Cory's Corner: How Good Are The Packers?

The Packers have lost to every top team in the NFC. Can they still win the conference?

How good are the Packers?

They have a shiny 9-4 record and if the playoffs were today, they would be the No. 6 seed in the NFC playoffs and go to No. 3 seed Seattle. That’s ironic because the Packers head to the Pacific Northwest for a Sunday night game this week.

The Packers are a tough team to figure out because they are ranked seventh in offensive scoring and ninth in defensive scoring. Josh Jacobs and Xavier McKinney are two of the best in the game at running back and safety. 

Yet, questions remain. 

The only complete game Green Bay has played was against Arizona back in Week 6. In that game, the defense only allowed 89 rushing yards, and the offense tallied a whopping 437 yards as the Packers smoked the Cardinals 34-13.

The Packers have lost to the three best teams in the NFC. The Lions twice, Eagles and Vikings. The Packers' signature win so far this season was a 24-19 decision at Los Angeles over the Rams.

On the other hand, the Packers have looked very good in the last three weeks. With wins over the 49ers and Dolphins and a tight loss to the Lions. The X-factor has been Jordan Love, who has been playing fantastic. He’s completing 65 percent of his passes for 643 yards with five touchdowns and no picks — and a 117.28 passer rating.

Love isn’t throwing the 50-50 ball as often as he was earlier in the season and as a result, his turnovers have nosedived. 

Love looks like the quarterback the Packers had hopes for when they gave him a huge contract after one season as a starter. The thing that impresses me most is how he is taking ownership of his mistakes. That quality was often missing from the previous quarterback in Green Bay. 

But if the Packers want to play deep into January, it will come down to the play of the secondary. That unit has been torched with miscommunication, bad tackling and coverage miscues that needs to addressed. Not to mention, there is also the Jaire Alexander issue. He hasn’t played since Nov. 17 — and that was only 10 snaps at Chicago. Alexander is supposed to be the lockdown corner on this team and without him, Eric Stokes is being thrown into action and it’s very clear that he doesn’t deserve the time. 

The Packers are a good team that still hasn’t really proven anything just yet. We will definitely find an answer in the next four weeks. 

 

 

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Cory Jennerjohn is a graduate from UW-Oshkosh and has been in sports media for over 15 years. He was a co-host on "Clubhouse Live" and has also done various radio and TV work as well. He has written for newspapers, magazines and websites. He currently is a columnist for CHTV and also does various podcasts. He recently earned his Masters degree from the University of Iowa. He can be found on Twitter: @Coryjennerjohn

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Comments (107)

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T7Steve's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:26 am

"We will definitely find an answer in the next four weeks."

Just find the answer one game at a time. Some pass rush will help the secondary which will help the pass rush. A little more pass protection and run blocking will help Love be everything you want him to be. Wouldn't hurt the D to sit on the sidelines at least half a game either.

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Cheezehead72's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:42 am

The first thing to change is MLF needs to run the ball more. We have a very good RB that is backed up by two good RBs and he continues to pass the ball when we are getting good yards running the ball.

Stop cheering Go Pack Go and start cheering Run Matt Run and maybe he will get the clue.

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T7Steve's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:48 am

RMR!

That might help keep the D off the field too. That would go a long way to fixing their problems covering receivers. Have to face it, though. Every team is going to gash you now and then in the NFL, so just keep their O on the bench and after they have the ball, run down and score a TD.

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crayzpackfan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:13 am

And run the ball from under center and not shotgun. Some TE and WR motion on running plays would also be good. If you commit to the run, play action will become so valuable and easy for us with the weapons we have.

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Cheezehead72's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:35 am

Call me old school but I do like seeing the QB under center. Yes I know shotgun and pistol need to be used. Thinking of that I do not see the Packers using the pistol very often. Any ideas on why?

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T7Steve's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:56 am

They don't have a permit? Have to stick to open carry?

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murf7777's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:05 am

Yep, we got to run more is an easy criticism, but not correct. They are in the Top 5 running team in the NFL. So, obviously they do run quite a bit. It’s not that simple if a team is destined to stop the run like Detroit was. Even though they were depleted, they played the game to load the box, run blitz and make GB beat them thru the air. Which they almost did. So, keep running into a loaded box means a lot of 3 and out. If that happened some would be saying why didn’t they throw more. If football was only that simple to use hindsight on a play that didn’t work and state they should’ve done the opposite. Mlf is regarded as one of the best offensive play callers in the NFL, so. Just maybe you should question your own criticism of run Matt run.

