Cory's Corner: This Draft Is Dripping With Value

Jordan Addison fits the bill for the first round pick because there aren't many consistent home run threats later on in the draft. 

I am really looking forward to this draft because there is value all over the place. 

Many think the Packers will take Tennessee offensive tackle Darnell Wright with the first pick. That’s not a bad pick for a guy that has played 27 games at right tackle and 13 at left tackle. But the Packers could also get Ohio State’s Dawand Jones, who started 14 games at right tackle, in the second round.

You could say the same about the defensive line. I absolutely love Iowa’s Lukas Van Ness. He certainly fits the mold that the Packers want. He’s a selfless guy that is willing to play anywhere. I’m just not sure he’s worth the No. 15 pick — especially when Clemson’s Bryan Bresee might be even better at a lower price. 

Then there is the defensive back argument. There’s a good chance we could see six defensive backs drafted in the first round. And here’s the kicker: the Packers could easily wait and get Georgia’s Kelee Ringo in the second round and move him over to safety. He’s got excellent speed, he’s got the bulk but has shown some warts at pinpointing the ball. Seems like a perfect marriage to safety and much-needed help for a position that has lacked playmakers. 

This is why I loved what the Chicago Bears did by trading the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to Carolina. While everyone thinks the Bears are all-in on Justin Fields, all they are doing is just giving themselves more value later on. The Bears may end up taking a quarterback in this draft and could land a steal by getting Tennessee’s Hendon Hooker in the second round. 

So what should general manager Brian Gutekunst do? Well, we have all seen plenty of holes. The Packers need help on the defensive line, offensive line, safety, tight end and could use more bodies at wide receiver. Gutekunst is a knowledgeable shopper and I don’t see him reaching for Notre Dame tight end Michael Mayer, when he has been ranked in the 20s by just about everyone. At 6-foot-4, 249 pounds, he would be an impressive pair of hands for Jordan Love to lean on. 

But the guy the Packers should be targeting simply because this isn’t as big of a wide receiver pool, is USC’s Jordan Addison. He is synonymous with the big play, with 23 plays of 15 yards or more this year and nine plays of 25 yards or more. And he logged those numbers on a 5-foot-11, 173-pound frame. I realize the Packers have a knack for drafting the big wideouts, but Addison has an ace in the hole: he’s also got experience as a kick and punt returner.

The Packers will have plenty of transitional issues on offense, but drafting Addison could go a long ways in masking up for some of those issues. Not to mention, Addison is used to change. In 2020 at the University of Pittsburgh, he totaled 666 receiving yards. By the following year at Southern Cal, he had 1,583 yards. He’s a home run threat every time he touches the ball, which is something you cannot find later on in this draft. 

Addison’s route running is superb and his one-on-one play is very impressive.

Obviously, the easy play for Gutekunst and Co. is to trade down and just acquire more assets. That isn’t a bad strategy, given that there are so many talented players that will be available in the second round. However, not taking a proven playmaker in Addison would be a huge mistake.  

 

 

 

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Cory Jennerjohn is a graduate from UW-Oshkosh and has been in sports media for over 15 years. He was a co-host on "Clubhouse Live" and has also done various radio and TV work as well. He has written for newspapers, magazines and websites. He currently is a columnist for CHTV and also does various podcasts. He recently earned his Masters degree from the University of Iowa. He can be found on Twitter: @Coryjennerjohn

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Comments (94)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 08, 2023 at 06:19 am

"You could say the same about the defensive line. I absolutely love Iowa’s Lukas Van Ness. He certainly fits the mold that the Packers want. He’s a selfless guy that is willing to play anywhere. I’m just not sure he’s worth the No. 15 pick — especially when Clemson’s Bryan Bresee might be even better at a lower price. "

Cory, what do you mean by lower price?

What is the "price" and what is the differential in "price".

Can you be specific?

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:06 am

I think Cory means you can get him in R2/3 instead of R1.

For myself I worry about Bresee. At times he looks like a top 5 pick only to disappear for a long time and play like an UDFA.

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CoryJennerjohn's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:54 am

StarrtoRodgers,

Basically, you can get a similar talent in the second round without having to pay for a first round price. The first round needs to be reserved for someone that is a transformational talent -- a skill or talent that cannot be found later on in the draft.

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BDU's picture

April 09, 2023 at 11:02 am

By that criteria, Addison is the last player the Packers should draft then.

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Racingdad's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:01 am

My draft crush is Darnell wright and andy did his show on him today do yourselves a favor and watch

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:31 am

All-SEC, first round guy, anchor at RT.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:06 am

Dripping with talent, yet, not a single player mentioned slots into the #15, except Mayer, also ranked #15 Overall by Athlon.

Does Addison? He piled his stats in at Pitt as a Sophomore. They dropped significantly after transferring to USC for one year. He had 18 career PR for 12.2 and 2 career KR for 19.2.

Does Van Ness? Maybe. I want some hustle numbers with an EDGE. TFL, sacks, FF, FR seem to be lacking, the latter 2 categories he has nothing. FFs are game changing plays. So are FRs. Good pressure numbers, hits, but needs a ton of development. He’s got the RAS, but not a single start.

Bresee? He’s got fewer, plus injury history.

OT Darnell Wright is good, but ranked #52 Overall in Athlon’s Top 100, and projects him R2-3.

OT Dewand Jones 6-9 370 exceeds the Packers weight profile and ranks #36 overall.

