when Adams was gone and they made Lazard the #1.

-6 points
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coolhand's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:43 pm

Except if you go back to both the Tampa and 49ers playoff games, Rodgers ignored an open Tonyan for a TD and an open Lazard for a big play 1st down that could have won both games. I would agree though the Packers did not draft enough talented WRs or TEs over the past 4 years or so.

1 points
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Rebelgb's picture

July 14, 2023 at 03:09 pm

Yeah he won 3 MVP's and we went to 2 straight NFC Championship games. Clearly he lacked weapons...........

4 points
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NickPerry's picture

July 14, 2023 at 06:44 am

"Maybe things were getting stale, maybe it was due to injuries, or maybe teams were picking up on the tendencies of a team that relied heavily on established veterans running a predictable system."

Interesting statement but SO true... By the 2017 and 2018 seasons the Packers offense under MM was so predictable Rodgers HELPED make sure Mike McCarthy was shown the door, while complaining about the system. What's Rodgers do? He starts running a version of that offense on his own.

Never mind they completely turned it around in one year going 13-3 and then 13-3 in MLFs 2nd season running the BEST red-zone offense the NFL has seen in YEARS. Those first two seasons we saw motion, jet sweeps, play-action passing game, & creative play calling, everything a Packers fan could want or ask from an offense until some similar old habits (Davante-vision) creeped in at the worst time in the NFCCG against Tampa Bay.

In 2021 the Packers got even further away from the MFL offense but once again with the level at which Rodgers played it was hard to get upset. Again, there was LESS motion, LESS play-action, LESS creative play calling. In 2021 the Packers were WITHOUT a doubt the best team in the NFL. Once again old habits and predictability played a huge roll in losing in the playoffs. Well that and a ST unit and ST Coordinator who had no business being a ST Coordinator. By last season with no Davante, no work in the offseason with his new rookie WRs, and an offense so far away from what MLF was brought in to run, the offense was predictable for the most part and looked NOTHING like it did in 2019 or 2020.

I have faith in MLFs offense, I really do, in the OFFENSE. I have less faith in LaFleur himself but that can be nullified quickly if I see the OFFENSE we all thought would be run. There's a shit ton to be excited about with this years Packers team. It starts with what I hope will be a REBIRTH of the LaFleur offense in GB.

11 points
16.5
5.5
Guam's picture

July 14, 2023 at 07:38 am

I am really looking forward to seeing what an MLF offense looks like. The Packer offense of the last two to three years has looked nothing like a Shanahan tree offense that I thought was coming to GB with LaFleur. I expected motion, play-action and scheming WRs open and got a rehashed version of McCarthy's offense instead. I hope to see a very different offense in 2023.

12 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:42 am

The 49rs do not put their money into the RB position. They draft WR talent with One picks, were astute in their assessment of Kittle and bag a guy like McCafferty to be the wild card. Common element to their success is a 4-3/4-2 defense with High picks manning the trenches. The advantage for the Packers has been their QB. Love will have to prove he can pull it off. Shanahan got results with Purdy. Hopefully, LaFleur runs an Improved scheme, but there are holes along the offensive and defensive lines. Watson has to be the go to guy. See if Reed shows his stuff is better than Rashee Rice, or Tillman's. Doubs has the catch point ability. Can he remain healthy?

4 points
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2
WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:53 pm

Good points. GB has not invested in the TE or WR position in years, beyond Adams. Until finally last year. Now that the franchise QB is gone, now they choose to invest in the skill positions. Otherwise, they just relied on Rodgers to get it done with UDFAs.

-2 points
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GLM's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:48 pm

I wouldn't say there are holes in the trenches, but question marks. I agree we need to avoid the injury bug, especially with the O-line and Defensive front 7.

0 points
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Guam's picture

July 15, 2023 at 08:19 am

"The 49ers do not put money into the RB position."

Huh? Christian McCaffery is the highest paid RB in the NFL. The 49ers may not invest high draft picks into the RB position, but they sure invested money. The 49ers don't seem to invest much money into the QB position which allows them to invest elsewhere (particularly the defensive line).