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Packerpasty's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:04 am

Maybe Matty should be an OC somewhere then and not a head coach...I personally think he's rather mediocre as a head coach, he could build a better staff for one thing....being a pretty good team every year is great but getting to the next step would be even better...two huge games on the schedule, Seahawks and Vikings...lets see how he does with those two..

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:07 am

This mediocre head coach has one of the highest winning % of any HC, ever.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:52 am

2 MVPs from a QB on his watch account for that along with years of running it back that never made it. A 3-4 post season record is far more telling, 2-3 with Rodgers before his decline really hit.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:30 am

We do run the ball a lot. Personally, I think it’s as much about when as how much. We tend to run a lot, move away and come back to it.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:11 am

"Some pass rush will help the secondary which will help the pass rush"

We definitely need to get more pass rush. Better secondary play will help the pass rush as it will give the pass rush a little bit more time to get tot he QB. So getting Alexander back to me is the biggest key. At this point, just get him healthy for the playoffs. Thats is when we need him.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:04 pm

We didn’t lose to the Lions last week because of perimeter play. We lost over the short and intermediate middle. We aren’t being torched by long plays to the sidelines, but because our LBs and slot haven’t covered effectively. Much worse than our perimeter guys (at least when left outside).

We could move Nixon back to the slot if Jaire were healthy, but Hafley had showed no sign of doing that. Right now, any opponent has 2 weeks of film of our ILB s being diced over the middle by quick, low risk passes. Until we change our approach and personnel and counter that effectively, expect more of the same.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:11 pm

who exactly can cover every aspect of the field. That Hafley designed a defense to take away the perimeter was a feature, not a bug. how naive are you to think that you can just stop everything. your assumptions are comical.

you take things away and force a team to beat you by doing something different. Credit to the Lions, they were fortunate on two fourth downs.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 01:47 pm

If he designed it to take away the perimeter then Stokes and Valentine are going a good job opposite Nixon. I do not, however, think that’s what is going on here any more than the perimeter coverage was the problem last week.

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Packerpasty's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:19 pm

just about every team can dice up the Packers with short and in the middle of the field passes, that and screen plays...and until the Pack can pressure the QB to help these guys out it will continue...

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barutanseijin's picture

December 11, 2024 at 05:23 am

Pretty much, Pasty ol’ pal. That’s why they’ve lost just about every game.

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Bearmeat's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:39 am

Yes. The Packers can win it all. But they need some luck. Just like any team success in January. They need Alexander to come back and be a difference maker. They need Gary to step up and probably one other DL. They need Cooper to come back and be a difference maker. And the need Love to stay on his heater.

Not impossible by any stretch. Every single one of their four losses they had execution failures that are fixable. And three of the four games were on a knife’s edge and could have gone either way regardlsss of the mistakes.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:13 am

I can't believe I'm about to say this.. But... I agree with you Bearmeat. :)

I'm not saying they will win it all, but can they? Yes, absolutely.
There is not much separating any of these teams. I think the key is them getting healthy. They get healthy, they can absolutely go into anyones house and beat them.

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Starrbrite's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:51 pm

I completely agree—there is very little margin between the top tier nfc teams; we can beat any of them.

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Guam's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:38 am

I think it is about more than just the players Bearmeat. LeFleur needs to be better with his offensive game plans, particularly early in the game. Too many games this year the Packers have been poor in the first half and fallen behind. They have the offensive firepower to catch up and often do (and sometimes win the game), but why can't they score more early in the game?

I think LaFleur needs to take a hard look at his game plans. Too often they get stymied in the first half due to poor plays calls that seem to play into the teeth of the defense. I think Lafleur is getting outcoached in game prep too often. Getting injured players back will help, but getting our "offensive genius" to act like it during the first half will also help.

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GregC's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:58 am

This season the Packers are averaging 6.2 points in the first quarter, which is fourth in the league. During the last three games, they have averaged 8.0 points in the first quarter. They are averaging 8.0 points in the second quarter, which is 12th in the league and is hardly anything to be embarrassed about.

Overall, the Packers are 7th in points per game at 26.8.

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LambeauPlain's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:10 am

The O is putting points on the board even with a struggling O line when on the field.

The problem is the D that can't get off it since Hafley got "Scrooged" with the ghost of Barry Ball past.

Last Thursday the lions ground them down with 75 plays! (Love and co only had 44).

You don't win games late with Barry Ball.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:54 am

Is it coincidence that each of the 3 DCs under LaFleur have become more concerned with playing not to give up points as time went on?

