What's in a Spiral?

Is the dropoff real for Jordan Love in 2023?

 

Just about a week ago, ascending 2nd year WR Romeo Doubs was quoted as saying the difference between Aaron Rodgers and Jordan Love was not "all that great". While I immediately admired Rome's support of the newly appointed leader of the Green and Gold, I couldn't resist taking a closer look myself. Although Jordan has been in the league for 3 years, it's still safe to say that he's yet to escape the shroud of uncertainty in the court of public opinion, and likely won't until well into the 2023 season. Fortunately for an armchair evaluator like myself, it didn't take long for me to do a "deep dive" given the limited exposure the Packers have given Jordan to the football world.

For Jordan's rookie year in 2020, it was awash as he carried a clipboard the entire year, which I at the time absolutely believed was in his best interests.

For 2021, it was clear to see that while Jordan certainly had some talent, the pro game was either just a little too fast for him, and/or he didn't have a good grasp of running the offense. As an athletic quarterback, he defaulted to his legs to either extend the play or get out of trouble, earning him a 70.5 rushing grade per Pro Football Focus.

For 2022 however, Jordan Love in limited action proved to the NFL that you should take the time to groom your quarterbacks and allow them to develop. Jordan Love posted a 78.7 overall grade which included a 77.1 grade as a passer. This is where my deep dive started to see if I can get some statistical evidence to back up Doubs' claim.

 

Let's start at the surface, if we dig no further, a 78.7 overall grade would have placed Jordan Love in a three-way tie for 9th in the league with Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins if we ignored the minimum snap count. If we go by his passing grade only of 77.1 he'd have been in yet another three-way tie for 7th in the league with Tom Brady and Cousins. 

Rodgers? He tied with the recently departed Brady at 14th for overall grade(77.5) and 11th for passing grade(75.9).

 

We've already acknowledged Love's limited reps, so let's check out where he got the most work...none other than Week 12 at Philadelphia. Love put on an impressive showing in only 10 snaps, showcasing an 85.7 grade overall with 83.4 as a passer. Even for me, this is more than a little ambitious, but we also have to acknowledge that the Eagles had the best defense in the NFL last year with an 85.8 overall grade and a demoralizing pressure grade of 90.1. To make it worse for Jordan he was also throwing against a team that graded out at 89.1 for coverage, which was 5th in the NFL for 2022. To do so well in a primetime game, coming out cold in relief of your starter has to mean something, especially given the Packers fell just short of an upset against the Eagles on the road 40-33(and we all know who we REALLY blame for that loss).

Had Jordan "kept that same energy" all season, we'd be talking about the 5th best quarterback in the league based on overall grade and passing grade.

 

Now Jordan didn't do this promo himself, it was his teammate Doubs; so it's only fair if we examine their perceived "connection" to see if there's any truth to the talk.

Doubs' best work is in the intermediate part of the field which is 10-19 yards from the line of scrimmage. During his rookie year, he graded out at 91.9 between the numbers and 93.2 on the outside right; which resulted in a 116.7 and 156.3 passer rating when targeted for those respective areas of the field.

In limited action, Jordan posted a perfect 158.3 passer rating in between the numbers with a 39.6 on the outside right(he only threw one pass which was incomplete). For comparison, Rodgers garnered a 91.6 in between the numbers with 127.5 on the outside right. 

 

Conclusion? There could be some viability to Romeo's claim. At the end of the day, we don't know what really goes on in practice and how the players feel about each other beyond what members of the media can catch. Given the tumultuous exit that Rodgers had from the team, it's easy for Love to earn the love and admiration of his teammates, especially the younger ones who don't have much of a history to fall back on for reference. Or given the extensive development Love has had before finally becoming the starter in Year 4, this could just be the natural maturation of a young, talented quarterback ready to take the league by storm. I can't wait to see how this plays out over the next couple of months, we'll revisit somewhere down the line.