3 points
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Leatherhead's picture

July 15, 2023 at 08:53 am

So if the Packers can get WRs with later picks, doesn't that give them a competitive advantage?

There are no holes on either line unless people get hurt. The offensive line starters are solid and better than solid. The defensive line usually plays two guys, and we have two #1 picks there. We also have some big NT types for short yardage.

1 points
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T7Steve's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:19 am

NickP, I've been complaining about predictability and non-adjustability for years.

In the McCarthy era too, he started well with the 15 or so scripted plays.

The talent on those teams walked them through the regular seasons till they hit the brick wall in the playoffs against playoff caliber coaching and talent.

As you said "until some similar old habits (Davante-vision) creeped in at the worst time in the NFCCG against Tampa Bay." That also coincided with DBs injury and how they screwed with the O-line after that. I have a hard time blaming it all on the QB, but I'm sure he was involved with deciding who played where on offense. If he could have found a way to just get a couple of first downs the special teams and defense might not have been hung out to dry in some of those games you're talking about.

3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:54 am

No valid # 2 WR. No game-changing TE. Players, not Plays...

0 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:54 pm

It's true. When they lost 5th round MVS against the Niners, they were done. They had literally nobody that could make a difference on the field besides Adams. Is it any wonder he relied on the top talent to make the plays when they needed it?

-1 points
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Tundraboy's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:32 pm

As always a straight to the heart of the matter summary NP

0 points
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stockholder's picture

July 14, 2023 at 06:54 am

We know Rodgers never had enough weapons.
We know the learning process with the Wr shuffle.
We know the changes along the OL.
We know he gave us are best chance to win.
And we can think positive about a new beginning.
But until I see it. I won’t believe it.
The NFL is a copy cat system.
What works one year, changes the next.
And usually it’s all about the $$ instead of the ring.
You can put all the Xs and Os anywhere you want.
But until these new faces show us.
Winning is just a figment of the imagination.
I get you want to capitalize on MLF, and all the changes.
Developing TALENT, is the #1 priority of every coach.
And until these players meet those expectations.
No opposing Defense is going to worry whats thrown at them.
Because it takes more than a new face. A new game plan.
To win as a team.

-11 points
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21
Renllaw's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:01 am

Davante Adams
Greg Jennings
Jordy Nelson
Donald Driver
Randall Cobb
James Jones
Jermichael Finley

Aaron Jones
James Stark
Ryan Grant
Eddie Lacy

Don't come with that Crap that Rodgers didn't have weapons.

7 points
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6
CentralPA_PackFan's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:13 am

Yes, Rodgers had way better weapons (except at TE) than Brady had to work with during his career at NE... and I say that as someone who can't stand Brady.

5 points
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stockholder's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:11 am

The super-bowl years. and After that-
You had Capers defensive failures-
And after that- a rebuild-
The weapons were needed before Love.

-3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:02 am

Moss had 50 TDs in 52 games with the Patriots, but Ted thought he was too expensive in 2007.

1 points
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Grimm's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:46 am

That narrative comes from draft status.
None of those guys were 1st round picks, so they were no good, according to some. Yet, they were some of the best at their position during their prime.
Rodgers had plenty of weapons, just not the ones arm chair GMs wanted.

7 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 01:02 pm

Since this article is about the downturn of the GBP offense the last 3 seasons, only Davante Adams (and aging Randall Cobb) are even relevant to the discussion. They did NOT replace those guys with similar talent. They relied on Rodgers to overcome defense with guys like 5th rounder MVS who had some great plays, but who was largely a one-trick pony with drops. The didn't replace Finley with any kind of TE talent, relying on undrafted free agent Robert Tonyan to be the number one. And last year? He was coming off a knee injury and they still had him as the number one. Yes, he had Aaron Jones and Davante Adams and a bunch of nobodies that last several years, and still won 13 games a season until they lost their one difference-maker Davante Adams and did not replace him.

You wonder why the offense went downhill? And why it ran through Adams? They did not invest in receiving talent for years until Rodgers was on the way out the door. THEN they start moving up in the draft to get a WR and use actual draft capital on some new TEs.