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:03 pm

and therein lies the rub. this is a LaFleur team, and they play defense the way he wants it played. the coordinators do his bidding (please note: Barry was not the problem). Lafleur wants a defense that does not give up quick strikes. no splash plays. it tracks with analytics, but it isn't very satisfying to people who want big play defense.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:56 pm

It isn’t as satisfying, but a large part of that is that our versions never worked very well or consistently and frequently has failed very quickly and badly. Done well, there’s a way, or at least was in this league, to play such coverages and win, but we’ve never found it. Right now, we have a number of players very ill suited for it as well. Stokes was drafted before Barry truly went to bend and don’t break and played a lot of press as a rookie.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:45 am

We scored 0 in 25 minutes and then scored 31 in the next 30 minutes.

Since that horrible pick six in the loss to the Lions at Lambeau, we're not throwing as many passes. 90 passes in 4 games with a high of 28, so essentially we're only throwing 20 passes. Last week, against Detroit, we threw 20 passes.

The good news is that we've scored 30 or more three games in a row for the first time all season. Love isn't throwing picks. I'm actually kind of reminded of how Favre was so over-amped at the start of games that Holmgren had to factor that into play selection.

I think/hope/believe that LaFleur is protecting Love and Love is protecting the ball, because that's the only way this works. That means not throwing as much and not expecting Love to make plays, just to run the offense and protect the ball.

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NickPerry's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:46 am

"Alexander is supposed to be the lockdown corner on this team and without him, Eric Stokes is being thrown into action and it’s very clear that he doesn’t deserve the time."

Doesn't deserve the time??

To hell with playing time, I'd argue he doesn't deserve a roster spot! It's been YEARS since he even had a pass breakup...YEARS!

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LambeauPlain's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:11 am

Alexander is earning the rep of being the best CB in NFL history who rarely plays.

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NFLfan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:58 am

Bakhtiari 2.0

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:16 pm

Bakh had an excellent health and availability record till the injury that effectively ended his career.

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GregC's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:16 am

I'm not sure we will find an answer in the next four weeks. We may have to wait until the playoffs.

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T7Steve's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:35 am

I'm hoping the coaches are just holding back till the playoffs. In previous years they've shown and tried everything and played teams that hadn't.

The only thing they can't hold back is blocking and tackling, which had better improve for this to be a legitimate playoff team.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:20 am

We might not find answers but I'm kind of hoping we start finding some key pieces coming back.

I'd like to see them get Alexander and Cooper back. Those are 2 huge pieces on defense. Also I want to see Williams get back to safety.

And then I'd like to see them get back a few pieces offensively. Doubs hopefully will be able to come back. We are better with our main 4.
Jordan Morgan, while is the 6th man, if there is something in the game that happens Morgan can step in and you don't lose much. We need that piece back.
Musgrave should be able to come back soon. He is a piece that can absolutely help the offense. He provides a presence. He is a guy that can stretch a defense in a different way.
And a guy who I want to see come back but not sure what he can provide is Lloyd. He could provide a spark from the backfield. He has the speed to be very dangerous. I am not sure he will be able to contribute much this year, but as the weather gets colder he can provide a boost. Lets not forget last year Jones came back late and provided a boost. Lets not forget when James Starks came in at the end of the year as a rookie and gave them a spark at RB. Lloyd could be that kind of guy late in the year.

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GregC's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:22 am

That's a good list. Let's face it, this season has not gone exactly as we hoped it would, but the Packers are 9-4 and have been playing their best football the past few weeks, so there is plenty of reason for hope. Your mention of James Starks is fitting because I've been thinking about that 2010 team and how it rounded into shape right at the end of the season. I don't think the Packers need the help at RB this year, but they probably need Jaire Alexander to get healthy, and Edgerrin Cooper would help a lot too. Get those two players on the field, and the Packers will be capable of beating the Lions or Eagles.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:37 am

No this season definitely didn't go as planned. I mean basically Love has been injured for half the season. And we dealt with a number of other injury issues.

I look at Jaire not playing in either of the Lions games and how that impacted them. Also Williams missed the first game and got hurt in the 2nd. That really changed what they could do defensively. Also missing Cooper really affects our defense. He is the fastest/most instinctual LB we have.

While we don't technically need RB help because Jacobs has been absolutely amazing, I think about the speed that Lloyd brings and how that could make a major impact. I like what Brooks has done, and Wilson adds stuff as well. I just think Lloyd could be an upgrade over that. He has homerun threat speed, and adding that piece could change the looks of our backfield even more. I'm not sure how much he will realistically help, but I do think there is a possibility that he can have a major impact.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:42 am

Wilson is under used in my opinion. He just gets yards and yards after contact. The reason for Brooks getting snaps more often seems to be a lack of faith that the OL can protect. It’s his blocking they seem to prize. That is just another indication of the weakness of our OL in reality. It’s not like Wilson has been bad as a blocker after all. The problem for me is if they are that concerned about blocking then Lloyd will surely take Wilson’s snaps not Brooks. We get better and we get worse at the same time offensively because of concerns that the OL can’t get it done,

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dobber's picture

December 11, 2024 at 09:42 am

Brooks is 2024's Patrick Taylor.