CB Kelee Ringo is a late 1st-early 2nd.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:10 am

This is the draft to trade down and pile up day 2 picks.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:35 am

While that’s true, there are a few players I would not want to miss out on.

Depends how it falls in real time.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:19 am

Totally agree. I saw a mock on cbssports that has Christian Gonzalez falling to the Packers at 15. If he fell there is no way that I wouldn't pick him at 15 as you can never have too many good CBs.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:46 am

Exactly doublej!

I think with all of the QBs taken ahead of us, and what is usually the two top OTs, add just one team GM who reaches… there’s a chance two players of that significance will fall into our laps.

We’re speculating, but, why not? Fandom.

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golfpacker61's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:08 am

I have been preaching it from Day one. Green Bay is NOT one player away from being a contender. Trading back in the first round is the play unless we get the #13, #42, and #43 picks from the Jets as Green Gold has predicted. I hope he is right but if not I would be really happy with both 2023 2nd round picks coupled with 2024 conditional pick and players. Or Johnson the 1st round Edge in place of 2024 pick. But I still want Ruckert and Mims too.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:56 am

You take any Top TE with the trade down.
Because the top 3 could be gone by 45.
Next; who was the better LB/edge?
P. Smith or Z. Smith?
My point is do you want a Preston Smith.
A Possible CM3, or Z. Smith.
Because None match Gary .

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:08 am

Here’s where we might disagree.

TE Darnell Washington is ranked Athlon’s #19 player overall. There’s no way I pass on him. Dynamite in-line talent. He was a WR in HS, used to getting 60 receptions per year. He knows how to run a route & catch a freakin’ ball.

Guess who’s #18 overall… TE Tucker Kraft.

I’d consider taking both at 13 and 15. Can you imagine running 12 personnel with 2 high quality in-line TEs??? Holy crap! Talk about dynamic, and keeping defenses guessing… and, what THAT would do to our running game?

I expect no less than 3 TEs to be taken R1. So, we trade Aaron Rodgers for maybe the 4th or 5th best TE in this draft, and an R3? That makes no sense to me.

EDGE is the deepest pool of talent for 2023 than we’ve seen in about a decade. After Anderson Jr, the #1 Overall, I don’t have a favorite until #50 Overall… and there’s EDGE players I really like into R6.

On that, EDGE, I could see Gutekunst drafting Nolan Smith. Small pass rusher? Yes, but also a Micah Parsonsesque dynamo defender, both run and pass. The Packers might be looking to add Smith as a hybrid overall defender. I would not argue against that pick up high. Not my first choice, but having Nolan Smith marauding alongside Quay Walker has its appeal.

We have to remember, the draft is not about winning the draft. It’s about winning Super Bowls.

Load your team where you need it, where you can best get it.

We need 2 TEs.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:06 am

I would not rate the Tes that high.
But I would rate them higher, based on "Need."
(Based on the Myers pick. )
And Draft visit.
I agree on Smith.
But I still would rate others just behind him.
I'll take Smith to win the super-bowl.
But am expecting a trade down.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:20 pm

I'll take Smith to have a blown out knee trying to leverage against OTs with long reach and 75-95 lb weight advantage. Felix with 34"-0 arms, 9-5/8 mitts. He had production 22 sacks and the Forced fumbles on the strips. That reveals technique. He has the rip , swim and bulls the OTs. Fast first step.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 03:16 pm

I know you don't like Clemson players.
But Myles Murphy just ran a 4.52 and did great.
The packers were in attendance.

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BirdDogUni's picture

April 08, 2023 at 04:24 pm

8 1/2" hands...

Idk if that is a big enough drawback to keep him off the Packers radar, but it might be.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:21 am

I agree we need 2 TEs, however, the success rate for R1 TEs is VERY VERY low. I suggest you listen to Andy Herman's podcast about R1 TEs since 2000. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kqOlIvB29U

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 05:03 pm

IMO- This is the trade down for the TEs-

15./25. Dalton Kincaid. TE Utah
45. Luke Musgrave TE Oregon State
57. DJ Turner CB. Mi.
78. JL Skinner. S. Boise St.
116. Jamie Robinson. S Fl St.
149. Tyjae Spears. RB Tulane
170c. Zack Kuntz. Te Dominion
232. Jaren Hall. QB BYU
235. Charlie Jones. WR. PU
236. Hunter Luepke FB ND state
242. Matt Landers. WR. ARK.
256c. Mohamed Ibrahim RB Minn.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 11:54 am

That is why you trade back and pick one @ #27 while gaining a 2nd and a 4th. These are a different group of TEs this year and we cannot afford to miss out on one of the top 5. We would have our pick in the late 20s. Edge with our first 2nd round pick. Hopefully the trade is done by the draft, and we have #42 and #43 from Jets. 4 picks in the 2nd round would be the absolute best scenario ever.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:40 am

I still rate Kraft as the #45, same guy as Mayer, but faster. Kincaid is an Air Raid slot TE, Washington is way over-rated and Musgrave has little production to show for three years at Oregon State, but a lot of Injuries.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 12:51 pm

I think Kunz has overtaken Musgrave. Although Musgrave was underused at Oregon State and used more as a blocker. Musgrave is now a 3rd or 4th rounder to me and I would probably choose Schoonmaker or Josh Whyle over him.

Kraft might be the best "first pick" TE along with Mayer. They also block very well but at least we have seen their catching ability and they have both had to play in colder Green Bay like weather. Washington and Mayer are ready to start day one, probably Kraft too.