-3 points
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dobber's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:25 pm

"Yes, he had Aaron Jones and Davante Adams and a bunch of nobodies that last several years, and still won 13 games a season until they lost their one difference-maker Davante Adams and did not replace him."

They asked their HOF QB to elevate players and elevate the offense while they invested in the OL and the defense, and in 2021-2022 he showed he couldn't do it anymore. Based on what we saw from 2020 on, I ask you whether Rodgers was propping up Adams or whether Adams was propping up Rodgers. I think there's an argument for the latter.

9 points
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LeotisHarris's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:32 am

Gave you an up-vote, sh, along with the wish that you explore the writings of Elisabeth Kübler-Ross.

-1 points
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stockholder's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:35 am

This isn't about Grief or Dying.
Wasn't there a Love article already about curving Expectations?
I'm just outlining the details, and being more specific.

-1 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:10 am

Love will be compared to Herbert. He has to hit the field running and do his thing. Rodgers showed him the way. I would put all the pressure on LaFleur this season. He either has it, or move on. The only excuses offered will be for the Fans. Will THEY show up @ Lambeau to menace the opponents??

1 points
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Packers0808's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:06 pm

And we knew you would come on with same baby crying repetitive bullshit as usual!

-2 points
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ReaganRulz's picture

July 15, 2023 at 07:55 am

Just imagine what he could have done if he would have worked with the younger players more instead of ignoring them until he deemed them relevant. Funny how he’s changed his tune with the Jets.

2 points
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MEO73's picture

July 14, 2023 at 07:48 am

As long as it doesnt keep fans scratching their heads.

1 points
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1
croatpackfan's picture

July 14, 2023 at 07:57 am

I agree Bruce, it will be interesting to see is MLF that kind of offensive guru he was able to convince Mark Murphy that he is.

But, it is different to prepare play book for one QB with experience and known tendencies and for first time starter. If MLF and Jordan Love has mutual understanding what they want to achieve with every play that might be called in any game, they both will have huge chance for success. Otherwise, it will be last season again.

MLF now has benefit to work with QB more adapted to new schemes, presnap moving and similar offensive tools, so options are almost unlimited.

Lets hope MLF will show us that his illusion of complexity is real and not complexity of illusion.

Go Pack Go.

9 points
9
0
Leatherhead's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:15 am

It'll be a very similar offense to last year. Jones, Dillon, and Watson will get the ball about 2/3 of the time. The TEs will get about 7 targets a game. The other WRs will get the rest. We throw WR screens a couple of times a game.

Love will throw hard strikes, as opposed to lofting the ball up in the air on touch passes. We'll turn it over a little less than last year. Love will get more than 100 yards rushing on the season.

-7 points
3
10
dobber's picture

July 14, 2023 at 09:11 am

I think the TOs will stay largely the same or maybe even be a little higher. If we're reading Love correctly, it seems that he'll throw the ball between the numbers more in the short and intermediate zones. His lack of experience probably means he'll make more poor reads and take more chances.

I also wouldn't be surprised if the Packers get a few more plays per game by varying their tempo and not running the play clock all the way down on most snaps.

1 points
4
3
Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:39 am

If Love has less turnovers than Rodgers did as a rookie with much more experienced catchers I’d be shocked. Love is unlikely to have suddenly become the freakishly secure player Rodgers had been: no one in the league has ever been that. Add to that the greater likelihood of mistakes by catchers and the odds are more turnovers.

Rodgers had 12 interceptions last year, 13 in 2008 over one less game. If Love is even close to that ratio this year, I will be very happy. It’s unlikely. The question is, what can he do in between them? If that can get close to compensating then we can celebrate.

It’s also a question of when interceptions happen. With Young QBs, that’s typically trying to force. Rodgers threw more interceptions than TDs in 2008 when trailing in the 4th quarter and trying to play catch up. That’s why the OC needs to give him a chance to score early: not timid 30 play drives like last year, and the D needs to help keep us in the advantage. Both LaFleur and Barry will play a big role in fueling or minimizing turnovers for that reason.

5 points
5
0
Leatherhead's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:19 pm

Aaron Rodgers had his worst season as a starter last year, at the age of 39, following back-to-back-MVPs.