 

#GPG

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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__________________________

Joseph has been an avid fan of the Green Bay Packers since 1997, citing an affinity for dairy products during his childhood and his favorite color, green. Born in Jacksonville, FL, Joseph currently is an Active Duty servicemember in the U.S. Armed Forces. Joseph considers himself a lifelong fan of the game of football, competing since his youth well into adulthood. When it comes to the Pack, Joseph is particularly impassioned about the NFL Draft and collegiate scouting process, and will contribute regularly on CHTV.com leading to that year's upcoming Draft. You can follow him on Twitter at @joeyreyallday.

__________________________

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9 points
 

Comments (66)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
coolhand's picture

June 08, 2023 at 04:01 pm

And his numbers would have been even better against Philly except for the missed pass interference call in the end zone on Cobb that likely would have won the game

8 points
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Vachio's picture

June 08, 2023 at 07:04 pm

There was also a bad drop by Aaron Jones. The Cobb PI would have put them within 3 and given them a big chance to win for sure.

8 points
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GregC's picture

June 08, 2023 at 07:47 pm

I just watched that drop by Jones. He had to twist his body all the way around and try to catch the ball while staying in bounds. It would've been a difficult catch for a receiver, and even more difficult for an RB. Love put it in a place where he at least had a chance at it, though.

0 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 09:20 pm

Its a back shoulder fade. Its thrown to his back shoulder on purpose so the receiver can shield the ball with his body away from the safety coming downhill at him. Weve seen Jordy and Davante make that catch a thousand times. Sure Jones is a running back but he led this team in catches last year. In that situation he has to make that catch. It looked like the ball got into his body a little like he wasnt expecting that kind of velocity on the throw

7 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

June 08, 2023 at 08:29 pm

That missed call still sticks in my craw.

6 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:37 am

#MeToo

3 points
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PeteK's picture

June 08, 2023 at 04:58 pm

We also must take into account that, while Love is not a running QB, he is younger and more athletic than AR.

5 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

June 08, 2023 at 08:32 pm

Hopefully he can be the younger more athletic version AR was when he began his trek to the HOF. Rodgers quick feet made him Houdini at times in his great escapes. Hope Love has some of that escapability.

5 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 09:21 pm

I dont think he'll ever be as athletic as prime Rodgers, but he'll be athletic enough. Early Rodgers was pretty damn fast.

5 points
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JosephR's picture

June 08, 2023 at 10:12 pm

Jordan's 8.45 RAS is decisively better than Aaron's 7.15.

However having a "feel" for the pocket is something that you can't necessarily teach. We will see if Jordan has some semblance of that eventually.

8 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 11:42 pm

Go back and watch Rodgers early in his career. He was faaaast. Definitely faster than Love is. Love's RAS is higher because Love is bigger than Rodgers. Height and weight are factored into RAS scores.

1 points
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JosephR's picture

June 08, 2023 at 11:47 pm

Jordan still tested better than Aaron, although not by a wide margin. He is faster in the 40 yard dash, 20 yard shuttle, and 10 yard shuttle, despite being a larger and heavier player.

6 points
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Coldworld's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:21 am

Love is a better athlete than Rodgers at the equivalent age. That’s not really in question. Neither were really noted for their out of the box capabilities in college. Rodgers turning out to be an Excellent scrambler was largely a surprise—he had been dinged as immobile by some analysts. Moreover, Rodgers learned (his words) how to throw incredibly accurately while doing so.

At this point at least, Love doesn’t seem to have the consistent technique on the move that made Rodgers such a threat when out of the pocket. In OTAs that’s typically when errors have been noted and something his coach alluded to. We need to see if that comes.

Honestly, I liked the fact that Rodgers came out being a box QB first, and I like that with Love. It’s the best tendency one can look for and can’t necessarily be taught whereas technique can be improved on the move if the athleticism is there typically.