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stockholder's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:37 am

Mlf says this is a Good Team.
I'll take his word for it.
(But the secondary must have Alexander.)

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:47 am

MLF has repeatedly and frequently said we are a good team, even in 2022. To be fair, I don’t know of many coaches who say the opposite.

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stockholder's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:53 am

Making the play-offs- Confirms that.
This team hasn't peaked.

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Packerpasty's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:23 pm

when will it??

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dobber's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:50 am

What's the old saying: you're only as good as your last game? That leaves the interpretation of the quality of this team wide open.

Seattle is a tough place to play, and they'll score. They'll throw to JSN all over the field--especially the middle--and underneath to their backs...the achilles heel of the Packers' defense. Packers need to bring the physical like they did in Detroit. Go 1-0 this week.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:37 am

"Seattle is a tough place to play, and they'll score."

Seattle currently is 3-4 at home.
At home, they beat the Broncos, Dolphins, Cardinals. They lost to Giants, 49ers, Bills, Rams.

Seattle is averaging 23.2 points per game. They have scored 30 or more 1 time all year. They scored over 30 another game but the defense scored the TD.

Packers are averaging 26.8 points per game. have scored offensively 30 or more 5 times. They scored a defensive TD in another 30+ game.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:58 am

Seattle is a very odd team this year. When they are bad they are very very bad, but they can be good as well. I admit I haven’t followed them closely, so I don’t know the reasons, or which version to expect, but it’s never easy to play in that stadium.

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dobber's picture

December 11, 2024 at 02:54 pm

They've won 4 in a row since their bye.
They're getting things figured out.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:20 pm

I liked Charbonnet. A Dorsey Levens type back and he is now getting his stride. Seattle is playing very efficiently.
Expect another nail-biter.

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jlc1's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:59 am

It is less the secondary than the D line that matters most. The O line is dependable enough. We all know that win the LOS, win the game. Clark, Gary and the rest need to play better.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:09 am

How good are the Packers?

The 4 best teams in the NFC are the Lions, Eagles, Vikings, Packers.

These are the combined records of the opponents for each team.
Lions: 87-82
Eagles: 71-98
Vikings: 75-94
Packers: 95-74

Packers are 9-4. Their losses are to the Lions (2 games), Eagles, Vikings.

Week 1 - The Packers lost to the Eagles in a fluky game on an ice skating field. They lost 34-29
Week 4 - They lost to the Vikings 31-29, in a game that Love was coming off of injury and had a number of weird things happen.
Week 9 - They lost tot he Lions 24-14. Love was also coming an injury and clearly wasn't healthy. The game was close until Love threw the pick 6 before half time.
Week 14 - Packers lost to the Lions in a last second FG 34-31. Don't care what anyone says. Had the game been reffed fairly at the end, who knows what happens in this game at the end.

The Packers are a very good team. They have had to overcome various things. They have faced a difficult schedule. The only teams they lost to are the best teams in the NFC. And the only game that you could say they lost bad in was the first Lions game. The other 3 losses were very fluky with how things went down. The Eagles game was on a bad field in week 1, in a new country. Against the Vikings Love was coming off injury and was rusty early. Then had a number of weird things happen. The last Lions game was basically taken from us with the OPI call. (not saying we wouldn't have lost, but it definitely changed the game).

For the Packers to be better they need to get healthy. Both games against the Lions the Secondary has been a mess. Alexander missed both games. Getting Alexander back along with Williams and Cooper will help this defense a ton! Offensively, they just need to play their game.

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murf7777's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:13 am

Well said!

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MainePackFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:38 am

You're on fire today RC!! Well done.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:06 pm

YES RC!! The Packers ARE a very good team.

I don't even take the opening day loss into consideration. None of our starters had played in the preseason and we still almost won that game against one of the best teams in the league.

That was a horrible pick six against the Lions. Then we had the break, and when we came back from the break, we threw the ball a lot less, stopped turning it over, and we've scored 30 three games in a row. I'd call that an adjustment.

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Packerpasty's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:27 pm

so when do they get over the hump and beat the best teams in front of them?? This year, next year, hopefully soon...at least next year the "young" shouldn't be the excuse anymore...it was last year, it is this year...and all it is is an excuse...these guys have played lots of football nothing is new to them, they can either perform or the cant.