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/R/RodgAa00.htm

Go to Advance Passing, hilight 2022, and start organizing the columns anyway you'd like and you can just see it was his worst year. By a lot, actually. He threw 12 picks last year after having thrown 13 in the three previous seasons combined. His QBR was the worst it has ever been. He was worse than his first season as a starter.

This is the guys we are replacing. The 2022 guy who was here last year. The guy who gave us little to nothing with his legs. The guy who turns it over more than most QBs in the league. The guy who was #27 in QBR

I predict you're going to be VERY HAPPY, because Love surely isn't going to be worse than Rodgers 2022.

-2 points
3
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Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:18 am

There are two strands to this. They don’t know what a LaFleur only offense will be and they also do not know what Love is or his tendencies and capabilities so far removed from college and there was uncertainty even in his draft year.

The former takes a number of games to figure out, typically. The latter can take longer. Add to that the unknowns about what guys like Watson and Doubs are capable of if Love proves more flexible and that should counteract the inevitable inexperience issues somewhat. I just hope that the D manages to be somewhat more unpredictable too.

10 points
11
1
T7Steve's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:33 am

Hopefully LaFleur sets it up for execution of the play regardless of what the defense is doing. Don't let it come down to Love trying to create a play based on what he sees the Ds showing.

Call a play. Execute it. When the D stops it, do something else. Always keep the D guessing and trying to catch up.

That works with ALL QBs by the way.

1 points
5
4
jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:15 am

So you want Love not to audible out of a running play when the defense stacks the line of scrimmage?

4 points
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0
Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:46 am

It’s a fair question. The follow up is to remember that audibles aren’t new. It’s what form the options take. I’d rather a William Henderson type default that the long bomb. I’d also be willing to take some of those defenses on and see if they can stop us. Hopefully we will be more often under center. Let our RBs hit them and see if they hold, as other teams have done to us. Too often teams knew we’d simply try to hit Adams or Lazard. It works both ways if one is predictable or timid. Trust our runners and build in high percentage easy audibles. Let teams think we may take them on.

2 points
3
1
jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 01:22 pm

If Love sees a 1:1 with Watson, take it to the house.

1 points
2
1
WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 01:05 pm

You don't want your QB to read the defense pre-snap to help determine what to do? Good luck with that . . .

2 points
3
1
dobber's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:59 am

I think it's pretty easy to expect what DCs will try do to the Packers, at least until the Packers show it doesn't work: they'll focus on the team's most important weapon (A Jones), try to take away the run on early downs, force the Packers into low percentage down and distance situations, and then pressure Love to force errors. This might be the generic way most DCs approach games, but they will likely be daring Love to beat them more than they would against established NFL QBs with veteran pass-catchers.

LaF should be expecting this and planning for it all off-season. He needs to be ready to answer the question: how is he going to get a run-first offense with an inexperienced QB to not be shut down by "stop the run first" defensive schemes? We keep saying that Love will need to run LaF's play calls, but a lot will fall on him making adjustments at the line, too. LaF is going to need to give him some latitude to get out of bad looks.

If the Illusion of Complexity offense isn't completely dead, it should give Love a little help and force defenses to play a little more tentatively.

6 points
7
1
Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:50 am

Variety of threat from any given formation is never going to die. It simply gives Ds more things to worry about and greater risks of wrong calls. The nature of the variety will vary as DCs adapt and goid OCs avoid becoming predictable, but the core principle stands as firmly as ever.

Were I a DC versus Love, I’d blitz/overload heavily early, then start looking like I would and dropping out more often. Confuse and threaten and minimize the opportunity for easy ground yards. Nothing novel, but it test reads, reactions, OL weakness and play calling/design savvy. Prove you can beat me before I back off.

That’s where LaFleur has to be braver than he had been. Take them on and trust your receivers to get open deeper, not just Watson or one line other and everyone else within ten yards. That’s where the size and speed differentials this year should help, as long as LaFleur gives it a chance.

1 points
2
1
LeotisHarris's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:37 am

I'm looking forward to calls that will surprise fans in a good way on both sides of the ball. No more over-thrown 30 yard sideline go route to a covered receiver on third and four. Completed passes to that forbidden land in the middle of the field. Screens. Draws. Calls that take advantage of our speed at WR.