If we can make our way to the back of the first round I think 4 of the 5 top TEs will still be available. We can choose who we like best. These 5 give us the best chance for an impact TE like other teams have. 2 more later turns the TE room from a black hole into a strength in one year.

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golfpacker61's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:11 am

Stock, I think the top 5 will be gone by 45. We cannot miss this opportunity. The best play is trading back and picking our favorite TE later in the 1st. Buffalo is looking like a trade partner according to reports.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:36 am

Addison is fragile. Ringo probably goes lower first round. Wright is a solid pick after the top three tackles go by mid-first round. Anton Harrison is as good, or better than Skoronski, great footwork. Jones is a Ravens power gap guy. Van Ness never enters my first round, or upper second.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:11 am

No were not taking a OT @#1.
You want a RT. Sign Turner again.
After all; Gutey puts 1 year guys there.

As far as the DL. Forget it.
Bresee And Van Ess are turtles.
Turtles don’t get off blocks.
AND- Compared to Wyatt. Move on.

Dbs.- Ok I’ll buy your Argument for Ringo.
Much rather have him, then a guy from bama.

Don’t quote the Bears. They Suck.

Gutey should trade down, for a windfall.
And fill the DL and Safety with the extras.
But take TE first.

Addison would be the last person
to take, if you want a physical WR.
He won’t be returning anything, if he’s good.
But he is a matchup-nightmare. If in motion.
I can’t see him outrunning an All pro CB.
He will be shadowed by a CB. Neutralizing him.
His small catch Radius could indicate, he won’t
make the contested Catch.
Which is why I wouldn’t take him @15.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:31 am

I would like to get Julius Brents and move him to S. 6'3 200lbs with 34" arms. Ran a 4.53 with 1.57 10 yard split. Can jump out of the building and has great agility numbers. He is a zone corner with the demeanour to move to S. Looks like an ideal candidate for deep middle or defending big TEs.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:53 am

If we're going to move CBs to the Safety position.
Why Not? Might work.
He's 2nd rd. Late.
Need extra picks to get him.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:38 am

I don’t like moving CBs to Safety, but, Brents already has Safety experience.

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Racingdad's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:08 am

He should be available in second if we have multiple picks we need a te in second most likely -but I too like Brents to move to safety seems to check most boxes - but there are a few free safety types in later rds that would work. We sure could use more second rd picks !!

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Coldworld's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:39 am

What is the fascination with slot guys? Addison is 5’11 173, he’s got a lot of early Adams type characteristics, unfortunately including the drops, and the lack of top end speed, but he’s much smaller and flimsier. He’s not going to be able to be as versatile as Adams was as a result. He’s also less likely to be as durable.

We have Doubs, Toure and Melton who can play the slot. We need a bigger middle presence in the wake of Lazards’s departure, we need a true perimeter guy to compliment Watson and allow Doubs to move around.

I get it that small fast, or here, agile slots can rack up points in college. Great, but we have options there and other unfillrf roles within the WR room. Tyreek Hill is an outlier and he’s truly fast, which Addison isn’t. Melton is already on our roster and he’s a quick twitch 4.3 type and also has a much stronger lower body and post catch potential. The same height, 22 pounds heavier, faster. His routes may not be as polished, but his ball in hand ability is higher.

We need diversity and speed to compliment Watson and we probably need some size if the Lazard role is retained in the WR room. We have agility types already.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:49 am

Seriously, we don’t need slot with Bo on our roster. This kid’s gonna explode.

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dobber's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:49 am

I'm not going to bank on it.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:51 am

But it might be a fun wager!

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dobber's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:58 am

I still owe marpag $5 from my last CHTV wager...

...he let me off the hook.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:55 am

If they want a FS, with some smarts and guts, draft Sydney Brown. They want Savage roaming the back end. Will he respond,or fail ?

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:47 am

Brents is a CB all the way. He is best close to the LOS. Stevenson from Miami, or Mehki Garner are big CBs who hit. Cory Trice blasts people.
I would leave all of these guys on the perimeter and flex to slot. More of the bigger CBs to handle the TEs and slot mismatches.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:31 am

He started as a safety before being moved to CB because he is decently fast, especially at his height. From NFL Draft Buzz.
"Julius Brents is an outstanding prospect, he possesses elite athletic ability which he demonstrated at the combine. He also has prototypical length and size and displays elite skills when lined up as an outside press corner. However, Brents could have had an even higher upside if he made the switch back to safety where his talents as a hitter and experienced tackler would be put to better use - we could see him ultimately as being elite.

As a corner Brents is very good in coverage but not outstanding and his lack of deep speed could be taken advantage of by speedier receivers at the next level. He also needs to become better at reading the QB and not being beaten due to generally overly aggressive play.
Overall, Brents projects to be a very good pro prospect as a corner where he projects to become a solid starter as an outside corner. As a corner, we look at him as representing good value in the second or third round of the 2023 NFL draft, however, he offers first-round value if viewed as a potential safety prospect. "

He seems like an ideal player to have as a safety that is able to cover the slot if you want to stay in base against 11 personnel. Also allows you to have a big and decently fast player to cover the bigger TEs in the league. On top of that he can play close to the LOS as he he graded in the elite category for tackling in 2022. Getting him in late R2 could easily be worth the pick for high upside at a position of need.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:40 pm

I agree with his value as a Safety from his background. I like these Big CBs to add flexibility of scheme, but those ideas may go right over and through Barry's acumen. Brents is one guy (i) like. My Hierarchy is Felix at Edge before KC bags him, Tillman and Kraft in round two. Move picks if necessary from 2024. Do, or die for Gutey. He arranged the deck chairs.

