Starting Fast Against Divisional Opponents Will Be Key in 2025

The 2024 Green Bay Packers struggled mightily against their divisional opponents, that’s no secret at this point. In fact, they were a Karl Brooks fingertip away from being completely winless against the rest of the NFC North. One of the recurring themes in those five losses was slow starts. So when the 2025 NFL schedule was released, I immediately looked to see when the Packers would be facing the Vikings, Lions, and Bears. The schedule makers did not disappoint—or depending on how you look at it, maybe they did. The way things are set up, Green Bay’s entire season could be determined by a three-week stretch late in the year: home against the Vikings, on the road against the Lions, and back home to face the Bears.

Looking back at how the Packers performed against divisional opponents last season, they were competitive but got outplayed when it mattered most. I’m going to throw out the Week 18 game against the Bears for the sake of this argument. Jordan Love got injured mid-game, the Packers had nothing to gain in terms of playoff seeding, and for the Bears, it was their Super Bowl. That said, Green Bay still should have won—if Matt LaFleur and Rich Bisaccia knew how to manage the clock.

Against the Vikings, the Packers lost both games by a combined total of four points. In the first matchup—Love’s return after missing two games with an MCL sprain—they were down 28–0 before mounting a near-epic comeback, ultimately falling short in a 31–29 loss. In an odd twist of fate, their Week 17 rematch in Minnesota followed a similar script. Green Bay found themselves down 27–3 before another late push brought them within two, losing 27–25. In both games, the Packers started slow, and by the time they figured things out, it was too late. A play or two early in each game could have completely altered the outcomes.

The games against the Lions were similar, although less competitive. The first matchup in Green Bay was played in rainy, sloppy conditions, and the Packers trailed 17–3 at halftime. It was close up until the final seconds of the half—until Jordan Love threw one of the worst interceptions you’ll ever see. Down 24–6 at that point, a touchdown and two-point conversion only left the Packers wondering “what if.” In the rematch a month later, the game was more of a back-and-forth battle, with both teams trading touchdowns. Ultimately, the Lions won by three points thanks to a Jake Bates time-expiring field goal.

Even in their sole division win—Week 10 against the Bears in Chicago—Green Bay marched right down the field for a 7–0 lead, but the offense never looked the same afterward. They managed to put up 20 points and edged out a one-point win, thanks to that aforementioned Karl Brooks fingertip block. But after that first drive, something just felt off.

This season, the Packers need to make it a priority to come out “piss hot” against the Vikings, Lions, and Bears. That Week 12–14 stretch—facing all three consecutively—is the most compelling part of the Packers’ schedule to me. Late November into early December is when playoff contenders begin to emerge and separate themselves from the (no pun intended) pack. Two of those games are at home, which should benefit Green Bay. The third is a nationally televised Thanksgiving Day matchup against the Lions. Historically, Green Bay has played well in Detroit on Thanksgiving. Just two years ago, they walked into Ford Field and upset the Lions, kickstarting their playoff run. This year’s team can use that same stretch to reestablish themselves—not just within the NFC North, but among the conference’s contenders.

This year, the Lions and Vikings look more vulnerable. Detroit lost both of its coordinators and recently saw its All-Pro center retire in a surprising move. The Vikings will be starting a quarterback who has yet to take an NFL snap. The Bears have a first-time head coach. And while he’s seen as an offensive guru, it’s unclear how that will translate to the top job. In my opinion, the Packers are the only team in the division that didn’t get worse this offseason—and may have actually improved.

Yes, the Packers were a playoff team last year, but it always felt like something was a little off. They went 10–1 against non-NFC North teams—the only loss coming to the Philadelphia Eagles. Against the division, though, they felt like the little brother who was only at the party because the older siblings (the Vikings and Lions) had to bring him along. They can completely flip the script this season and reclaim the north in that week 3 span.

This season, the game plan against divisional opponents is simple: Start hot, start fast, and don’t let up.

-Dan Saia

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Comments (23)

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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

June 05, 2025 at 02:48 pm

Yes something was a little off. Jordan Love’s health was a little off. It be great to start hot. Unlikely last year with such a young team and a new coordinator. Actually, I would prefer they finish hot. They learn how to finish.

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Cheezehead72's picture

June 05, 2025 at 02:51 pm

Off subject: Rodgers agreed to play for the Steelers for a year.

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stockholder's picture

June 05, 2025 at 03:11 pm

He's not done yet. Good for him.

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Coldworld's picture

June 05, 2025 at 04:04 pm

The season will tell us whether he’s done or not.

For myself, I probably will try to avoid the run up to that game because the only people who really should be celebrating are the pundits wanting to rehash easy bygones not focus on the real matchups.

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Starrbrite's picture

June 06, 2025 at 10:55 pm

Stock and I—seems like we are the sole remaining ARod promoters?
I still believe ARod he is the best quarterback I’ve ever witnessed.
He’s kooky, sure, but that’s OK.
I guess there’s worse things than a darkness retreat—such as Elway killing his buddy in golf cart “accident”—many golf cart deaths reported each year.