I'm optimistic, but it is July. Go Pack!

9 points
10
1
PackEyedOptimist's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:52 am

I still believe that last year's problems on offense were mostly due to two things: 1. a discombobulated offensive line for most of the season, and 2. receivers who didn't run correct (or at least not great) routes and dropped the ball more than in recent years.

I don't think it was the calls or Rodgers; I think it was the uncertainty and unreliability of the OL and WRs.

This year, the OL SHOULD be better (please no injuries, please no injuries), and we can hope that the WRs/TEs/RBs will run the routes better and catch the ball better. That one is less certain.

2 points
7
5
T7Steve's picture

July 14, 2023 at 09:03 am

With the O-line better, that will help the running game and open the passing game up drastically.

Also, don't forget that Rodgers was playing through injuries that kept him from practicing most of the season (besides walkthroughs). That could have contributed to part of the reason for trouble with the passing game and drops. Lack of practice and timing probably leads to more drops don't you think?

2 points
4
2
PatrickGB's picture

July 14, 2023 at 09:13 am

I believe that the formation looks (pre snap) will probably be different, I assume that the plays themselves will look a lot like last year. I guess that there might be a few more plays geared to the middle of the field. And there will probably be more runs. I may be wrong but it’s a matter of making the defense confused about the play that’s called. It’s still up to the players themselves to execute that play. Confusion for the defense is fine but the play called might be run from a less advantageous formation. So execution is key. That’s where blocking is key. Our line will be good (except, maybe, for rookie TE’s) so it’s going to be a matter of old fashioned blocking from everyone not catching or running the ball.

3 points
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1
jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:25 am

The lateral movement is not deceptive if it takes all day to execute. Defenses move into Zones to handle overloads and are reliably crashing the edges to stymie outside zone schemes. It still comes down to having Playmakers that can beat the opponent 1:1. We will not know the validity of the O line's depth chart until the end of Summer Session. They lack bookend OTs.

-1 points
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HawkPacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:46 am

Not sure what you mean by lacking bookend OT's as they have three pretty good OT's and a few more that could develop this year.

4 points
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HawkPacker's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:52 am

Good post Patrick.

My thoughts this year is a lot like my thoughts going into last year! We should be able to move the ball the question is can we get it into the end zone. Prior to last year, we depended on Adams to catch the passes in the end zone, which he did very well. Last year, no Adams and we struggled. Now this year, we have a new QB and young TE's and WR's. It will take some time to be successful in the gold zone. It could be next year before this develops consistently.

I am hoping that when we get to the 2 or 3 yard line that we do the smart thing and give the ball to AJ Dillon and run a little trickery such as having Dillon run a qb sneak. This will keep the defense guessing. Put him in motion and have him stop behind the center and snap it. I have seen this play run successfully by other teams.

-2 points
1
3
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:07 am

I really wanted to see third and short given to Quadzilla with Mt Caleb and Tenuta flanking C last year, with Big Dog behind him. Even if it didn't work you have film on your biggest O linemen and can develop them. Haven't heard anything about 6'8"Tenuta this off-season but Mt Caleb might get used, although it seems maybe they're only considering him as a T which seems weird.

0 points
0
0
TarynsEyes's picture

July 14, 2023 at 09:52 am

"Over the last three years, however, the offense has seen its output drop from 509 points to 450 points to 370 points."

Regardless of the reasons or the person many want to place this issue or regression upon, the most glaring is that MLF hasn't shown any ability to adapt to any issue or person designated as the reason. Now the bright light is that Defenses won't know what the MLF Offense is doing. Perhaps MLF not knowing himself is the strategy, since a decline every year certainly speaks to that being a strong possibility.

MLF has a lot to prove about himself this season, perhaps more than Love needs to do.

21 points a game this year will place a huge burden on the Defense, and if the Offense drops again in points, that's a huge issue that cannot be ignored. The question will be who to blame, MLF or Love.

