Packers vs Vikings: Gameday Preview - 2025 Week 12

The first in a long divisional game stretch

The Green Bay Packers are back at home today for what is just their second divisional game of the 2025 season, taking on the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field at 12 PM CST. It's strange to say in late November that this is only the second divisional matchup the Packers have had, but it's the reality that the schedule makers have bestowed upon us. Last week, the 6-3-1 Packers were victorious over the New York Giants in what ended up being a more competitive game than anticipated. The 4-6 Vikings are coming off a 19-17 loss to the Chicago Bears, where they nearly came away with a win, if not for a final-second field goal propelling the Bears to victory. The Packers are looking to start a winning streak, and the Vikings are hoping to keep their season alive.  

The last time these two teams met was December 29, 2024, in Minnesota, when the Vikings were victorious with a final score of 27-25. The Packers' offense was fairly limited in the first half, only putting up three points to Minnesota's 13. A second-half surge with three touchdowns was an improvement, but with the Vikings putting up two more touchdowns themselves in the 3rd quarter, the deficit was just too much to overcome. 

Last week, many called the matchup against the Giants a "get right" game for the Packers. That may have been the case in a way, coming off two straight losses at home, the Packers sorely needed a good win to get back on track. The problem is, no matter what the opposing team's record says, they're not going just to be your "practice game." They're going to go out there and make you earn the victory. The Giants seemed to take advantage of Green Bay's offensive line issues, making it difficult for anything to run consistently on that side of the ball. The defense also struggled, giving up a decent game to the Giants' running backs, which is very uncharacteristic of that squad so far in 2025. A few sloppy drops by receivers didn't help either, but the Packers will be looking to bounce back. 

In the first of five divisional games to wind out the final seven games of the season, the Packers are looking to start strong. 

What to See on Offense

Minnesota loves to blitz the QB. So far this season, they've blitzed on around half of all passing plays they've faced. The Packers' offensive line is going to need to be at its best today to pick up those blitzes and prevent them from being a problem. Last week, the Packers faced a Giants front that hadn't gotten to the QB often, but they had the talent t,o and I was talking about ensuring they didn't find their stride against us. They did a good job of doing so. Minnesota is tied for 11th in the league when it comes to sack totals, with DT Jalen Redmond leading the way with four.  That's not a large sack total for the team leader, but that's what happens when 12 other players are on the stat sheet with at least a half sack. Anyone can get home. The Vikings don't have All-Pro pass rushers, but they can still give you trouble if you don't take them seriously. 

If we can contain the pass rush, Minnesota's secondary can be exploited by our receivers.  When it comes to takeaways, Minnesota's secondary is even ranked behind the Packers'. However, Minnesota does hold the seventh-fewest passing yards per game in the NFL. Packers receivers have been rather hit or miss lately, but Christian Watson certainly found his stride last week, getting in the endzone twice against the Giants' secondary. Jayden Reed started his 21-day window for coming back from IR on Friday. Don't expect him today, as he is listed as OUT for today's game, but possibly in a few days, on Thanksgiving. Matthew Golden and Savion Williams may play a larger role today, being further removed from injury, but the biggest test will be seeing who holds on to the football. The Packers' receivers were plagued by drops last week, reminding everyone of the 2024 season. Hopefully, today we can put those drops behind us. 

Will Josh Jacobs play? If you ask him, he'd probably say he'll be out there today. But the medical staff may have other ideas. He's considered a true game-time decision. Just in case, the Packers have elevated Pierre Strong Jr. from the practice squad. The Vikings currently rank 22nd in the NFL with 122 rushing yards per game. If Josh Jacobs is a go today without being hindered by a snap count, the rushing attack could have a relatively decent day. Now that's not to say that if Josh Jacobs is out, the rushing attack is null and void. Emanuel Wilson has been a formidable runner in relief of Jacobs, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt on 53 carries.  Wilson isn't Jacobs, but I'd be intrigued to see what he can do in a starting role. If Jacobs can't go, could we see Wilson have a breakout game? It'll be interesting to see if Chris Brooks plays more of an RB2 role or if Pierre Strong takes that role. We haven't seen much of Brooks this season other than as a blocker or receiving target. It will be intriguing to see how he is used today, if needed as RB2. 

What to See on Defense

This was supposed to be the year that the Vikings showed off their new franchise quarterback returning from injury in his rookie season, and set the league ablaze. Well, JJ McCarthy has only played in five games this season, and in those five games, he hasn't exactly been stellar. He's turned the ball over eight times in those five games with a QB rating of 61.7. He's also been sacked 15 times, which is just one less than Jordan Love in twice as many games played. This is a product of McCarthy having a tendency to hold on to the ball for too long. You'd better believe that the Packers' pass rushers, Parsons, Gary, and Wyatt, are going to be dialed in to make him pay if he keeps up those mistakes this week. This week marks another chance for Lukas Van Ness to return from injury, and he, too, can factor into that pass rush. 

