Joseph's Gems: BC's Mahogany is the Hafley Prodigy you Don't Want to Miss

The Packers' New DC also produced some pretty good offensive talent too.

 

We are just a little under 30 days away from the 2024 NFL Draft, and the CHTV Big Board is steadily rounding out into form. It's a tough draft class if you haven't picked up on that yet; and NFL Front Offices everywhere are digging deep for that vital piece of information, that crucial cut of film, and whatever other valuable tidbits they can pull together to select a future All-Pro come late April.

I've been digging as well to the point of exhaustion. And with the Draft just a few weeks away I've settled on a handful of prospects who the Packers should be honing in on to address their respective needs. Ladies & Gentlemen, it's the 2024 Edition of Joseph's Gems.

Part I features Boston College's Christian Mahogany.

 

Christian Mahogany hails from Elmwood Park, NJ, and played for nearby Paramus Catholic High School, a known major player in the state. Mahogany received a 3-Star rating across the board from ESPN, Rivals.com, and 24/7 Sports. Mahogany received offers from a whopping 20 schools, including Cincinnati, James Madison, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Syracuse, Vanderbilt, and Rutgers before committing to Boston College.

Mahogany has 33 games of experience at both Guard positions, logging over 2,200 snaps. Mahogany is the mauler type of offensive lineman that running game coordinators dream of. Mahogany explodes off the line with violent hands to boot. Once Christian cleans up his assignment the linebacker at the second level better watch out, or he's just another name on his list of victims. Mahogany was an ascendant talent as a sophomore in 2021, securing 2nd Team All-ACC Honors. He probably would have been a lock for the 2023 Draft (I had a Priority 3rd Round Grade on him) if it wasn't for tearing his ACL his Junior season. But Mahogany bounced back quite nicely, allowing only 7 QB hurries, with 0 hits or sacks allowed, which made him good for 1st Team All-ACC in 2023. Even with the accolades and the promise Christian has shown, there's still more tools to add to his game. It's not often, but Mahogany will lose his feet from time to time, and if he can clean that up for good, we go from just an outstanding starter who should see his share of Pro Bowls to a potential future All-Pro.

You can see what Coach Haf and others had to say about Christian here:

 

 

 

 

Overall, I consider Christian the #2 True Guard in the 2024 Draft Class, second to only UConn's Christian Haynes. Unfortunately, things get complicated when you take into account other interior offensive lineman prospects like Oregon's Jackson Powers-Johnson, West Virginia's Zach Frazier, plus Duke's Graham Barton who might also get selected to play inside. Add that with a very deep offensive tackle class and it muddies the water on where Mahogany might get selected. 

So with that being said, is Chrisitan Mahogany a Gem? We're going to find out, but in case some of you guys are new to the series, let's go over "What's a Gem"?

 

Size - Adequate height and weight for the position (Within my parameters but with historical precedents, more on that later)

RAS - Must be able to compete at the NFL Level

Production - Gotta be a stat sheet stuffer. 

Competition - Power 5 vs Group of 5 vs FCS and below, it matters. 

 

Gems have to check at least 3 out of 4 of those boxes. If a player checks all 4, consider him SOLID GOLD as Certified by your favorite "GM-ologist" (Get it?)

 

 

SIZE

Christian Mahogany checks in at 6'3 a 1/3, with 10 1/2 inch hands, 33 1/2 inch arms, and 314 pounds. If he was on the Packers' roster today, he'd be the shortest offensive lineman in the group. However, there is precedent here. Corey Linsley(Thompson), Josh Sitton(Thompson), Scott Wells(Sherman), Lane Taylor(Thompson), and Jason Spitz(Thompson)were all productive interior offensive linemen for the Green and Gold at 6'3 and under. While current GM Brian Gutekunst has yet to dip below 6'4, he doesn't stray too far away from Thompson's measurables. It's not uncommon for the interior linemen to be shorter in the NFL, so no worries here. What is notable is Mahogany meets Gutekunst's and Thompson's threshold of 33 1/4 inch arms and a weight that hovers somewhere between 310 and 321 pounds. Mahogany checks the box for size.