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golfpacker61's picture

April 08, 2023 at 12:19 pm

Brents came to Iowa as a safety. He would be a good one or Mekhi Garner-LSU, 6'2 215 4.55

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:48 am

For the most part I like this, stockholder.

I’m anticipating we take #13 overall, so trading 15 down might make sense.

If we’re sitting this high at both 13 & 15, with two generational talents in front of us, I take both.

There’s no way AR goes to NYJ without Bak, and better OL players. Since NYJ failed to add OL (Lazard & Hardman instead), that tells me we include Myers & Runyan with AR. Bak follows after June 1.

That makes sense, right?

AR won’t trust rookies, and NYJ needs starters at C, OG and LT, at the very least. Myers will command an R2 plus. Runyan will command their other R2. That leaves #13 as compensation for AR.

If OTs Paris Johnson Jr. or Broderick Jones are sitting there at #13, I think they are possibilities.

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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

April 09, 2023 at 12:02 pm

Offensive tackle is virtually the only position worth drafting at #15 assuming Brodrick Jones, Peter Skoronski, or Parris Johnson falls to them. If those 3 are gone, the only move is to trade back.

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Handsback's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:38 am

I love drafts like this. You have QBs that are young and with questionable stats but physical prowess. Richardson from Fl and Levis from Ky. Teams that need QBs know they won’t fall to end of first so have to trade up. Green Bay has never been in a position where they could reap that benefit. At least not in a long time, but now they can. Hopefully they can get a little more than normal in their trade back, if they do it, because teams have to try and get that special QB.
Who the Pack gets will be a mystery to me. I still see a top ten player drop to them and have to make a decision of take the player or trade back and chose another two maybe not as good but more value. Let’s say Robinson drops to the Packers, but the Chargers or Cowboys want to trade down to late first but throw in another 2nd round pick. Do you take the best RB in the draft or get a possible DL guy from your new pick that you couldn’t touch before? Just an example of what could happen.
One last issue, we don’t know what the injuries are on some of these players. Since it’s officially the lying time of the season don’t put much weight on injury discussions. We don’t and won’t know that aspect.
Just MHO

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ReaganRulz's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:38 am

Love needs more playmakers, period. Excluding Jones and Dillon, how can we expect him to succeed with three 2 year WRs with a history of injuries already? Trade Up, Trade Down, Trade Sideways…..don’t care. Just get some players that can move the chains!!

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mrtundra's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:39 am

According to the CHTV Draft Guide, Dawand Jones does not fit with what the Packers are looking for in an OT. I'd go for Paris Johnson or Peter Skoronski, before I thought about taking Dawand Jones. #15, in the draft probably won't be a TE or WR, either as that is something the Packers do not do. I'd look for a Defender(DB, Edge, Line guy) or an O Line guy at 15, if you are trying to predict what the Packers will do with that pick.Personally, I'd like Jaxon Ngiba-Smith, as a Slot WR picked there, or a stud DB like Witherspoon, Gonzalez or Branch. I have a feeling Bijan Robinson falls to 15. A RB, of his caliber, doesn't come around too often. Yes, we have Jones and Dillon, with Taylor riding the pine, but Dillon is in the last year of his contract. Will Gute bite on Bijan? I don't think so, but the vikings may move up to grab him. Do we want that guy running against us at least twice a season? Therein lies the rub, for getting a DL guy who can stop the run, at #15.

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Coldworld's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:47 am

I would not take an OT at 15. The roster is well stacked there. Yes, it’s always wise to add more talent at OT, but this year the norm is replaced by the number of needs. Trade back if OT is out best option if we can. I’m fine with Nijman/Walker/Jones/Tenuta or whomever on the right, Bakh/Tom/Nijman/Jones on the left, even ignoring a healthy Jenkins. Good enough for now, plenty to develop for next year. Not where we should go unless forced in the first.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:36 am

Bak going to NYJ, and possibly others changes that landscape. Plus, we may want to move on from Yosh if he prices himself out or fails to progress.

You know AR. Bak will be a Jet after June 1st. My guess Myers & Runyan too, because AR demands it, and Woody Johnson likely agrees.

AR will not go to NYJ with their OL looking more like a M*A*S*H unit. And he’s not going to trust 3 rookie draftees.

Paris Johnson or Broderick Jones, if they are there? Take one. Other starting caliber OTs remain on this roster, or could be found R2-4.

I don’t buy for one second Bak stays in GB.

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dobber's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:52 am

Bakhtiari's restructure means he's going nowhere.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 12:01 pm

Not if he’s traded June 2nd.

dobber, why did Rodgers make his decision to play for the Jets on the same Friday Bakhtiari signed his trade friendly extension?

Did you notice Bak’s extension one of the only ones without VOID years? Why, if he’s part of the long term plan, without Aaron Rodgers, in GB?

Are Aaron & David on the outs? Did they break up? Did you see something on TMZ that I missed?

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BirdDogUni's picture

April 08, 2023 at 12:07 pm

*Nowhere until after 1 June at least.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:33 am

I could see the Packers possibly moving Nijman to NYJ to sweeten the pot in the Rodgers trade. Would free up some salary cap for the Packers as well as offer an opportunity for Jones and Walker to make a big year 2 jump.