If McCarthy can get the ball out of his hands, he has some stellar targets in Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jalen Nailor, and TJ Hockenson. McCarthy's chemistry with Jefferson has yet to be unlocked, and today is not the day for it to happen. The Packers' secondary showed a bit of improvement last week, and they're going to need to keep it up this week in the event the pass rush doesn't get home quickly. If McCarthy does get the ball out, they need to be ready for any mistakes made. The Packers dropped four INT chances last week against Jameis Winston. McCarthy tends to turn the ball over as well, so they need to take advantage of it this time.

Against the Panthers and Giants, the Packers' opponents have done what they can on the ground to keep the Green Bay offense off the field as well as keep the pass rushers honest. Minnesota may try something similar this week, running the football with Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. With Jones missing four games this season, Mason has been the lead back with 489 yards on 108 carries with five TDs, but Jones isn't far behind with 256 on 52 carries and a touchdown. The Packers' run defense has done well this season, but has had a few questionable games as of late. Heading into the colder months of the season, now is not the time for the run defense to slow down. 

Quay Walker is doubtful for today's game, and the Packers did elevate LB Jamon Johnson from the practice squad, so it's a good bet Walker will be OUT today. Isaiah McDuffie will likely fill Walker's role on defense, with Johnson mainly taking over McDuffie's special teams duties. 

Minnesota will likely run the ball as much as they can and get the ball out of McCarthy's hands quickly when passing. The Packers have seen this often already this season and will need to find a way to halt Minnesota's offense quickly or force turnovers.  

Extra Notes

I don't want to talk about kickers this week; you can't make me. Okay, fine, I guess it's kind of my job here. Brandon McManus was inactive last week again after apparently re-aggravating his quad, so Lucas Havrisik took over as everyone wanted. But then Havrisik missed two extra points that can be partially blamed on wind and a poor snap/hold. We just can't have nice things. McManus was back as a full participant this week at practice, so he should be a go today. I'm going to be honest and say that at this point, I don't even care if a 76-year-old Chester Marcol runs onto the field to kick this week, just make the darn kicks. 

Minnesota's Will Reichard has only missed two field goals this season (must be nice), and their punter, Ryan Wright, is 10th in the league with a 48.1 average to Green Bay's Daniel Whelan, who ranks second with 50.8. 

Myles Price is Minnesota's main kick returner, averaging 25.9 yards on 38 attempts with a long of 61 on kickoffs and a 10.7-yard average on punts with a long of 43. Green Bay hasn't been gashed too badly on returns this season, outside of a few penalties extending field position, so hopefully this should not be an issue today if they stay disciplined. 

On the other side, last week Minnesota gave up a 56-yard kickoff return to Chicago's Devin Duvernay, which set up a walk-off field goal. Duvernay has had a lower return average than the Packers' Savion Williams so far this season, so even though Williams hasn't looked that terribly explosive in the return game, Minnesota could be prone to another big return. 

In the End

Today marks the beginning of a huge three-game stretch on the Packers' schedule. With as close as the NFC North is currently, these three games could make or break the season. It's very important that we get off to a good start with home-field advantage today. 

In just four days, we're back at it for some Thanksgiving football in Detroit. Let's head into it on a positive note. Go Pack Go. 

 

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Greg Meinholz is a lifelong devoted Packer fan. A contributor to CheeseheadTV as well as PackersTalk. Follow him on Twitter @gmeinholz and Bluesky @gmeinholz.bsky.social for Packers commentary, random humor, beer endorsements, and occasional Star Wars and Marvel ramblings.

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Comments (6)

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ricky's picture

November 23, 2025 at 09:25 am

Can Marshawn Lloyd kick?

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porupack's picture

November 23, 2025 at 09:34 am

Good write, Greg. I'm thinking JJMcCarthy will have a breakout day...for no other reason than that we've seen that happen sooooo often; all the should'a and could'a wins over a lesser opponent who trots out a 2nd or 3rd string QB. Well, I'll muster good faith that GB wins anyway even though GB pass catchers are all quite inferior to minnepo receivers. JLove just has to find open guys. MLF just has to put together an aerial attack to change up the expectations. 5 receivers will spread it and give JLove a chance for a 2.3 second pass somewhere. That will wear down the minnepo pass rushers and sooner or later there will be YAC numbers. I'd line up 3 TEs in the mix....maybe 4 at times. That would wreck Minnepo's plan on D.