RAS

Despite having slightly less than ideal length, Mahogany scored very well in the explosion, speed, and agility categories. I'm slightly concerned he didn't bench, but I will trust the tape as Christian moves the pile quite well, even on short and goal-to-go situations when the defense has stacked the box. His closest pro-comp? No other than Josh Sitton. Double Check.

Production

Across 3 years in college, Mahogany only allowed 4 sacks in his entire career, with the most recent being in 2021. As a Senior, Mahogany was part of an offense that averaged 198.3 rushing yards per game, good for 2nd in the ACC and 16th in the nation. Mahogany shined in a loss against eventual ACC Champion Florida State during the regular season and a win against SMU in the Fenway Bowl, where BC produced 152 and 262 yards rushing respectively. Triple Check.

Competition 

While this was considered a "down" year for the ACC, there was still some fine matchups for Chrisitan Mahogany to negotiate. Mahogany went up against Florida State's formidable combo of Jared Verse(Top-20 Pick) and Braden Fiske(2nd Round Grade) plus Miami's pairing of Leonard Taylor III(Top 150) and James Williams(Top 150) and didn't miss a beat. Quadruple Check.

 

Certification

Based on my findings, I certify Boston College's Christian Mahogany as SOLID GOLD and should be a lock to be selected on Day 2!!!!

 

Would the Packers be interested?

While there's been a lot of talk of this tackle class, the same could not be said of the interior linemen. The Packers require some reinforcements across the entire offensive line, but I'd give the interior the nod on needing the most help. Elgton Jenkins hasn't played a full season since his Rookie and 2nd years in the league. Jon Runyan is now a Giant. Royce Newman is somehow still on the roster (likely due to some nudes of Head Coach Matt LaFleur in the locker room). Sean Rhyan, who although looks the part, would probably benefit from some noteworthy competition. Once again, if we're talking "True Guards", Mahogany is 2nd best in the class. I know the Packers love to take shorter armed and lesser athletic tackles and move them inside, but Mahogany still fits the bill. Mahogany's 9.65 RAS trumps Rhyan's 9.33 score, and still places him tops over Elgton's 9.29 as well. While he may not have the length the other linemen on the roster have, his ability to pull, finish, and get to the next level is highly desirable for LaFleur's scheme. I hope to heaven that Brian Gutekunst has Mahogany on his board; the Day 3 options aren't particularly appetizing based on what I've seen so far.

 

Lotta ball game, or scouting I should say left. Gems will be back soon for another prospect in the 2024 series.

#GPG

 

CORRECTION: Sean Rhyan's RAS was reported earlier as a 8.19, but that was at the offensive tackle position. His RAS as an offensive guard has been corrected to 9.33.

 

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Joseph has been an avid fan of the Green Bay Packers since 1997, citing an affinity for dairy products during his childhood and his favorite color, green. Born in Jacksonville, FL, Joseph currently is an Active Duty servicemember in the U.S. Armed Forces. Joseph considers himself a lifelong fan of the game of football, competing since his youth well into adulthood. When it comes to the Pack, Joseph is particularly impassioned about the NFL Draft and collegiate scouting process, and will contribute regularly on CHTV.com leading to that year's upcoming Draft. You can follow him on Twitter at @joeyreyallday.

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Comments (20)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
LLCHESTY's picture

April 01, 2024 at 03:11 pm

Rhyan's RAS was a 9.35 for guards and he had a much better 3-cone than Mahogany. TT's threshold while he was GM was 7.67 but Gutey has taken a couple guys lower than that. The Packers like O linemen with good verticals so Mahogany might still be on their board. They might draft him if he's still there at 88 or 91. Cooper Beebe crushed the 3-cone BTW with a 7 44 at 322 lbs but had a slower shuttle and shorter vertical. Haynes didn't do the agilities but looked pretty agile on the one on ones at the Senior Bowl.

Packers don't usually draft guards but this year there's a few that they might have some interest in.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 01, 2024 at 03:56 pm

I'll stick with Beebe, or Coleman.