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dobber's picture

April 08, 2023 at 12:01 pm

"I could see the Packers possibly moving Nijman to NYJ to sweeten the pot"

Would all but require the Packers to draft an OT Rd 1-3.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:22 pm

R3/4 looks to be a good spot to get a developmental OT. I wouldn't touch any of the R1s, especially since they would be R2s in most drafts. However, in R2 or later there are good choices for OT.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:43 pm

Edge or OT from round one balances my scale. Get the mammoth if he show s up, then he takes over for Bhak , 2024.

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stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:58 pm

Next year.
The revolving door this year.
If Bahk goes.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 04:27 pm

Review the Film of the Packer's right flank...

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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

April 09, 2023 at 12:07 pm

You always need oline whether you think you do or not. Packers are rarely in a position to draft elite talent linemen so if one of Broderick Jones/Parris Johnson/Peter Skoronski falls, they should absolutely pull the trigger.

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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:29 am

Lol. I have to agree with you Mr. T. Bijan presents a bit of a dilemma, and after thinking a bit more, he might be a perfect illusion-of-complexity fit for LaFleur.

Many might outrage the pick, but, not the product in games real-time. The other side of that rub is how many reps can he get early? I guess if lined in slot like friends here previously mentioned, that works. Dynamite player. Might change perceived needs at Slot WR too.

Fascinating, really, the different personnel options.

Running more with a 3 headed monster is something I’d love to see with JL in first year at QB1.

Paris Johnson should never fall that far, but, if he does… I would take him.

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PatrickGB's picture

April 08, 2023 at 07:52 am

If Bijan is the generational talent that scouts predict he is, then I am ok with drafting him. Jones cap hit jumps again next year and Dillon is at the end of his contract. He can do all the things that Jones does and more and do it for a lot cheaper. But, like others have posted, I don’t see us drafting him. So, if that’s the case, we better draft players that can tackle him.

5 points
5
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Coldworld's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:50 am

Not a lot of real help this year. Yes, maybe good for the next few. Overall, we need other positions more and get more upside this year from them generally, or Love more help if that’s truly the concern, rather than largely duplicating an area of strength. If he falls, try to get an over payer to trade down with.

0 points
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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:00 am

Actually, that has yet to have been determined. For all we know, LaFleur might want to power run with 3 backs and 50 carries to split.

I cannot argue there are benefits to Bijan, and a mindset (new policy?) to change out RBs end of 1st/2nd contracts moving forward.

This team needs to be more fiscally prudent moving forward instead of multiple extensions on RB deals.

0 points
1
1
jannes bjornson's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:46 pm

If they went for Robinson,Dillon would be moved.

-2 points
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2
stockholder's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:56 pm

For a 3rd rd. comp pick.

1 points
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Starrbrite's picture

April 09, 2023 at 06:06 pm

Well said Patrick

0 points
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marpag1's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:13 am

“The guy the Packers should be targeting simply because this isn’t as big of a wide receiver pool, is USC’s Jordan Addison.”

Cory Jennerjohn
“The Draft is Dripping With Value”
April 8, 2023

“It wouldn’t make any sense for the Packers to burn a high draft pick on a receiver.”

Cory Jennerjohn
“The Packers Need a Veteran Wideout”
April 4, 2023

LOL. Even Cory doesn’t believe his own stuff…

8 points
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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:47 am

True.

0 points
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Racingdad's picture

April 08, 2023 at 08:21 am

My draft crush is Darnell wright at 15 checks all gb boxes and we know d Bach is gone at least in 24 ( 40 mil cap hit if he’s not gone 20 dead cap hit if gone ) and yosh may be gone next year also. Wright could be a long term all-pro starter for gb on rookie contract for five years !! I know he’s not the sexy pick but the perfect gb pick. Mike wahle and others have him as the best olineman in this years draft. Also just 21 years old. I than would look for the best remaining t e in second. If we have an extra pick in second-look for db-Brents or wr or an edge

3 points
3
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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:16 am

I like Wright a lot, and I think he might survive to us at 42.

-1 points
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DoubleJ's picture

April 08, 2023 at 11:37 am

At 42 I'd take a flyer on Wright. However, with the bust rate for SEC OTs taken in R1 (85% 2010-2019 cannot give a fair grade for 2020 yet) I personally would avoid them.

-1 points
1
2
golfpacker61's picture

April 08, 2023 at 09:55 am

Don't we have a Jordan Addison clone on the team now? Bo Melton from Rutgers. I used to obsess with the fact that what the Packers are lacking in the passing game is a guy like Tyreek Hill, small & fast. But I realized it seems like anyone can play the slot receiver, big or small. What we are lacking is using the TE position as a weapon like GOOD teams do.

Would Addison improve our team more than Kinkaid, Mayer, Washington, Kraft, Kunz? I would say no
.
Will Gary be ready to go for the season opener? 50/50 chance. Edge is our # 2 need.

Are there not at least 10 really good, bigger, faster receivers that will be available after the 1st round? YES

Is any WR projected round 1 WR really that much better than the 10 or 12 we can take in the 2nd ?

Do we really want to spend #15 on a Right Tackle? Because Wright wasn't any better than a lot of Left Tackles in this draft that we could take later where we have had better luck picking O-line.