LaFleur stated a year or so in that they were going to have to get Love to be more willing to use his athleticism. Of course he hasn’t played much, so it will be interesting to see how far he has developed in that regard and how much he does once he’s played a few games. I’d expect to see designed plays initially, once the season begins, since they will probably want him to settle first and probably won’t show too much in preseason.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:39 am

Who says JL isn't a running QB? He may surprise us, pulling off some great escapes of his own. I'm hoping our O line keeps him clean so we never have to see that, but it's a long season ...

5 points
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dblbogey's picture

June 08, 2023 at 05:40 pm

It will be nice having a QB who can run. Love is definitely "all-in" for the team. I'm not sure the last guy was anymore..

8 points
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PeteK's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:54 am

Stock, I'll give you plenty of clever credit for that.

2 points
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Ferrari-Driver's picture

June 08, 2023 at 06:14 pm

I was curious about the title of the article "What in a spiral?". I thought you may discuss a comparison between Rodgers and Love and the tightness of the spiral. I looked at all the preseason passes Jordan threw along with a number of passes thrown by Aaron Rodgers. Both throw a pretty ball and both of them have enormous hands for quarterbacks. Rodgers hands measure 10.12 inches and Jordan Love's hands are an enormous 10.5 inches which makes it so much easier to get a good solid grip on the football and get a good rotation during a throw. The large hands can come in handy for a quarterback when during pump fakes and especially when he is hit in the pocket to prevent a fumble or accidental release of the ball.

12 points
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JosephR's picture

June 08, 2023 at 10:14 pm

I couldn't really find a better title for this one, so I went with a more obscure title to suck you guys in.

11 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:44 am

Nice!

With all the speculation, it's good to deal with something real. I did see JL10 throw some nice tight spirals, would've loved to have seen AR12 relieved for at least partial games when he was hurt. I've had a rib injury when I couldn't sleep for WEEKS, mental quickness is the first thing to go. It's hard to see that take effect, but easier to see his broken thumb degrade his accuracy.

2 points
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Ferrari-Driver's picture

June 09, 2023 at 10:51 am

Are you employing LaFleur's "Art of deception" or whatever he calls it to confuse defenses with his play calling?

Okay, you fooled us this time, but we are on our toes now.

By the way, I enjoyed your work on the draft guide this year. Keep up the good work.

2 points
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SoCalJim's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:10 pm

It worked, Joseph!

0 points
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MainePackFan's picture

June 08, 2023 at 06:52 pm

Enjoyed the article Joseph, but can we please stop over-analyzing everything Romeo Doubs says. I love the kid, and I doubt there are any lines to read between. He seems to be a straight shooter with a simple approach to the game of football. He is supporting his QB. That's what he should be doing. I don't need an AR comparison to be excited about JL.

As a matter of fact, I would much prefer an article comparing him to other young QB's in the NFL rather than an aging future HOF QB who played through injuries last year. That ship has sailed and it is irrelevant to the future. No need to justify moving on from Aaron Rodgers, we all get it.

8 points
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JosephR's picture

June 08, 2023 at 10:15 pm

I've done my best to distance myself from our dearly departed signal-caller. But on a slow week, gotta pay the bills.

10 points
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MainePackFan's picture

June 09, 2023 at 05:38 am

Fair enough : )

4 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:47 am

As excited as we are to see this season unfold, can you imagine how Romeo must be feeling? He's put in additional work in a camp with JL10, stayed healthy, seems to be taking a big step forward :)

6 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

June 09, 2023 at 01:03 pm

That's a great point! Let's see some comparisons between Love and other young GBs in instead of Love's predecessor. Would help with the Rodgers fatigue.

2 points
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Vachio's picture

June 08, 2023 at 07:10 pm

I really do think Love will put up numbers at least as good as the 2022 Rodgers numbers (and probably better). I'm not expecting vintage Rodgers numbers (even Rodgers didn't put up vintage Rodgers numbers his first year starting), but hopefully, he will get there.