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Starrbrite's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:09 pm

RC—excellent—gracias!!

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Lphill's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:08 am

Goff was 13 for 13 targeting linebackers and 2 touchdowns, that's not gonna change.

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murf7777's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:14 am

Having Cooper & Williams in there doesn’t change that?

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LambeauPlain's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:14 am

Changes it immensely.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:08 pm

Williams is not a LB. He’s not been the same since his first injury. Cooper can cover better certainly. But that means taking McDuffie off. He persisted with McDuffie over Wilson last week and Wilson has been our best coverage LB this season. Cooper will help, but he’s not going to solve the whole issue.

By the time the safeties came into play last week the gain was already made. Williams will help if healthy, but used like that it’s not going to make a material difference unless a team tries to go deep. The Lions and Dolphins barely felt the need to do so.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:15 am

Cooper being able to play will change that.

Also getting Alexander changes the way they can play the safety's. They can bring the safety's down in the box more often.

Getting some of these players back definitely changes the defense.

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Lphill's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:41 pm

until some or all return the Packers will get picked apart in the middle.

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JohnnyLogan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 01:06 pm

The pass rush is almost non-existent, and coupled with zone defense, it's pretty easy for any quarterback to find someone standing open somewhere in the middle. QBs are just playing easy pitch-and-catch against our D. The quarterback numbers against us for the last two weeks are mind-boggling. We will either win shootouts or lose big.

Also, barely targeting your best receiver, Reed, for the previous four weeks doesn't seem like the most competent play. Doubs is out, and Reed gets no looks. What is that all about?

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GregC's picture

December 10, 2024 at 02:21 pm

They'll get picked apart in the middle if they play the Lions every week, but that's not going to happen. Tua put up a lot of yards on them in the middle of the field, but not in the first half when it mattered. He did it in the second half, when the Dolphins were way behind. They chewed up a lot of time with that dink and dunk offense and never quite got back into the game. The Packers have won plenty of games without Alexander. I think they will need him against the better passing teams though, like the Vikings, and they will need him for the playoffs.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:25 pm

Karl Brooks needs more snaps.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:23 am

Regardless of whether Alexander is back and properly healthy, we need Hafley to face the fact that neither Stokes nor Valentine are good in zone and particularly if it’s not press. It’s understandable that he might want those coverages in principle, but in practice it’s amply demonstrated that we don’t have the horses. He’s either got to accept that or try other options like Rochell, perhaps King, who is at least athletically suited. Sometimes you need to risk untested rather than just going with broken.

It’s not just CB, we also need to face the fact that the slot play in the passing game has not been good and that McDuffie can’t be out there on passing downs. Maybe we need to move Nixon: either needs to go back to the slot, which would just make more pressure to blood other CBs or change the approach there. At ILB, if Cooper isn’t back and healthy, we need to risk Hopper and perhaps Oladapo as a big S. Again, be prepared to take risk on inexperience in the hope of improvement.

On O, the game planning and scripted play failings have already been referenced. We need to run (and not be afraid to do so more if he’s resting), but we also need to do more with Kraft and in the slot and get the O in rhythm with more high percentage, quick release plays. We are under using Reed, the shorter slot routes and the short game (not near laterals) in the route tree from my observations. There’s nothing wrong and a lot right in scheming Reed open and letting him run after the catch.

The pieces are there, but we either aren’t using them in a way that gets the best out of them or are using players too ill suited to them on D or we are making life more difficult on O and performance more sporadic. We need to help ourselves get the best from what we have and that may not be what we’d do in a perfect world on the whiteboard. Oftentimes that seems to be how both O and D are planned for.

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RCPackerFan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:42 am

"'if Cooper isn’t back and healthy, we need to risk Hopper and perhaps Oladapo as a big S."

This is something that I have been thinking about a lot lately. McDuffie has become such a liability in the passing game, I wonder if they would consider going to a big safety look with 3 Safety's and 1 LB. Oladapo I think could be really good in that role.

I don't think they can continue to just keep going with the same looks defensively if they don't have the pieces they want out there.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:02 am

Exactly. McDuffie is a great run game piece but in the pass game it’s not working to an extent that can’t go on. We can’t give up more than 100% completions even if we put you, I or a DL or I back there (Mosby might actually be a wild card option in some cases)! Therefore trying something different that may not succeed but might becomes the logical response.

I don’t really see the difference between that and corners. If you want Stokes and Valentine then change coverages, if not give Rochell and King a run. Just doing the same knowing they struggle (and aren’t physically suited) is not going to get a different outcome.