Maybe Bahktiari's replacement is on the team already in Njiman, Toms, Rhyan, or Rasheed Walker.

Green Bay has at least got 3/4 of a good WR group on the team already and a couple good players from this draft could make it a young, strong position group. Just lacking experience. Or adding Mims from the Jets.

We don't have 1/4 of a TE group on our team now. Not one TE on our team now could probably make another NFL teams 53-man roster. I do have hope for Austin Allen but we need to add 3 in this strong draft starting with our first pick after trading back.

I just fail to see how we would pass up trading back with #15 if we could find a partner.
The latest rumor is the Bills want to trade up, maybe for Bijan. If it was with us and why not, we could drop to #27, and get #59 & #137 to boot. To me then it's an easy decision to pick our favorite of the top 5 TEs. We could pop for the best WR @ #59, and #137 a RB or S or another TE.

If the Jets trade goes through before the draft, obviously that would impact what we do at #15. If we got #13 we should trade back with #15 for more picks. If we got both 2023 2nds, we could trade back #43 or #45 to later in the second round and pick up at least another 3rd or more. The Patriots are famous for always moving up in the second. This is how we win this draft and turn it from good to great. NO WR IN ROUND 1!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2 points
2
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greengold's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:07 am

I’ll say Bo Melton is probably better than Addison. Faster too.

If Quentin is there, how do you pass? Pardon the pun.

-3 points
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4
marpag1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 11:31 am

Bo Melton?

You trippin' Bruh....

;)

1 points
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Starrbrite's picture

April 09, 2023 at 06:10 pm

I like your logic golfpacker.

0 points
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calabasa's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:11 am

5’11” receiver @ 15, with watson and doubs in yr 2? Yes we need more bodies but those two may very well be true 1 and 2 receivers, even this year. Fortify the lines!

3 points
3
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golfpacker61's picture

April 08, 2023 at 12:45 pm

Quenton Johnston =Jonathon Mingo=AT Perry=Cedric Tillman=Andre Iosivas=Bryce Ford-Wheaton=Xavier Hutchinson=Matt Landers=Elijah Higgins=Jadon Hazelwood=Donte Demus. Is everyone catching my drift here?
WE don't need a WR in the first round. Quenton Johnston is not head and shoulders above all of these WR I mentioned here so why would we push WR or OT ahead of the actual biggest needs in TE and Edge.

Safety is also a bigger need than WR but I wouldn't recommend we draft one ahead of TE, Edge, DT or WR because the value isn't there. WE can get a good Safety in the late 2nd or 3rd. I hope Battle is available for us.

We have a good, full O-line group. We don't need an OT in the 1st or 2nd unless we end up with 4 picks. One from trade back from #15, 2 from the Jets, and our own @ 45. The Packers have to be smart with their picks and have a plan and stick to it. More picks is more pieces of the pie. Why overdraft an OT or WR and then lose out on good players at positions we really need in this draft. Stay the course-trade back-get more picks.

0 points
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2
BirdDogUni's picture

April 08, 2023 at 02:22 pm

That will be enough of that reasonable reasoning you sorcerer...

The one thing I will say, is if Gutey and MaLF think they need a starting RT, they better grab while the grabbing is good. (1st or 2nd round, IMO.)

RG and RT have been our weakest links, (not counting Myers) so if they feel they have to draft a RT, I would understand.

We don't need a WR in the 1st round or a TE in the 1st round, but we do need the BPA. If the BPA is Bijan, I say let a team come up and get him, with a decent trade package and if nobody will, go ahead and draft him. It's not like we can't or won't use him.

It all depends on Gutey's future plans. Does he plan on trading Bakh and Aaron Jones before the trade deadline? Does he plan on re-signing AJ Dillon? Does MaLF know who his RT is going to be, or do we need to draft a RT?

Personally, I don't think Tom is a RT. He might be able to sub at RT for a game or two, but
I don't foresee him holding down RT for a season. Nijman may end up being our RT this season, but I don't think he's our RT of the future either.

Thinking Gutey and MaLF better have a good game plan for our OL/OLB/DL/WR/TE/S needs. Priorities abound.

3 points
3
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BirdDogUni's picture

April 08, 2023 at 01:27 pm

NO.

"In 2020 at the University of Pittsburgh, he totaled 666 receiving yards."

666 is a sign Addison is the last WR we should draft. ; P

I doubt Addison is even on Gutey's draft board, at all. 5' 11" 173 pounds. Cory mentions his return ability after we already re-signed Nixon. Bo Melton can also return punts and kickoffs. No way I'm spending a 1st round pick on Addison if I'm Gutey. I would expect him to draft Bryce Ford-Wheaton a round early (4th round) than draft Addison, especially in the 1st round.

Drafting is as much about potential as it is about past production.

Addison: 5' 11" 173lbs 4.49 speed (Small and Slow seems like a way get back to Amari Rodgers in a hurry.)

Wheaton: 6' 4" 221lbs 4.38 speed (Bigger and faster than Allen Lazard and bigger and just as fast as MVS.)

Just my guess, but it would seem Wheaton would give us much more in the blocking department than a tiny guy like Addison. Wheaton could easily take Allen Lazard's place in the WR Corps as our #3 WR. With his speed, he can also take over MVS's roll, taking the top off of defenses opposite Watson. If they double Watson, Wheaton will have single coverage. Doubs probably will too.