5 points
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SoCalJim's picture

June 08, 2023 at 07:23 pm

I think there’s a good chance that J Love will put up 2022 Rodgers numbers. I’m very excited about the this season’s team. Go Pack Go!

5 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 09:25 pm

The only stat I care about is QBR, cuz that would mean Love is making big time plays when it counts i.e. 3rd downs, 4th qtr, and even running for 1st downs. QBR is the best and most comprehensive stat to see if a qb's play is leading to wins or not. Love could easily end up with the same td to int number but have a much higher qbr than Rodgers based on playing good situational football. Rodgers had the 26th ranked qbr last year. If Love is anywhere from 12-20, Packers will win this division. Take it to the bank.

2 points
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Since'61's picture

June 08, 2023 at 11:09 pm

Regrettably QBR is a flawed metric. It counts dropped passes against the QBR. It counts passes that go off the receivers hands and become interceptions against the QBR. Same for passes tipped at the LOS which get picked off.

How much will Love's QBR be impacted if the Packers lead the league in with 41 dropped passes again as they last season?

On the plus side it counts a receivers YAC for the QBR. So if a receiver catches a 10 yard pass and turns into a 70 yard TD the QBR benefits from the additional yards. The league separates out YAC as a stat. Why don't they apply that to QBR? Same with dropped passes. Dropped passes have become a recordable stat which are counted against the QBR and the receiver.

The metric has existed for a long time and the league should have made modifications to account for these obvious flaws given that the technology has existed to adjust the metric since at least the 90s. It's unfortunate because QBR could be a very accurate metric rather than a superficial metric which it has become due to its correctable flaws. Thanks, Since '61

4 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 11:46 pm

Its definitely not perfect as it counts sacks against the qb too which are not always the qb's fault. But when a player has a high qbr in a game, it usually means he played really well in big moments. As for the dropped passes bit, Chiefs/Bills/Dolphins were all top 10 in most dropped passes and yet Mahomes, Allen, and Tua were #1, #2, and #3 in QBR respectively. So dropped passes cant be weighed that heavily.

4 points
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Since'61's picture

June 09, 2023 at 09:15 am

TBSH agreed. I still would prefer for the league to come up with a more accurate measure for QB play.
Thanks, Since '61

2 points
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greengold's picture

June 09, 2023 at 09:26 am

agree. Would also love to see Combine 40 times run on grass with full gear on.

4 points
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Since'61's picture

June 09, 2023 at 10:04 am

Yes absolutely gg! Thanks, Since '61

1 points
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Ferrari-Driver's picture

June 09, 2023 at 07:50 pm

GG, spot on. Great idea.

1 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:51 am

I'm not even worried about that comparison. If the O line can dominate, this whole offense might just cook! We'll see what the coaches have been up to by how the team functions, we might all be surprised at who makes the final roster. There's a lot of competition for spots left ...

4 points
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GregC's picture

June 08, 2023 at 07:45 pm

I think it should've been mentioned here that the Eagles were protecting a lead and were not bringing a lot of pressure on Love. He did perform very well, and I'm really excited to watch him play this year. I just don't think the Eagles were playing their best defense against him.

1 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 09:26 pm

Eagles ran more cover 2 than anyone in football and led the league in sacks cuz they had 5 dlineman get 10+ sacks. They rarely blitzed. That was their base defense.

8 points
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croatpackfan's picture

June 09, 2023 at 01:46 am

For me I tend to believe what Darius Slay said about Jordan Love. He surprised them how he played. That is all we need to know.

3 points
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barutanseijin's picture

June 09, 2023 at 02:57 pm

“Ol’ Rodge couldn’t do squat against the Eagles because they. we’re being mean to him, but they went easy on young Jordan.”

Yeah right. Will the excuse making for Rodgers ever end?

