It is never too early to start looking at the winning projection totals, right?  With only 156 days left until the NFL season kicks off on September 4th, Vegas released each team’s 2025 regular season over/under winning projections. 

All of these NFL Betting Odds are calculated before the draft and team’s not knowing their solidified schedule even though each team is aware of their opponents and home/road matchups. Here are the current NFC North over/under projections:

Detroit Lions:
Over 10.5 wins -110
Under 10.5 wins -110
Last year over/under 10.5 wins hit the over.

Green Bay Packers:
Over 9.5 wins -120
Under 9.5 wins +100
Last year over/under 9.5 wins hit the over.

Chicago Bears:
Over 8.5 wins +110
Under 8.5 -130
Last year over/under 8.5 wins hit the under. 

Minnesota Vikings:
Over 8.5 wins -120
Under 8.5 wins +100
Last year Vikings over/under 6.5 wins hit the over.

What Stands Out? 

Some observations that stand out here are three out of four NFC North teams hitting the over last season with the exception of Chicago. Also, three out of four teams have the same winning projection total as last season with the exception of Minnesota. It should not be shocking that all of these teams are projected to have more than 8 wins. The odds are at least one of these teams will have an underwhelming season falling into the dismay of hitting the under.

However, this speaks to how good the NFC North is and how it established itself as the toughest division in football last season. The odds makers foreshadow this division to remain dominant even with a looming tough schedule. The NFC North and NFC West are tied for the most projected division team wins with 37 total.

Evaluating the Packers’ Opponents
 

Before dissecting the teams Green Bay is going to face, at first thought it seems like a no-brainer to bet the Packers hit the over considering last season they won 10 games by week 16. However, the Packers are tied for having the fifth-toughest schedule along with the Cowboys and Vikings (.557). For what it is worth, the Giants (.574), the Bears and Lions (.571) have the top three-toughest schedules.

The Packers home opponents include the NFC North teams, the Panthers, the Ravens, Bengals, Eagles, and Commanders. Lambeau Field will be hosting opponents with a combined winning percentage of .632. The road opponents include the NFC North teams, the Giants, the Cowboys, Browns, Steelers, Broncos, and Cardinals. Between their home and road opponents, the Packers will play nine games against teams that made the playoffs. The Packers went 2-5 against playoff opponents last year. It is not an easy road. 

If you had $1000 would you bet the Packers’ hit the over or under?

With Green Bay’s odds being +100 to hit the under, Vegas is daring betters to put money on less than 9 wins. It seems unlikely that only one team in the NFC North makes the playoffs. Looking at the Packers schedule, if they are able to at least win three games in the division, two against the NFC East and two against the AFC North opponents, that is seven wins right there. 

Home against the Panthers and on the road against the Cardinals and Broncos are all winnable games. With the expectations of this team to take another step in the growth process and elevate to win games that matter, betting the over still seems like the smarter and safer bet. With still a lot of offseason to play out, would you place that $1000 bet on the over or under?