Still don't know why so many people believe Gutey will break a 20-year trend of "not" drafting a WR in the 1st round this year. He won't. There isn't even a WR I would give a 1st round grade to this year.

Oh, I know there will be WRs drafted in the 1st round, but that doesn't mean they should be 1st rounders. IMO Addison isn't a 1st rounder, especially for the Packers.

4 points
4
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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 01:37 pm

Bird that is a perfect evaluation and posting. I say a really big NO to Jordan Addison in the first or second round. There is so much better WR talent later. Give me any 2 of Ford-Wheaton, Mingo, Iosivas, Hutchinson, and Landers and i would be off the charts happy.
We would have the best, young, talented group of WR in the NFL. The WR room would be rebuilt and now a strength. Landers and Ford-Wheaton would be scary.
Although I still want Mims from the Jets as some whipped creme on the top of the trade.

Add a top TE with our first pick, after we trade down and our offense could be really good.
Two more TEs later rebuilds that position group into a strength.

1 points
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Tundraboy's picture

April 08, 2023 at 10:57 pm

The next 30 days are going to be fun!

2 points
2
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

April 09, 2023 at 11:56 am

Sorry but youre never gonna sell me on a 173 pound receiver in the 1st round, especially when this team which requires bigger receivers who can block. Give me Jones/Johnson/Skoronski at 15 (assuming one of them falls, if not then trade down) and Cedric Tillman+ Sam Laporta in the 2nd. If they can snag Chase Brown and Jonathan Mingo in the 3rd/4th then even better.

0 points
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NoNonsense's picture

April 09, 2023 at 01:06 pm

My top 3 players for pick 15 are Calijah Kancey, Nolan Smith and Dalton Kincaid. Kancey is the closest guy to Aaron Donald I have seen since he was drafted and could be a major difference maker for the Dline which is in dire need of bodies. Nolan Smith reminds me of Micah Parsons and brings a different element to our OLB group. Kincaid will be a target machine and perfectly compliments what we have in Watson and Doubs on the outside.

I would also be willing to trade down and pick up some extra draft picks on day 2 because of the depth of the TEs, Edge players and a pretty good group of WRs after the first round.

I would save taking OL till the 4th round where GB has had a lot of success over the years.

-2 points
0
2
golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 01:07 pm

I agree completely Stockholder. You are spot on for what should be Green Bay's only draft strategy.

"Gutey should trade down, for a windfall.
And fill the DL and Safety with the extras.
But take TE first."

If we were a contending team and a stud had fallen to #15, I could justify picking there. We are NOT a contending team so we have no business wasting a chance for 3 really good players by not trading back, just for the luxury of picking at #15. 3 potential starters instead of 1. Seems like a no brainer.

If we have a great draft, fill a bunch of holes, and stay healthy next year, we could make the playoffs at best. Thats a lot of ifs but it's possible. Having multiple weapons at TE and actually using them, along with 2 more good WR makes our offense look pretty damn good on paper. We don't completely suck like the Bears have for years, we are not that far off. Maybe a decent FA Safety gets cut later and falls in our laps for cheap. That and Gary coming back 100% gives us at worst a middle of the pack defense.

1 points
1
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 09, 2023 at 01:07 pm

It all comes down to their evaluations. If they see a guy at 15 as a generational talent, they should take him, regardless of position. If they think there’s little to differentiate the talent level from, say, 18 to 60, they should trade down. But as many on here have said, they’ve got to find a trading partner. Maybe lots of GM’s think that’s the range they want to accumulate picks in. If that’s the case, it’ll be tougher to move there.
We shall see.

1 points
1
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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 01:21 pm

There are always potential trading partners TK. Who saw the trade with the Saints coming? Teams are going to trade up for at least 2 players this year in Bijan Robinson and Hendon Hooker. If Buffalo wants Robinson as has been rumored, #15 would be a great place to get him. We would get #27, #59, and #130 back. We take our pick of the best TE for us and this draft starts off with a bang for us. That opens up 2nd round for best Edge and best WR.

Add in the Jets #42 and #43 and things get interesting in a hurry. There would be some great opportunities staring us in the face.

The Green Bay Packers are not in a position to just draft the BPA, regardless of position, this year.

That is a luxury only the good teams can afford. Thats not us, this year.

3 points
3
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 09, 2023 at 07:22 pm

Totally agree that teams do some wild stuff to get “their guy” and they try not to let it be known who “their guy” is.

Let’s say GB decides their #1 need is a safety. Let’s say at 15, there is a guy named Lawrence Taylor and another named Morgan Burnett. They’d be stupid to pass up Taylor and take Burnett, even though safety is #1 and edge is #2 or #3.

One thing that is fun to do is look back at past drafts and see which player went before which other one. It is NUTS. Think how differently things would go in a hindsight-aided “do-over”. This has helped me to see that LOTS OF TEAMS make “mistakes”, not just the “morons” running the show in GB.

In 2017: would Mitch Trubisky, Solomon Thomas, Corey Davis, Mike Williams, and John Ross have been picked before Mahomes if those GM’s knew how things would turn out? I’m not cherry picking, either. EVERY YEAR has tons of examples of “what the heck were they thinking?”

My takeaway is, the draft thing is unbelievably hard. Think of the hours and hours and hours of scouting and prep that go into it. And STILL, you see Clelin Ferrell and Daniel Jones getting picked before Josh Allen.