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stockholder's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:43 am

CW - We can make do at CB.
The Pass Rush is the problem.
It's not consistent.

The Offense will be OK.
More time is needed.
But priority #! is catching the ball.

No matter how this team looks on paper.
The motivation and mind set is sporadic.
Like MLF says- It's Gut check time

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 12:12 pm

I agree. The pass rush has been the critical factor, though our ability to cover the short and intermediate middle is now telegraphed so clearly that that may rival it. That doesn’t pair well with Blitzing either, as Goff demonstrated—taking us back to the DL again.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:29 pm

So, we have no pass rush, no cornerbacks who can cover and are healthy, no linebackers who can interfere with the short pass. Does that about cover it?

1) Defense in the NFL is pass defense. Most of the yards, and most of the points, come in the air.

2) Pass defense starts with covering people. If you can't cover, the pass rush won't have time to reach home against a QB who gets rid of the ball quickly.

3) I think the Packers pass rush numbers would look a lot better if we could just keep people covered a fraction of a second longer, but we have to do the best we can with what we have. Nixon and Stokes are our top two CBs by snap counts. Valentine, Alexander, and Ballantine round out our top 5. I'm generally unhappy with Stokes for reasons I've already shared, and I'd like to see Valentine play more and Stokes play less.

4) Blitzing sacrifices coverage for pressure. The Tuesday Morning QB laid it out pretty clearly that blitzing results in big plays AGAINST the defense more often than it does FOR it. I think you rush four guys who can all win a one-on-one battle and cover with seven. Force the QB to stay in the pocket and throw to a covered guy.

5) What we have is what we have. There's no miracle falling out of the sky.
We have 5 DBs out there: McKinney,Bullard, Nixon, Stokes, Valentine. If Williams is healthy, you can play 3 safeties and two corners. If Alexander is healthy, that's obviously a plus. But this is what we've got for the rest of the way.

6) Me? Faced with these facts, I'd probably play a softer coverage and keep the play in front of us and try to make some tackles on the catch. I wouldn't blitz more, I wouldn't press cover.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:33 pm

Goff delivered the ball before the pass rush took two steps. In that situation, the CBs have to hold in Press and stick close to the receivers 1:1. The newbies are getting hurt and are not experienced enough to play disguise with combo zones. The LBs are not getting the drop s correct in the hook zones. McDuffie is a designated blitzer. Wilson is the best cover LB. Walker lacks instincts. Getting Jaire back in one piece is a mandate. There are no other cover CBs.

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Starrbrite's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:43 pm

I like what you say about risking the play of Hopper and Oladapo to seek improvement—I’m with you on this. We can always change back.

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HarryHodag's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:30 am

Well, hopefully we won't have any more of this type of article.

1) The Packers WILL NOT win the Super Bowl this year. They won't even make it. They're about the 4th best team in the NFC and only a miracle would propel them to the title. Why? They don't have the horses to win the race, yet. But I have a deep suspicion they will by next year. THIS DOES NOT MEAN THEY STINK NOR DOES IT MEAN RADICAL CHANGES ARE NECESSARY.
2) The surprise team, the Vikings, have more 'blue' or top shelf stars this year than the Packers. The Lions have even more than the Vikings plus both teams are coached by smart leaders.
3) Jordan Love is far from the problem. Never forget this is just his second year in the league as a starter though he's been around for 5. He's worth the money and has proven he can get the job done.
4) Remember the lousy kicking last year and earlier this year? The Packers should have at least one more victory, maybe two. 10 or 11 wins makes you think differently, yes?
5) The Packers need a mauler in the defensive line, a 6'6" 350 pound animal to draw attention inside, thus freeing up more outside pressure. Think what Chris Jones does for Kansas City. He isn't on the roster yet.
6) While the Packers have a cluster of pretty good receivers, they don't have a clear #1. C. Watson has his moments, but they need to find one of them, or draft, to bring fear to the defense.
7) The Packers also need to address the cornerback position this off season, likely through the draft. Alexander has missed significant time the past two years and they can't count on him and the other side has two mediocre players.

To summarize, the Packers are a good, but not great, team. Expectations for the Super Bowl or to think of them as losers are so off base to be comical. But the future is bright with a few shrewd personnel moves.