6 points
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2
GregC's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:07 pm

I would say that the most glaring issue last year, by a longshot, was not MLF's difficulty adapting to personnel, but rather, the loss of Davante Adams. He was one of the best receivers in the league, and the offense was largely built around him. Also, over the last two years, I think there was a significant decline in Aaron Rodgers' deep ball accuracy, plus a decline in his mobility. In Rodgers' heyday, I remember how exciting it was when the play broke down and he got outside of the pocket. That's when a big play would often happen. Not so much the past couple years.

I don't think MLF has any more to prove this season than most coaches do. He's breaking in a new QB. There are inevitably going to be hiccups. I think that if Jordan Love is an adequate QB, 2024 is going to be the year that both he and LaFleur have a lot to prove. That's not to say there are no expectations this year. Both of them have to at least show that they are working toward building a powerhouse offense.

4 points
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0
Rebecca's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:34 pm

But will the fans accept another losing season?

0 points
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1
dobber's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:32 pm

That's the real question, isn't it? Free agency and parity mean that teams that struggle have a chance to turnaround very quickly. Leaguewide, there's not much patience for losing, either from fans or from management.

I think the question is more about HOW they would lose. If they're in most of their games and playing better ball as the season goes along, there's no reason to think LaF wouldn't be back for 2024. But if they start slow, don't progress, or are playing worse week by week, it's conceivable there could be a hook for LaF--especially if the locker room goes south on him.

2 points
2
0
Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:09 pm

That’s the pivotal question isn’t it? Was it LaFleur not adapting or being prevented from doing so by his QB? If LaFleur couldn’t adjust and it wasn’t down to Rodgers, then LaFleur is going to be a dead duck very quickly and we will have phase 2 if a clear out after this year or after a post Murphy lame duck year.

-1 points
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GregC's picture

July 14, 2023 at 12:56 pm

I think it would take a total collapse for LaFleur to get fired after this season. I don't think he's on the hot seat at all.

1 points
4
3
Coldworld's picture

July 14, 2023 at 03:04 pm

If he falls flat, it’s possible that Murphy might keep him, but if he puts out and calls an unconvincing offense design post Rodgers then there’s no where else to go. That’s without considering other matters such as the performance of Barry. If this offense fails post Rodgers for more than just execution, then LaFleur will look like he brought nothing and quite possibly was the reason the Lance dances died. He’s going to either earn some respect from his peer for this year or be shown up.

0 points
1
1
jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 01:35 pm

Murphy should get out with a Hardee's gift card right after the "shareholder's" conclave.

1 points
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LeotisHarris's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:49 pm

That's a tasty visual, jb. Murphy grinning from ear-to-ear, clutching that $100 gift card while dreaming of upgrading his Monster Angus Burger Combo to include a hand-scooped strawberry shake.

0 points
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2
GLM's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:36 am

You hit it right on the head. That is precisely the reason this offense has a chance. If they execute well and avoid the injury bug, they have the talent and potential to win games.

4 points
4
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jannes bjornson's picture

July 14, 2023 at 06:06 pm

He bought a golf course, so best he use it before the acowpalypse.

-1 points
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OWarrior's picture

July 14, 2023 at 10:42 am

You missed the obvious reason for the recent drop off in production. Clearly, the drop off was due to the lack of quality wide receivers.

The first year drop off was due to having just one good receiver (Adams). The further drop off in the second year was due to not having even one quality receiver.

No offense can be productive without receivers that are good route-runners, who can get open. Injuries certainly played a part last year. But the result was that the packers had the worst wide receiver (and tight end) room in the league. Low production was a given.

-3 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:19 am

OW, how many reps did AR12 give ANY target last year? OTAs, minicamp, training camp, preseason games, and practice during the regular season COMBINED?

Conditions like that don't mean "you don't have a good WR."

1 points
1
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Lphill's picture

July 14, 2023 at 11:41 am

I just hope Doubs gets over the drops.

5 points
6
1
GLM's picture

July 15, 2023 at 09:36 pm

Davante had the drops, too, early in his career.

0 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:22 am

Didn't we lead the league in drops last year? I'll clearly add AR12 as a contributor to it, and his rib injury was a bigger factor than anybody acknowledged. He didn't drop any passes by himself though, everybody has to improve at that.