2 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 09:15 pm

Hey TK. In 2017 the teams were still picking QBs using the antiquated NFL stupid requirements to be an NFL QB. To be an NFL QB you have to play in pro-style offense in college, you need to have a certain throwing motion, you have take snaps from center, have to be so tall and your hands have to be so big. Of course, these "Requirements hadn't been updated in 20 years. Kudos to the Chiefs for realizing Mahommes potential and gifts while running a wide open offense. It also looks like the NFL missed out on Brock Purdy.

The Bears probably would have screwed Mahommes up and he would be out of the league by now.

3 points
3
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 09, 2023 at 09:58 pm

I do wonder about how different their careers would be if they’d been selected by a different team. Would Rodgers have turned out so well if San Fran had picked him instead of Alex Smith?

2 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 09, 2023 at 07:40 pm

Here’s how NOT to draft:

Rd 1: best edge rusher on the board
Rd 2: best tight end available
Rd 3: best safety on the board
Rd 4: best d-lineman on the board
Etc etc etc

Yet it seems many fans think this is the way, but it is a recipe for disaster.
Except when a team gets lucky and it actually works out okay.

1 points
2
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Starrbrite's picture

April 09, 2023 at 09:05 pm

I’ll say again golfpacker, I like your reasoning.
I’ve always held that if able to draft/pursue a blue-chipper—then take him. It’s based on the Ron Wolf theory, “if you love a player— go get him.”
However, imo, your “trade down” draft rationale is very persuasive; others have said similar and agree with you.
What do you (and others) believe we should do if we are given a #1 & #2 by the Jets for ARod? Trade both the 13th & 15 pick for additional picks?
I’m very interested in what you, et al., suggest?
Go Packers!!!

1 points
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WD's picture

April 10, 2023 at 08:20 am

A lot of wishful hypotheticals here. I hope you are right. Reality will sink in soon. We are unlikely to get the Jets number one pick at 13. Frankly I hope we can get their two second round picks and/or maybe a veteran WR. The question is how we can help Love the most. If there is no deal both teams lose. The Jets appear to be offering only low ball offers. So time will tell. Whatever we get is better than nothing.

-1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 09, 2023 at 09:49 pm

Hey Starr. I would love to get #13 from the Jets this year along with their 2024 2nd round pick that could turn into a 1st. Along with some players, I want Jeremy Ruckert-TE and Denzel Mims-WR. I honestly think what we will agree to is both of their 2023 round 2 picks, which are #42 & #43 respectively. Plus the 2024 conditional pick and I still want the players. In this scenario I ask for another cheap, young Safety to complete the deal. 3 players at positions we need and all around $1.5 million each.

If we got #13 from the Jets and since we would have 2 first rounders, and if a top Edge or OT fell to us, I would pick them at #13. But if someone offered a home run trade offer I would trade #13. We need to fill a bunch of holes on this team, not just one. A trade back from 13, depending how far we are trading back, would get us at least 3 picks back. The other teams 1st, 2nd, and 4th. That's 3 really good players instead of 1. I would trade back with at least one of the 1st round picks, maybe both if the offers were strong enough and we didn't have to move back past top of 2nd round. It all depends on finding a trade partner. The higher you pick a player, the more you pay them. This draft is very strong to the end of the 3rd round so trade back and get more cheaper, quality players.

If we trade back in the first round for extra picks and get both Jets 2nd rounders in the Jets trade, we would have 4 picks total in the meat of the draft. It would be tempting to trade back to the end of the 2nd round with one of those for an extra 3rd rounder. That would fill every position of need with quality players in 3 rounds and we could start doubling up @ TE, S, WR, & Edge.

Thats long winded but really good teams can just sit back and take best player available at any position. Green Bay has too many needs and needs more swings of the bat to turn this into a great draft.

1 points
1
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Starrbrite's picture

April 10, 2023 at 12:36 am

Very cool analysis—gracias!

0 points
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WD's picture

April 10, 2023 at 08:11 am

If Van Ness is there at 15 run to the podium to take him. If we had the number one pick it would make sense to trade down. We do not. Quantity does not trump quality. It is most important to prioritize the needs. To be specific: Edge, DL, and TE. in that order. If we can get three starters in those areas it will have been a successful draft. Period.

0 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 10, 2023 at 09:03 am

Do you want a project with the 15th pick? Then pick Van Ness. I am a Iowa Hawkeyes fan and I like Lukas, but there is always a "flavor of the draft group" and Van Ness is in it. So I sure wouldn't pick him in the first round.

So the only pick you would trade back from is #1. Newsflash, most of the teams picking in the top 20 are not very good teams and probably need more than one very good player to make them a better team. Green Bay is surely one of those teams. There will not be a top 5 player falling to the Packers @ #15 and there are 10 edge players we can pick in the 2nd and 3rd rounds as good or better than Van Ness.

So why would we waste the #15 pick on one good player, when we could have 3 good players? The best plan for rebuilding the team and at a faster pace is trading back for more picks and getting 3 shots in the strongest part of the draft.

Quantity might not trump quality, but even if a team is drafting in the top 5 it is still a crapshoot. There is a long list of top 3 players chosen in the draft that didn't pan out in the NFL. The Packers have a list of their own. The odds are just better to find new Packers by having 3 picks over 1.

We don't have one hole, we have ten plus. I am sorry to disagree, but our needs start with TE since we don't have ANY at this point including even one to start on opening day. We at least have 4 or 5 Edge rushers now.

1 points
1
0