Pack-A-Day Podcast - Episode 2364 - What's Next for the Packers?!
On today's show, Justis and Andy discuss what went wrong for Green Bay, why the honeymoon period for Jordan Love is over, and where the Packers go from here. Don't miss it!
By AndyHerman
On today's show, Justis and Andy discuss what went wrong for Green Bay, why the honeymoon period for Jordan Love is over, and where the Packers go from here. Don't miss it!
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Andy is a graduate of UW-Oshkosh and owns & operates the Pack-A-Day Podcast. Andy has taken multiple courses in NFL scouting and is an Editor for Packer Report. Andy grew up in Green Bay and is a lifelong season ticket holder - follow him on Twitter @AndyHermanNFL!
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Comments (18)
Lphill
January 14, 2025 at 05:31 am
Max Crosby
NJ-RICK
January 14, 2025 at 08:25 am
A new GM
jannesbjornson
January 14, 2025 at 12:35 pm
No doubt.
Coldworld
January 14, 2025 at 09:28 am
It’s perhaps not surprising that Love as QB is the popular focus of this. However, if one steps back and looks at this O, what stands out is not Love particularly. It’s 5 interrelated things:
1 The massive overrating of our IOL for several seasons repeating. Love rarely saw clean pockets and, as Justis ably described, that was the root problem. As he said, and I’ve been pointing to all season, the lack of sacks is a critical error when cities to claim that’s not a massive problem.
2 The persistent indiscipline and execution issues: shooting ourselves in the foot.
3 Tactical losses, notably scripted play periods but persisting beyond that. Against good teams, almost always playing from behind as a result.
4 The extraordinary boom/bust nature of the passing offense design. One seemingly designed to prevent anyone getting in rhythm. That’s been the hallmark for a while. It was in Rodgers last season, in the early part of last season and all this one, except with Willis perhaps, and despite the RBs carrying a greater load successfully this year.
5 A universal lack of progression (I exclude Kraft).
These things are inextricably linked. From the QB perspective, one would expect them all to suppress performance and many to encourage bad habits. Love certainly didn’t make the progression we hoped for, but in O, who did?
On field and off we went backwards bar at RB and Kraft. Love is not plausibly responsible for all of that. Love is more likely to have suffered from them as well than to be the anchor holding us back. His technique and frustrations seem to be increased by the lack of stable pockets and rhythm.
Focusing on Love seems like staring at a tree and thus missing seeing the woods. Clear up around it and that tree could yet be extremely healthy.
Bitternotsour
January 14, 2025 at 10:35 am
Decisive action isn't in the cards. He'll get one more season at the helm and if there's no NFC championship he'll be gone.
He owns the lack of progression on offense. #3 certainly looms large, I mean, they have to self-scout, right? As for the lack of progression, that might be more your vision than the actual product. They seem to have transitioned to a power offense, similar to Tennessee in the Vrabel era and maybe it puts the drafting of AJ Dillon in some perspective. Perhaps MLF owes more to Shanahan than to McVay and next year we see the true effect of that with new infusions on the line. Defensively there has been a big progression. Gute driven or LaFleur driven I can't tell, but the Head Coach gets credit. He had some vision for hiring Hafley.
Regardless, LaFleur is here next year, we can only hope this year was some sort of stepping stone into next and that there is both vision and plan in play. Your objections to LaFleur are tactical. My issues are with his leadership, I just think he's a fraud as a leader, tall hat, no cattle. But so be it. It's his team, we're just passengers on the bus.
NFLfan
January 14, 2025 at 12:07 pm
@BN-We are not just passengers on the bus.
There are a number of fans who will lose interest in the Packers if they remain unable to show signs of real growth. There are many who will get bored with the 'new normal' and jump ship.
Who wants to invest time and emotion in a team that makes the same mistakes and refuses to change?
Bitternotsour
January 14, 2025 at 01:04 pm
You clearly have no history with the team. We never run out of fans. Exit if you wish, we have plenty of replacements for you. You're literally, just a guy.
BuckyBadger
January 14, 2025 at 10:37 am
Love needs to improve his play if he ever wants to take the team to the next level. He is too erratic to have run an offense efficiently. The OL rates really high by not just PFF but several other analytics as well. The offense has a strong run game and Love's pressure rate is far better than most in the league.
The offense becomes limited because the QB can't execute at times the simplest of plays. One play he will thread the needle at 30yds and the next he over shoots the guy on a bubble screen. Love's mechanics are still poor and didn't improve this year.
When you are making $55M and that much of the cap you aren't going to have a lot of other pretty trees around you. You have to be the player to bring the offense to the next level. Can't pay a QB that much of your cap then say the OL has to be better when they graded out in the top 10. If you are getting above average play the QB has to get the job done.
NitschkeFan
January 14, 2025 at 11:36 am
Sorry but you are incorrect when you wrote the OL ranks high by PFF. Very much the opposite. Here are the PFF ranks for our starting OL
Josh Myers 38th out of 40 (so basically the worst Center in the league)
Sean Ryan 48th out of 77
Elgton Jenkins 30th out of 77
Rasheed Walker 41th out of 81
Zach Tom 5th out of 81
To summarize, that is one stud, three mediocre and one awful.
The subs, on limited snaps all ranked poorly by their PFF scores too (Jordan Morgan, Telfort, Glover)
In a further breakdown almost every single OLineman scored better in their pass-blocking grades than their run blocking grades.
AnotherPackFan
January 14, 2025 at 11:52 am
Bucky, I agree that Love underperformed . BUT, you can't blame Love's salary for 2024 on the lack of talent around him. You wrote
"When you are making $55M and that much of the cap you aren't going to have a lot of other pretty trees around you"
NFL contracts are deceiving to the casual fan (like you) as you read his $55 million aav and assume that is what impacts the Packers roster construction for this year.