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JosephR's picture

April 02, 2024 at 04:33 pm

I know a lot of you like Coleman, but as a technician, Mahogany is just lightyears ahead of him in my opinion.

Beebe, who I have no problem with, is just too big for the Packers historically.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 03, 2024 at 02:09 pm

Coleman an OT/OG with wide-zone movement skills from TCU's Air Raid attack. Mahogony is up and down boards. He's a Pittsburgh type guy for power gap.

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Coldworld's picture

April 01, 2024 at 04:41 pm

3 cone is less important at G than for T by some way, but it can’t be too bad. I don’t think Mahogany’s is though. It’s effectively average for a G. He’s got pretty good explosiveness. Rhyan did not have a good shuttle, Mahogany did. He likes to pull and is good at it.

As long as the Packers are willing to take a non T prospect, I actually like Mahogany. He’s going to have to improve his foot technique somewhat I think in terms of movement but also balance—he has a tendency to get out ahead of them at times. The question is where in the draft does he belong? I’d have said early third day, but I see some late day 2 projections.

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Turophile's picture

April 01, 2024 at 06:06 pm

I thought Earl Dotson (who played RT for the Packers for a decade) was 6'3", but his wiki page says he is 6'4". Height is not so important as arm length though (Dotson's arm length was 33.88" - long enough). Indeed, a slightly shorter height makes it easier to get under your opponent.

Fautanu is one guy I'm looking at, at pick 25.
9.4 RAS, 34 1/2" arms, in a power 5 conference, In 2023 he allowed 2 pressures, 2 sacks and won the Morris trophy. Already a great pass protector, needs some work to improve run blocking. Has the agility, strength, hand use, footwork and smarts to be a long-time starter.

I'd take any of Barton, Powers-Johnson or Fautanu at #25 and be happy. Of course the value of a guy is always relative to which draft pick they will cost, so a pick of one of these there at #25 is a premium expenditure of draft capital.

If you want a guy deeper in the draft, I am a fan of ILB Junior Colson (though he isn't my hidden gem). I like him because of his 97% tackling as rated on Draft Buzz. He might be a target at 58.

There is one guy with a higher tackling rating than him though who IS my hidden gem, Nathaniel Watson (Mississippi ST. 6'2", 233, 4.63 40). He managed a 99% tackling grade. The Packers really could use a top tackler and linebackers absolutely have to be good at this. He does not score well on explosion (overall RAS 6.88) but his speed is good with an elite wingspan. His height is nothing special but is good enough. Not only is he a great tackler, he can arrive with real force too. More Will than Mike and could be a real bargain in round 5-6.

For the O line, Mason McCormick at guard could be there in round 4. He has an unofficial 9.96 RAS out of 10. He could do with another 7-10lbs to hold up at guard. Draft Buzz ranked his pass blocking at 100% and run blocking at 88%. Needs to use his hands better.

For a more developmental guy there is OT Walter Rouse (Oklahoma, 6'6", 313). He would be a better player if he kept lower and bent at the knees, not the waist. If coaches think these are correctible faults, he could be something. RAS 7.71 (his shuttle and 3 cone let him down). Could be there in round 6.

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JosephR's picture

April 02, 2024 at 04:30 pm

Appreciate the catch. 9.33.

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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 01, 2024 at 03:41 pm

I would just enjoy seeing a capable, ill-tempered, earth-moving, pancakin' S.O.B. on the interior of the Packers line. So Mahogany in the third? If so, then perhaps he could also help the Hafley family with their move to GB. Even splitting the gas.

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Turophile's picture

April 02, 2024 at 05:21 am

You are describing JPJ, but you have to get him at 25 because he is gone well before pick 41.

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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 02, 2024 at 10:27 am

I would be quite OK with JPJ at 25 because he would address a few of the IOL issues. It seems that he is very much liked by the media and fans. However, apparently some scouts have him rated as a second round pick.

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LambeauPlain's picture

April 01, 2024 at 04:52 pm

Enjoy your articles, Joseph.