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WD's picture

November 23, 2025 at 10:14 am

Sounds good. The most exciting thing to me is bringing up Pierre Strong at RB. In all honesty, I have never heard of him, However, I saw he had a forty time in the 4.3 range. I really hope they give him a few carries. We could use a little lighting to our running game.

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BabeParilli's picture

November 23, 2025 at 11:00 am

Go Pack Go.

Packers General Management's Propagandists don't need to be paid directly by Packers General Management.

In order to make money and remain profitable and become more profitable however, Packers General Management's Propagandists however do need Packers General Management to provide them access to interviews of Packers coaches and players to keep getting those hits on their websites and thus advertisers' interest.

We can see from Packers General Manager Brian Gutekunst's propagandists' hard work this week that Gutekunst has chosen Matt Lafleur as the scape goat for the miserable choices and decisions Gutekunst has made since Gutekunst was appointed General Manager in January 2018 and probably before.

Gutekunst's decisions have changed the Packers from a Super Bowl winner and perennial Super Bowl Contender and team of future first ballot hall of famers and veteran leaders - who years later, after being disrespected and discarded by Gutekunst are still performing in the top echelon of their peer group (recent examples being Aaron Rodgers who is 4th in the NFL touchdown passes per pass attempt this year - Gutekunst's Jordan Love is 16th in the NFL in TD passes per pass attempt- and Davante Adams who leads the NFL in TD receptions along with Rasul Douglas, Aaron Jones and many others since Gutekunst was handed the reigns) - to a perennial also ran in their North Division which despite falling to 2nd and 3rd in their division granted a 2nd and 3rd place easy schedule of opponents has fallen on hard times. .

Gutkekunst has changed a perennial North Division winner and Super Bowl contender with veteran leaders - that were in NFC Championship games including consecutive NFC Championships and then the next year 2021-22 had the very best record in the NFC earning a bye - a team that was an offensive weapon or 2 from Super Bowl victories and changed that Super Bowl contending team - to a team that finished 2nd and then 3rd in their NFC North division and is the perennial "youngest team in the NFL" - as if that is an achievement - in an NFL where nearly all 32 teams are in contention for a playoff spot and nearly half the league make the playoffs.

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Leatherhead's picture

November 23, 2025 at 11:11 am

Why take the ball out of Loves hands and run it?

Because it wins games?

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BabeParilli's picture

November 23, 2025 at 11:01 am

The Packers General Management's Propagandists - whose task is to create diversions for the Traitorous work of Gutekunst and Ineptitude of Jordan Love - are trying to scape goat Matt Lafleur.

Part of that is questioning why Matt Lafleur takes the ball out of Jordan's hands - all of College Football's, both FBS and FCS, leader in interceptions his 3rd and final year of college who last year tied an 80 year Packers record by - and goes to a running game.

Here is part of the answer:

Love became the first Packers player since Irv Comp (a Packers Hall of Famer with 34 career defensive interceptions) in 1944 to throw at least one interception in each of his first eight games of a season last year, 2024-25. Love became the first player on any NFL team to do this since Case Keenum during his lone season with the Broncos in 2018.

Love threw 11 interceptions in 2023-2024, but 10 of them came in his first nine games.

There are times when Jordan Love is Dr. Jekyll but more often Jordan is Dr. Hyde.

So why take the ball out of Jordan's hands and run the ball?

And why are the Packers so much better with Malik Willis as they were with Aaron Rodgers?

Packers record when the Packers run 50% of more: 16 wins 3 losses

Packers record when the Packers run less than 50% 9 wins 18 losses and 1 tie

Packers record when the Packers run 45% of more: 20 wins, 5 losses

Packers record when the Packers run less than 45%: 7 wins, 15 losses, 1 tie

Last week the Packers ran the ball 23 times and dropped back to pass 28 times, runs were 45.1% of the 51 total offensive plays making the Packers record 20 wins and 5 losses when the Packers run more than 45% of offensive plays .

So with that, lets see what Matt Lafleur calls today against the Vikings - Jacobs may be out so Lafleur may have to have Jordan pass more.

Packers

D Overall 7th, 19.6

Run D 3.8, 3rd

Pass D 89.6, 10th

Run O 4.1, 23rd

Pass O, 6th, 104.2

Vikings

D Overall 16th, 23.2

Run D, 4.1, 12th

Pass D 98.9, 24th

Run O 4.7, 9th

Pass O, 30th, 68.5

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