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stockholder's picture

June 07, 2025 at 02:27 pm

You don't pay a 40 year old QB 19.5 mil if
he's washed up.
Money is the #1 case in his defense.

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13TimeChamps's picture

June 05, 2025 at 03:13 pm

Who?

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barutanseijin's picture

June 05, 2025 at 06:08 pm

Backing up Mason Rudolph will be yet another feather in his cap.

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GregC's picture

June 05, 2025 at 03:20 pm

I have to wonder if their preparation for the games against the Lions and Vikings was ineffective. Maybe LaFleur needs to switch things up. I have no idea how, though. Maybe they were too tight, or maybe they were overconfident.

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ricky's picture

June 05, 2025 at 05:08 pm

If the players aren't feeling a sense of urgency, this is mostly on the coaches. Yes, these are professionals, and the guys should be self motivated. But all their lives, they have had coaches who have been pushing them, leading them and getting their respect and their best effort. Holmgren and the early version of McCarthy both had their team's respect and even fear. Does the current regime have the same level of respect?

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TarynsEyes's picture

June 05, 2025 at 08:34 pm

So these players still need to get a pat on the ass by mommy to get up and go to work.

Coaches, at this stage, should be a support for a players' urgency/motivation, not the prod.

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Coldworld's picture

June 06, 2025 at 09:12 am

You are right of course, in ideal terms, but any management that relies on people to be self motivated generally, to remain focused correctly and work together efficiently is in for a nasty surprise. Indeed that’s a lot of what managing successfully entails in a y well of life, including sports.

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Guam's picture

June 06, 2025 at 06:18 pm

It is less about motivation than it is about preparation and execution. There is an old military aphorism that held a great deal of truth during my years in management - "You don't get what you expect, you get what you inspect." Attention to detail and proper preparation lead to better execution and the avoidance of failure.

Lombardi was famous for grueling Monday film sessions, intensive exercise programs and incredibly repetitive practices. He wanted prepared players in good game shape. And he was highly successful doing so. Coaching/managing is more about preparation than it is motivation.

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Major Snafu's picture

June 05, 2025 at 08:00 pm

Matt lefleu3r will continue run first pass second. The problem the NFC north is pass first score then run.
I see either a blowout season or 8-9. Not sure playoffs?

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NFLfan's picture

June 05, 2025 at 09:29 pm

LaFleur has not had his teams ready for the first games in several years. If the team shows up unready against a division rival @ home, it won't be excused as easily.

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dobber's picture

June 06, 2025 at 07:42 am

Didn't they play the eventual Super Bowl champs to the final possession (and led for a significant chunk of the game)--finishing without 10--in an international game in the opener a year ago?

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Coldworld's picture

June 06, 2025 at 09:07 am

It’s not my recollection that the Packers looked ready or in synch in that game. Is it yours? If not, doesn’t the outcome become more frustrating not less in the context of LaFleur’s preparation?

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Leatherhead's picture

June 06, 2025 at 10:14 am

Like most of your stuff, this stuff is nonsense.

We scored 29, on the road, in the opener against the eventual Super Bowl Champion last year.

The previous season, Love's first as a starter, we scored 38 on the Bears in the opener.

The notion that they aren't ready is just wrong. They aren't in midseason form, or in playoff form, but it's the first game of the season, for crying out loud.

XXXXXXXXXXXX

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BuckyBadger's picture

June 06, 2025 at 12:03 am

They where a blocked FG away from going 0-6. I do think the Lions and Vikings will take a step back but the Bears should be better even if Caleb Williams is the QB I think he is which is a great college QB but not a very good NFL QB. I power rate (which I know is meaningless but still) the Lions ahead of the Pack but I think the Vikings are in for a big set back. I just don't believe in JJ McCarthy. He wasn't the reason UM won and doesn't have a lot of experience in having to come up big in big games. He played in big games but he never had to be the guy to carry the team. The Bears are the wild card of the division. I don't mean they get the WC but they could win the division or they could finish last.

Going to be a fun year no matter how it plays out. Always is.

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T7Steve's picture

June 06, 2025 at 07:43 am

" A play or two early in each game could have completely altered the outcomes."

These were where all the dropped 3rd down drive ending passes hurt the most.

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Leatherhead's picture

June 06, 2025 at 10:18 am

Yes. Dropped passes were big factors in those games.

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dobber's picture

June 06, 2025 at 07:44 am

Given that they only play one divisional game until something like week 10, let's just say they need to start fast.

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Leatherhead's picture

June 06, 2025 at 10:18 am

I hate to put too much on 1 game out of 17, especially the opener, but there's no denying that winning the opener would be extra sweet. It's a division game, at home, against our primary rival. That makes it the most important game of the season, IMO.

Nobody wants to peak in September, but we need to come out and look sharp and beat these guys in a way that they can remember for a while.

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