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Handsback's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:59 am

I seldom reply on comments but you are absolutely right in what you stated. About the only issue I would disagree with is the receivers. I think Green Bay has enough talent at WR and additional seasoning will make them better.
The biggest difference between last year and this year is them playing as a team. Miss- communication in coverages and along the OL seem to be greater this season verses last year.
Just MHO

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:35 pm

Here's the deal at WR for next year:

Doubs and Watson will both be in their contract year. Reed and Wicks we'll have for two more years. I would think the Packers plan would be to keep Doubs, then Reed, and let the other two walk, but that could change depending on injuries. If Watson played to the level we seem to believe he can, we're not going to be able to resign him. So Doubs, and Reed, will be here through the meat of the Love years.

We're going to want another guy in that group, a younger guy, on a rookie contract. Given our success in drafting good WRs, I could totally see us adding a guy who'd be ready when the other guys leave in FA.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:02 pm

we're getting pretty great returns with guys on first contracts, maybe reed gets another, but I look to restock the room with rookie deals the next two years. Gutekunst proved it works. I want money going to lines. Protect the franchise, some receiver will get open.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:43 pm

Optimally, I’d try to always have at least 2 if not 3 with experience each year.

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Packerpasty's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:09 am

BINGO..."coached by smart leaders"....who know how to motivate...they have top shelf staffs at important positions, which the Packers do not have...Packers hold onto their position coaches way too long...

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GregC's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:26 am

It's a bit much to say definitively that the Packers will not win the Super Bowl. The last time they won a Super Bowl, they were 6-6 after 12 games and needed help to get into the playoffs. The Packers have enough talent to be contenders if they get some players healthy and get hot in the playoffs. They were contenders in the playoffs last season, and I think they have a little more potential this year.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:38 am

When it’s win or die, anyone can win. It typically comes down to health, a little luck and who wins the coaching battles to exploit opponents weaknesses.

So far we have not seen us triumph in that during the LaFleur era in the post season, except perhaps Dallas last year, but were they really as good as then billed?

One can’t control luck or health really either. Game plans, preparation and adjustments are the only thing that one can control when roster superiority is not enough alone, which it rarely is in the playoffs.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 10, 2024 at 02:22 pm

Chris Jones weighs 310 lbs. 325+ DTs that can provide some pass rush are like winning lottery tickets. It's a shame Dexter Lawrence's best years are wasting away on the Giants because he's truly a freak among freaks. There's a DT from Kentucky, Deone Walker, listed at 6'-6" 345 lbs that was very active as a rusher in '23 but not so much this year. His pressures dropped from 51 to 21 and his sacks from 8 to 4.

BTW there's four DTs over 325 lbs in the top 100 on PFF's Big Board and another three listed at 320. Between 100-250 there's only one over 325 lbs and that one is at 109. If Slaton walks and they need a replacement they'll most likely have to grab one in the 1st
three rounds but it's a good year for good big men.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:39 pm

If they wanted a plugger to command the Dbl team inside, they should have snagged T.Sweat...

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:34 pm

They haven’t used a plugger in years. I might wish they would, but when we’ve had them, all 3 DCs have been loathe to get them off the bench (or PS).

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:16 pm

On a 4 man line you can't have a player that provides no pass rush. You don't need size to be a good run defender. Kris Jenkins was considered the best DT vs the run in the '24 class and he's 305 lbs.

They aren't looking for pluggers but if they can find a big guy that can rush the passer better than Slaton great.

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joejetson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:36 am

With the injury situation in the secondary, improvement from the pass is critical. They have a lot of high priced guys on the D-Line. Right now is the time they need to earn their money.

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NFLfan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:59 am

I don't think those 'expensive' DL players are going to come through in a substantive way. Packers have to accept and learn from it.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:04 pm

I think they were less suited to the new system than the team anticipated. They are, as was pointed out before the season, very similar at DE, though Moseby is now a little different, Cox too, to a lesser extent. I do think it’s odd that we don’t see new moves On the DT front. Is the coaching not helping—I think it’s Chesty who points out that they held over a 3:4 guy? Wyatt looked good and got injured and may now be reemerging. Clark has looked a little better recently now that he’s getting over the toe. To me it’s a possibility that, if the edges were better, we might find we were ok in the middle. It really needs someone to ignite and be disruptive beyond Gary and on a consistent basis.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 10, 2024 at 02:30 pm

Devonte Wyatt is starting to play better the last couple weeks but still not close to how he looked in the 1st few games before his injury. He did make a couple stops in run D against the Lions which is a very positive sign for him but I'm guessing the high ankle sprain robbed him of some explosion which was his main pass rushing attribute.

They really needed Wyatt or Brooks to take a big step this year and unfortunately Wyatt got hurt and Brooks hasn't been as effective as last year. In Brooks' case it's a small step back and one big game could put him on track to duplicate his numbers from last year.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:33 pm

Wyatt has to be turned loose.