1 points
1
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fireball's picture

July 14, 2023 at 01:51 pm

I agree that the Packers have no idea what their offense and/or defense will do this coming season. It's all up for grabs. New players everywhere. I ain't sold on anybody ( packer coaches and players ) for this coming season. It's all brand new. But that doesn't bother me.

Man, I was so sick and tired of the Rodgers thing. . . and wanted him traded for a mint. . . but then in March of '22 management instead signed Rodgers to an insane 3 year contract worth 50 million dollars a year! And just the year before management signed Bakhtiari to an equally nutty contract worth roughly 24 million dollars a year for four years. . . and of course Bakhtiari blows out his knee about a month after signing the contract. . . and the Packers essentially lost his services for the first two years of his contract, about fifty million dollars down the tube, wasted, blown ( like Bakhtiari's knee ). Talk about putting the team in hock for years down the line on just two players.

The team is still stuck with Bakhtiari. I still say, if Bakhtiari looks good this coming season, trade him!

Anyway, with Rodgers gone, finally, I'm looking forward to this coming season. I'm a happy guy and, who knows, maybe the Pacers will surprise me with an excellent season of play. In any event, it should be a really interesting season.

2 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:31 am

There's a lot of people on the trade DB#69 bandwagon. I say test the depth behind him and if nobody can fill his shoes we can't afford to lose him. I expect him not to play on artificial turf at all, (or at least to protest) that's 5 games with the first one week 2. I'm surprised they're training Mt Caleb as a LT, I'd think he'd do better as a G and apparently he lacks the ball skills to be a C. If Nijman as LT and Zack Tom at RT = every bit as good an O line that'd be one thing, but taking a step backwards on the O line is not how to win. Bakh might have another good 5 years.

1 points
1
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Qoojo's picture

July 14, 2023 at 02:19 pm

I think mobile QB is going to be the biggest change. You saw it in eagles game last year when Love could evade pressure. Then all those young WRs having a year of experience will help considerably.

3 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:38 am

Qoojo while that will definitely be a difference, it should only be a factor if our O line gets beat and that would be a very bad sign. If they can dominate? That's really what we need and then all our offensive weapons should have a good season.

If MLF draws up any designed QB runs I hope they're later in the year after everybody settles in, and even then I hope it's very sparing.

Also, it wasn't long ago that AR12 talked about squats in the off-season and really feeling good in his legs and was pretty mobile for it. It seemed like he didn't follow up with that the next season; I don't remember what years those were though. (2020 - 21?)

0 points
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White92's picture

July 14, 2023 at 07:49 pm

Anything but more end arounds on 4th and 1 deep in your own territory in the first quarter up 3 at home.

1 points
2
1
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:39 am

You remember those giveaways too eh?

1 points
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Tundraboy's picture

July 14, 2023 at 08:36 pm

"It's time for Matt LaFleur to take advantage of that and draw up game plans that capitalize."

Yes I'm literally jumping out of my skin in anticipation.
It may take the a good part of the season to see any cohesiveness, but what I want to see from day one is inspired play and the complexity MLF has to offer.

4 points
4
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:42 am

I want to see cohesiveness in week 1 in Chicago.

🎶 Ya don't always get what ya want 🎶

But will we get what we need? Because we really need that W. Being ready to play week 1 because of an off-season put to good use would be the biggest change ...

1 points
1
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LayingTheLawe's picture

July 15, 2023 at 12:09 am

We've all gotten used to the Aaron Rodgers snapping the ball as the play clock hits 0 every play. is it too early to tell yet or will the offense move faster in and out of the huddle now?

2 points
2
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Tundraboy's picture

July 15, 2023 at 08:27 am

It. #@¿#¿¡ better!

0 points
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1
SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 17, 2023 at 06:46 am

LTL it's definitely too early to tell. I really want to see a mix by JL10 including hurry up to catch the opposing defense off guard, hard count, free plays, and a distinct lack of penalties from our O line.

I'm not sure MLF can effectively coach that but we'll see; predictions can be fun but there's a reason you play the games ...

1 points
1
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