1 points
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TxFred's picture

June 08, 2023 at 08:30 pm

Ar, didn't do anything that didn't make look good, manipulate numbers enough to get the MVP. Clever. Love is much more of a team player. No "favorties" he'll move the ball much better run & pass attacks. Will be fun to watch the team develop as a unit. GPG!!!!

4 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 12:56 am

That developing as a unit, I really want to see that! This could be a core of superstars that dominate for a decade if this coaching staff gets that part right. By 2025 we might actually be contenders ...

4 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

June 08, 2023 at 08:43 pm

Nice dive, Joseph! Appreciate the analysis based on facts, not narratives. Love is a talented young football player. He seems to be a leader too. He could surprise many and the similarities to AR when he started in his 4th year. Rodgers surprised many too. After Favre, I had mild expectations for Rodgers. He exceeded them. Love can too. Just lead the men around you. Plenty of talent to make this an exciting team.

3 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

June 08, 2023 at 09:32 pm

I think the there is no way the turnovers don't increase. I'm sure I'll be shouted down by the optimists and the "I'm pissed because he took an hallucinogen used by people for 500 years. Don't care.

Kurt Warner released the 2nd part of his breakdown. He talked about his footwork not being correct last week and his oft times flatt balls in deeper throws. But you watch the film and his mechanics are all over the map to me. Sure, it's going to happen now and then but most of that should have been ironed out by now. Hope I'm wrong but I don't see him as a top 14vQB this year. I think his interceptions are 5p-60% higher than the 22 Rodgers had last year.

The biggest thing I'm hoping to see is he plays better in game six than he did in game one, then better in game 12 than he did in game 6, etc etc.

2bd part of the Warner breakdown of Love:
https://youtu.be/Q4zSWnVYO68

4 points
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Swisch's picture

June 08, 2023 at 10:18 pm

LLCHESTY, I'm glad for your honest take on Love, especially as you want him to do better than you expect him to do.
I don't know whether or not Warner is a good evaluator, but as a player he is a good example for quarterbacks to follow in persevering through ups and downs to a career of excellence.

5 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

June 08, 2023 at 11:54 pm

Yeah sure its all the ayahuasca. Had nothing to do with the decade of petulant behavior that coincided with a decade of not getting this team back to another super bowl. Btw, just cuz people have been doing it for a long time, doesnt make it good. Murder has been around since the beginning of man but you dont see me celebrating Rae Carruth.

-2 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

June 09, 2023 at 01:10 pm

Pretty irrelevant/misleading/manipulative comparison. Ayahuasca has been used for a very long time to enhance a connection to the spiritual aspects of life. Murder is . . . well, killing someone. So this is pretty much a strawman argument. Not a rebuttal of the original comment, just a sidestep.

1 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

June 09, 2023 at 01:03 am

LL,, I'm hoping we at least start the season putting as little as possible on our new QB; run first, pass to TE and RB, go to WR only when they're wide open. As they gel JL10 can maybe try to dazzle but if MLF just has him get Jimmy G competent first that should go a long way to establishing a team presence and identity on the field.

I think that approach would help everything. Now watch, they go for 70 yard bombs right out the gate, lol

5 points
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croatpackfan's picture

June 09, 2023 at 02:09 am

"I'm sure I'll be shouted down by the optimists and the "I'm pissed because he took an hallucinogen used by people for 500 years."

I do not know why you put that quote, but there are numerous reasons why people would be concerned if your "main" player use any dope.

Every hallucinogen and any dope has side effects that linger for a long time. Some are less some more harmful. But 3 things are what can influence QB play - muscle coordination (that may not effect normal life use of muscules, but when you put that in extreme conditions it may become important!), eye vision (either by influence on dioptry or by narrowing peripheral vision), substantial brain influence (slowing down reactivity because brain process are slower).

From those 3 influence you need only one to occure to have huge influence on QB playing. Some of those influences can be restored to normal level by time, some never, some of those influence can hit not immediatelly, but with delay.