Jordan Love cap hit
2024 $20.7 million
2025 $29.6 million
2026 $36.1 million
It keeps going up and in 2027 and 2028 you could argue he is going to be getting too much. But guess what? Like most NFL deal, the team can cut him after 2026 or 2027 and save cap space (but yes with big "dead money").
My point being that the 2024 roster and the 2025 roster are not harmed by Jordan Love's cap number. I wish Love played better but his cap number was not a problem.
NFLfan
January 14, 2025 at 10:24 am
I look forward to listening to Justis Mosqueda's insights as he tells the unvarnished truth. There is no homerism, spin control, politics, etc. He is clearly very knowledgeable as well.
Some thoughts:
-Rodgers was an average QB when his protection broke down. Love doesn't have Bakhtiari-level protection.
-Agree that GB needs to improve OL
-I would like more discussion as to why LF doesn't outsource play-calling/in game decisions to a well-respected OC? He is clearly struggling against better teams.
-Discussion about Love's mechanics/footwork. Would improvements make a difference in accuracy, confidence?
-Discussion about current position coach strengths and weaknesses--ie., Butkus, Rebrovich, etc.
Major Snafu
January 14, 2025 at 12:35 pm
Loves problems is between the ears. How many times this year alone did you see him just throw the ball to a guy clearly covered by one or two defenders. He was just throwing up a ball to get rid of it so he didnt get hit.
Trust me when I say you've already seen the best of Love and he will take this team nowhere because he lacks some throwing ability and mental ability to read a defense. You cant just toss balls to the outlet guy for no gains and shrug your shoulders, hey I tried and it wasnt an interception.
Pack fans will hate this guy by the end of next year, I would put money on it if I was a gambling man.
BuckyBadger
January 14, 2025 at 10:49 am
Why do fans say its the coach when the team fails vs better teams? To me that is a talent problem. MLF is one of the best coaches when the underdog covering the spread and winning out right more than almost any coach outside of Reid and Tomlin. The coach doesn't rush the passer or make the throws.
Since 2010 the team has failed vs the top teams but coaching won't fix that. They need to hit on their top picks more often. Gary is a good player but where he was drafted and what he is paid he needs to be a game wrecker, he isn't that. Van Ness is looking like a bust. The pass rush was average or below all season and they have too many top picks that missed to be like that.
Gute has done well putting together a team with late picks but the team needs difference makers. Guys who walk off the bus first and keep coordinators up at night. The Eagles have Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter because they got creative with their picks and trades. Packers are paying Love, Gary and Alexander to be premier players at their respective positions, perennial pro-bowlers. Love is an average QB that will have games he struggles and needs the team around him to pick him up. They are paying him Mahmoes money and they will never get that kind of play in return. Alexander is great when he plays but hasn't played a full season healthy in a long time.
The biggest reason the Pats had so much success with Brady and Belichick is because Belichick wouldn't pay B level talent A+ money. He let several good players walk like Ty Law and Chandler Jones because they weren't worth paying out a top contract for. He would get 3 good players instead of putting all the cap dollars into one player who might never reach that level of play again. When Alexander is hurt all those cap dollars sit as well and the guys behind him won't be as good.
NFLfan
January 14, 2025 at 11:31 am
@BB-
Coaching matters.
I would look to what Hafley has created out of very little (diminished corner room, weak Pass Rush, etc.) I have tons of respect for what he has had to do.
i do not see elite OL coaching. Mike Wahle has mentioned poor-average footwork, lack of refinement on fundamentals, frequent penalties. If the o-line player qualityis average, coaching becomes more important. There has been a regression since Stenavich left. There is also no depth-(that's on Gute)
Defensive line coaching? My guess is there is tremendous room for improvement esp when
the players are sub-par.
Major Snafu
January 14, 2025 at 12:25 pm
I have a novel idea but it wont fly with the cheap ball plans of the Packers. Lets do like the Vikes, Lions and Bears to and bring in top free agents to fill immediate holes and lets move down in the draft, bundling picks to get four or five guys who can start immediately and contribute to the team and stop the cluster f they call devolpment.
Development cant work these days because the contracts are five years and at year four those that can produce, take off for MO Money saying bye bye to cheap ball. They aint giving home town discounts.
The Vikes are always in a win now mode. Fans want wins. Fans dont want 8-9 seasons, they want victories and players on first and second strings who can come in and know what to do if called upon.
As another poster pointed out, the Vikes had a great draft for more speedy receivers plus they found - this is a GM who knows and brings in talent, two free agent pass rushers, each had 11 sacks this year and made the pro bowl. You cant compete with this with the Van Ness of the world that you drafted and then tried to bench sit as a developmental. The guy is so confused he doesnt know left from right.
NFLfan
January 14, 2025 at 12:58 pm
.
Major Snafu
January 14, 2025 at 12:44 pm
I took a look at next years home and away games. Based on the current teams statuses, assuming none of those teams get worse or better for that matter, I see a record on 6-11. That could change by a game or two but not much IMO.
This year I did not try to determine a record no knowing what Love would show up and the new d coach - not having hardly any d experience would do. We did okay but played the weakest teams in the nFL minus the vikes, eagle and Lions, 6 losses.
Next year not so lucky. Top teams are coming to Labeau and were playing top teams at their homes too.
If GB is the average team I think it is, 6-11 maybe 7-10 is about right.
I also am guessing that at this very same time next year many fans wont be lauding Loves game anymore.
NFLfan
January 14, 2025 at 01:08 pm
@Fubar-
In fairness to Love, though he does need to make improvements, but the Packer O-line is average to below average, play-calls are erratic., WR's are mostly 3's, Reed is a 2.