I am not a Newman fan, but I take it you truly are an anti-fan:

"Royce Newman is somehow still on the roster (likely due to some nudes of Head Coach Matt LaFleur in the locker room)."

This is the draft to load up on OL. Not all 11...but maybe 4, at least 3. Good depth and picks will be made at the strong classes at QB and WR...keeping more OL on the Packers board.

Packers won't be aggressively hunting Edge, DL, TE, or RB either...sending more OL toward their 11 selections.

I like this draft opportunity for the Pack. Gutey had a great 2023. Hope it is an emerging trend that will become a habit.

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Leatherhead's picture

April 01, 2024 at 05:10 pm

"Royce Newman is still...on the roster"

He's on the roster because we haven't had 9 guys better that could suit up. And you know what? If it's not addressed, he'll be on the roster this year too That'#9 OL isn't important until an injury hits and makes him a starter.

Using the strategy of making small trades down, I usually end up getting three real good OL on Day 2 , but even that isn't driving Newman off the roster. He'd still be #9 or #10, with Caleb Jones. And that's without any of the Top 8 being injured.

I'm not a fan who likes to bash his own players, but when you have situations like last year where , because of injuries, Newman is lining up next to Walker (whose own head was spinning) and guys are getting some running shots at Love.....well, you can't beat anybody.

He'll definitely be invited to camp and I wouldn't bet against him surviving if a guy or two gets injured in training camp.

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JosephR's picture

April 02, 2024 at 04:36 pm

I hope to God you're wrong. But I like the take.

Do you remember the movie The Replacements with Keanu Reeves?

When Falco came out at halftime against Dallas and the owner said, "Falco? The hell is he up to..."

I felt the same about Gutey drafting Newman.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 01, 2024 at 05:51 pm

I am in your camp Leatherhead. Making at least 2 small trades back can gain us 2 more picks in the 4th & 5th rounds where we could make some hay picking O-linemen. If one of 2 guys isn't on the board @ #25, I would find a trade partner. #42 would be as far back as I would want to move back, because the actual Top IOL, Cooper Beebe would be waiting. Beebe as over 1200 snaps @ LT/RT and over 1500 snaps @ LG, with only FOUR SACKs total. Zach Barton had 10 total.

My IOL Top picks are

JPJ- Fautanu and JPJ are my only #25 picks-otherwise trade back
Cooper Beebe
Christian Mahogany-he only plays OG-All others play multiple positions
Brandon Coleman
Dominic Puni
Zac Zinter

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Leatherhead's picture

April 01, 2024 at 06:13 pm

I'm actually talking Top 100, not Day 3.

Current Consensus Simulation:

A small trade down and I get Cooper DeJean at #29, plus #61 and some Day 3 stuff.

At 41, I get the Center for the next 4 years, Zack Frazier. Then I do some trading down with AZ and I end up with.

#61, Kiran Amegadjie
#66 Max Melton
#88, Sedric Van Pran
#90, Jaylen Wright
#91, Braelon Allen.

So that's 3 OL in the Top 88. And we could use every one of them. I like Mahogany, but drafting a guy who only plays guard would have to wait until Day 3 for me.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 01, 2024 at 09:08 pm

Frazier had a slower 3-cone than the Packers like but isn't 100% yet so it depends on how they feel about his film. He could also draw more attention from power running teams than zone teams. I'd like to see him on the Packers but I could see them having questions on him.

https://twitter.com/dpbrugler/status/1774228696380973089?t=q1gpLtXAlAIQI...

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Kevin Carpenter's picture

April 02, 2024 at 12:48 am

You wouldn't be excited if GB got McCormick on day 3??

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cdoemel's picture

April 01, 2024 at 06:35 pm

Great article! 👍👍

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packersfan0617@gmail.com's picture

April 01, 2024 at 10:44 pm

Great article

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TKWorldWide's picture

April 04, 2024 at 11:28 am

I like blockers that can block.
Extra points for pancakes.
As well as having a superlative surname.

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