Only knowing hallucinogen organism will completelly detoxicate are marijuana, but it also take some time. Marijuana has, as difference from other hallucinogen some positive effects on organism, but I will not go in that direction.

Part of 5000 years of using substances as argument for what? For example opium was used on Far East and Middle East for even longer, heroin too. So, you'll say that is good when your most expensive asset can use heroin because people use heroin for 5000 years?

Sorry, not valid argument and you should not be pissed about fans' complaining on that issue.

-1 points
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T7Steve's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:19 am

So much for my purple microdot reasoning. LOL

2 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

June 09, 2023 at 01:18 pm

Yes, studies show ayahuasca used ceremonially has a positive affect on both mood and cognition. And he did not do this during the football season, so I can't see any possibility of it affecting his muscles and vision on the field.

Medical study on the positive benefits: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6182612/

-1 points
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GregC's picture

June 09, 2023 at 06:35 am

Warner's assessment of Love was very positive overall. I recall one or two throws in which Warner said the footwork was not good. I personally did not notice Love's mechanics being "all over the map," and if Warner had noticed it, I think he would've mentioned it. The flat balls on deep throws was a bigger problem. Warner seems to think it's correctable, though.

I do agree that Love will throw more interceptions than Rodgers. That almost has to happen because Rodgers consistently threw fewer interceptions than virtually any other QB in history. I don't mind if Love throws a few more. Sometimes I thought Rodgers needed to take more chances. But it will be a problem if Love throws a lot of interceptions, especially if they are on shallower routes or in crucial parts of games.

Rodgers taking a hallucinogen is way down on the list of reasons why so many fans were ready for him to move on. It's more an example of bizarre behavior than obnoxious behavior, and there was plenty of obnoxious behavior.

2 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:06 am

The key is always footwork. Holmgren worked on Favre and had Mariucci on him 24/7. Rodgers had quick feet in college, but needed work on his release. I watched the same tutorial from Warner and saw the inefficiency with Love's positioning, but he seemed to have improved by the Philly game getting up on his toes with some bounce. Hopefully, Clements will clean the rest up by the end of Summer Session.

4 points
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croatpackfan's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:24 am

There was report from Jordan Love private QB coach that, before the OTAs, they are working on throwing the ball with front foot to be on the ground, not on his foot fingers, by order from Packers as one if the request Jordan need to correct.

2 points
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T7Steve's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:26 am

He can clean it up, but he has to keep dusting. The lint always comes back. That's ok. Love seems willing to do the work. Even Rodgers commented that he had to go back to the basics. Had to watch his old footage to see where things had gone.

3 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

June 09, 2023 at 05:27 pm

Before I even swing a club, I get out the " Five lessons, The Modern Fundamentals of Golf" by Ben Hogan. Same with the tennis racket, practice, practice , practice before attempting to even try to play a match. The same methods, the same basics, the same repetitions you learn as a kid.

1 points
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Coldworld's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:44 am

Love in college was more of a gunslinger than Rodgers was, and Rodgers, as we know, became more safety conscious over time. So even if Love becomes a hall of fame player, we are likely going to see an uptick in interceptions.

In his first year I expect mistakes and thus highs and lows, consistency comes only with time. It’s going to be up and down, good and bad. Things are going well if the bad starts to diminish in frequency over the season. I also expect struggles under pressure. Rodgers really struggled late in games when games were close in his first year, throwing 54% completions and more interceptions than TDs.

Rodgers comments in his later early years suggest he viewed that as learning how to win and felt that it was perhaps his biggest area of improvement in ‘09 and particularly 2010. Rodgers was damn good in year one aside of that, historically so. I’d expect Love to have similar struggles in those situations (let’s hope Barry finds a way to minimize them better than last year or Rodgers’ 2008 D could).