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Packers0808's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:42 am

There are a couple older veterans unsigned out there that can be better than a young lousy Stokes at this point. Try them out and see if they have anything left in tank for the 4 remaining games and possible playoff rum. What can it hurt to take a look see?

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:52 am

You dance with the one that you brought. It's kind of late in the day to be making changes. Better to focus on what you can do with what you have than to hope for something different.

Here's the deal on Stokes. He's on the team for four more games, plus playoffs. After the season, he'll test the FA waters and leave Green Bay. We might get a Day 3 comp pick for him. As for this next week, we'll hope that he plays well on his snaps. Without Alexander, he's our best cover corner on the field.

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Packers0808's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:54 am

Why they just brought up a new line man and cut another one just yesterday I believe it was.

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 01:53 pm

Michael Jordan was added to the PS, if that’s what you mean. He’s played C mostly in the league, but not terribly well. Ok pass blocker, not good in the run game this year with the Pats. He was depth for us in the past.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 10, 2024 at 02:48 pm

Stokes might be the best cover corner when the receiver is running in a straight line but he's been roasted repeatedly by in breaking routes. Maybe they'll have him tail Metcalf this week, he's not the most agile guy either but Stokes would likely have a problem with his physicality.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 05:45 pm

His forte was running with Williams in the Bulldogs v 'Bama rivalry. His teammate at the other CB position was the complete player.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 10, 2024 at 06:37 pm

Eric Stokes was targeted three times in Detroit and the lone reception he allowed was Tim Patrick’s one-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter. Between Stokes and Carrington Valentine, they were targeted seven times for three receptions, 20 yards, one PBU and one TD.

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jannes bjornson's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:36 pm

No need for Goff to target the perimeter. They were clearly attacking the middle of the field.

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NFLfan's picture

December 10, 2024 at 09:53 am

Packers are a B+ team with some recently added very good players; Williams, Cooper, MacKinney et al.
However, they don't have a deep bench and when those effective players are injured, it's back to mediocrity. There are so many holes that will require top-end replacements, that it may take some time to acquire these expensive (DRAFT/FA) players.
I'd say there is a need for 7-8 top notch D players-2 DBs (I would no longer count on Jaire), 1 OL, 2 DLs, 2 LBs. and some competent back-ups.

They have to be ready to play day 1.

I would encourage fans to listen to Justis Mosqueda on Andy Herman's podcast today-he is telling the truth and both fans and the Packers FO/Coaches need to listen.

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LLCHESTY's picture

December 10, 2024 at 02:37 pm

Wouldn't mediocrity mean playing .500 ball?

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Coldworld's picture

December 10, 2024 at 07:07 pm

Could one argue .750 this year?

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LeotisHarris's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:44 am

On the other hand, one could definitely find the definition of irony almost immediately, but certainly in the next four weeks.

The Corner remains a flat circle.

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Bitternotsour's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:16 am

there's a certain inevitability to it, you don't even have to squint to see it.

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Leatherhead's picture

December 10, 2024 at 11:55 am

Technically, you could fold a flat circle twice, resulting in a 90 degree angle, or corner.

I know that's not relevant, it just jumped into my head.

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TKWorldWide's picture

December 10, 2024 at 08:36 pm

I might also point out that time keeps on slippin’, slippin’, slippin’, into the future.

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Leonard's picture

December 10, 2024 at 01:38 pm

All this QB/RB/WR discussion. Isn't the game won in the trenches? Poor OL blocking holds the stars back. Who has good OL? The Lions and the Eagles. Top flight. How about KC? Really they don't have a LT and their RT is poor. But the three in the middle, two are #1 in the NFL at their position and the laggard is #3. Even the Vikings have two in their OL who rank in the top 10. And the Packers? Zach Thom is our star with a #7 ranking. The next highest Packer lineman is 55th best at his position. I wish good luck to Love, but without a good line they might need more than luck.
The good news is we have no one we have to resign from the 2021 draft (Mayers, Slaton, and Stokes). That means we can sign a couple linemen with the money saved from a poor 2021 draft.
Leaonds

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LeotisHarris's picture

December 10, 2024 at 10:02 pm

Hat's off to you, Leonard, for the original take. I really don't know where the game is won anymore or if it even matters.

I'll tell you this, in all sincerity as we circle the drain, someone's gonna get paid, man, and it's not gonna be us.

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TKWorldWide's picture

December 11, 2024 at 05:14 am

Re: that last bit:
Even WITH the possibility of NIL?

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LeotisHarris's picture

December 11, 2024 at 10:46 am

I think you can still hold out some hope, the rest of us are f*cked

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