We need to remember that every other Super Bowl winning QB has consistently thrown more, most a lot more, interceptions than Rodgers. The Rodgers balance of risk or style if play is neither the norm or the only way to success as a QB and as a team. Nor is it necessarily the best watching. Love, good or bad, is going to be a different proposition and it’s time to accept that as well as the ups and downs of a first year starter we’ve not had to witness or really recall in 15 years.

4 points
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greengold's picture

June 09, 2023 at 09:00 am

You mean our QB1 will give his WRs, all of them highly regarded contested catch winners entering 1265, a chance to make contested catches?

Rodgers gamed the MVP system - and avoiding throwing into contested catch situations was one of his methods. Add in avoiding the middle of the field, throwing only to veteran WRs he trusts, and throwing more than handing the ball off to RBs in the red zone to pad his TD totals.

I can hear the "hater" calls now, but, it's the truth.

I HOPE Jordan Love takes more chances, giving his teammates their chances to shine.

1 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

June 09, 2023 at 02:37 pm

Yes, he also won 13 games both those MVP years without a reliable defense most of the time. And don't you ever wonder if he would have thrown to the middle of the field more if they'd given him a solid or better slot receiver or TE? He just wasn't surrounded by a lot of talented guys to make the middle a very efficient part of the passing game. I guess what I have trouble understanding, is if a QB doesn't just win an MVP but wins 13 games to put the team in as a top seed, what exactly are you complaining about? That he didn't play even better? That a passer rating of 111.9 (2021) should have been even higher? That he should have taken more chances?

I just don't get this complaint. The middle of the field is the most risky and the passing game was plenty productive, so what is the issue?

1 points
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Leatherhead's picture

June 09, 2023 at 03:02 pm

Rodgers had 12 picks and 10 fumbles for a total of 22 turnovers. He did not have 22 interceptions, as the original post stated.

""I think his interceptions are 5p-60% higher than the 22 Rodgers had last"""
year.

I'm going to try to decode this and say that 5p was supposed to be 50. I'll also assume that the 22 was a typo as well, and he meant 12.

Only 6 QBs had more than 12 picks last year: Mills (15), Prescott, Cousins, Allen, Carr Ryan. So a 50% increase on Rodgers 12 would put Love at 18, making him the most careless QB in the league by kind of a wide margin.

This doesn't address the fumbles, of which Rodgers was charged with 10.

Here are some QBs who were NOT top 14 QBs last year (by QBR)

15: Trevor Lawrence
16. Jimmy Garrapolo
17. Justin Fields
18. Tom Brady.
19: Kyler Murray
20-25 Pickett, Dalton, Stafford, Cousins.
26 Matt Ryan
27 Aaron Rodgers.

That's the Cold, Hard, Football Facts. I'm going to say that based on this, it's probable that Love won't turn it over as often as Rodgers did, and that his QBR (which factors in running as well as passing) will be higher than 27th in the league)

So, Rodgers was 4th place among division QBs last year. I don't think Love will be worse than that.

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barutanseijin's picture

June 09, 2023 at 03:12 pm

Who cares, other than Rodgers knob slobberers? The job of the qb is to help score points. Maybe if Mr greatest everrrr focused more on scoring points than avoiding interceptions he’d have had another ring or two.

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TheVOR's picture

June 09, 2023 at 08:54 am

So you asked, what’s in a spiral?

Well, that would depend if it’s a downward spiral or an upward spiral? We’re all about to find out this summer in this fall.

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PatrickGB's picture

June 09, 2023 at 11:25 am

I read some reviews of Love. In them there was the complaint that he threw too many “flat balls”. I also read about “wobblers”. I guess that some of that is due to footwork. To be fair, he will probably never have Rodgers accuracy. But all he has to do is improve his footwork and read speed and he will be good.

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barutanseijin's picture

June 09, 2023 at 03:14 pm

Late career Rodgers’ accuracy was decidedly less than awesome.

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PatrickGB's picture

June 11, 2023 at 09:57 am

Last year part of his problem was his thumb. However, he did seem to miss a lot of his shorter throws long before that.

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