The Paradox That Is Marshawn Lloyd
By Kalani Jones

One of the more surprising moves in April’s draft was Green Bay not drafting a running back to add to their current room. While we still have the steady hand of Josh Jacobs to shoulder a monumental portion of the offense, questions still abound on what exactly the team has on the depth chart behind him.
Chris Brooks won the contractual tug-of-war with Emmanuel Wilson, winning the grand prize of another year in Green Bay. Brooks was a Steady Eddy for Green Bay, moonlighting as a third down pass protector and pass catcher. Of his 222 total snaps last season, 157 of those came on a pass play. That’s about 71% of his total snaps, compared to 52% for Josh Jacobs and 51% for Emmanuel Wilson last season. Brooks’s role on the team is pretty well defined at this point.
Wilson’s absence should provide, in theory, be the perfect role for Marshawn Lloyd to step into. Lloyd won’t have to carry a majority of the offense on his back (if Jacobs should suffer an unfortunate injury, I would bet the mortgage on MLF leaning on an RB by committee approach). But is replacing Wilson a 1 for 1 task, with their differing skillsets?
Last season, Wilson carried the ball 125 times, for 496 yards, three touchdowns, and one fumble. On those attempts, he averaged around 4 yards per carry, with 3.06 yards after contact (what a massive indictment of the Packers’ run blocking last season!). His attempts came mostly on zone blocking plays, with a 75-49 split and twelve 10+ runs. Wilson was mostly a North-South runner, with 39% of his rushing attempts going through the A gap in either Middle-Left or Middle-Right, and the other 60% spread out through the other six gaps.
In receiving, Wilson was a pretty negligible contributor, with only 15 receptions for 99 yards, no touchdowns and one “explosive”. As is to be expected, his receptions came mostly behind the line of scrimmage, with ten out of fifteen.
Can Lloyd take over Wilson’s role in the offense? Well, we just don’t know. We don’t know what the Packers want Lloyd to do, what Lloyd himself wants to do, and what the ultimate best use for Lloyd will be. Can we sniff it out? Let’s find out.
The first place to look would be the last chunk of football that we actually got from Lloyd, his final collegiate season with the USC Trojans. That season, in 2023, he had 115 attempts for 816 yards and nine touchdowns. He was good for 7.1 yards per attempt, and 3.9 yards per attempt. Of his 115 attempts, 31% were through the “D gap” meaning outside of the tackle and/or tight end attached to the line. He still got plenty of work right down the middle however, with 26% of his attempts going up the A-gap, 42% if you include the right B-Gap. Interestingly enough, Lloyd only had 24 total rushing attempts in any other gap. He was either going straight north-south or going way outside of the OL.
Lloyd’s receiving chops were a major selling point of his scouting process. In 2023, he caught 13 balls for 232 yards, 17.8 yards per reception. His receiving depth is much more varied than Wilson’s as well. While 50% of his receptions still came behind the line of scrimmage, he caught two out of his three 20+ yard targets, one going for 33 yards and the other for 54 yards. He also got a bit of work in the short passing game as well: about 27.8% of his targets were there.
All in all, Lloyd showed off a bit more explosiveness to his game that Wilson couldn’t match. But it’s more than a little disingenuous to compare college and NFL stats head to head, right? Let’s find something a little more solid. What was thought about Lloyd’s future role when he was drafted?
PFSN - "Lloyd is a fascinating prospect with jaw-dropping flashes of excellence and anxiety-filled red flags in his draft profile. His fluidity and contributions as a receiver also work in his favor when projecting his potential to contribute on all three downs in an NFL backfield.His burst, change of direction, and lateral agility are hard not to fall in love with when he connects on his homerun attempts to bounce runs outside for explosive plays.Unfortunately, some of his top-end playmaking ability is closely tied to faulty reads, wasted motion, and indecisiveness. Throw in some issues with pass protection and a lengthy injury history, and we have a prospect with a wide range of outcomes.”
Dane Brugler - “Overall, Lloyd doesn’t have the profile of a high-volume back, but he can spark an NFL offense with his mix of patience, burst and promise as a pass catcher."
Lance Zierlein - "Lloyd runs with slightly below-average vision but has the juice to play the role of "chunk-play slasher" and dangerous open-field pass catcher. Lloyd is a low-mileage prospect, and the scope of his role will obviously depend on scheme fit."
33rd Team - “His route running and explosiveness could pave a path to a 3rd down role at the next level, though his size might be a limited factor in terms of pass protection.”
The general consensus on Lloyd is pretty clear. His insane athleticism, defined by acceleration and burst through space, was his calling card. His potential as a pass catcher, especially in an era where every RB needs to be part receiver, was a huge asset as well. A great 3rd down back seemed to be the floor for his career.
Of course, the third down back role comes with a rather large part of the job description that reads “pass blocking non-negotiable”. Lloyd’s size has always been a limiting factor in that regard, and his tape at college was, in a word, horrendous. In his final year at USC he earned a 28.9 pass blocking grade from PFF, allowing 32 pressures and one sack. Of course, Lloyd may have massively improved this aspect of his game behind the scenes, but we certainly haven’t seen it.
So according to all the signs, his best role is more of a third down catching back than a complimentary runner like WIlson. But if that’s true, and we already have a third down back who is better at pass blocking than Lloyd, where does that leave Lloyd? Assuming health, do the Packers look to move Brooks to the Wilson role, and slide Lloyd into his more natural position?
I do think there is enough room on the roster for two third down type running backs, especially when you factor in Josh Jacobs himself, as the big bruising bellcow type who is going to be sucking up a majority of the playtime anyway. I think Lloyd and Brooks might be a bit redundant together, but the pair works well as a change of pace from Jacobs. Lloyd should shake out to be the RB2 in that situation pretty easily.
Now, we do have to address the elephant in the room. Lloyd has a long history of injuries to overcome to become a major impact on the 2026 Packers. His injury troubles began in his freshman year at the University of South Carolina (yes, he technically played for both USCs), and as we all know, he’s never been able to stay healthy enough for Green Bay. After suffering an injured ankle in week 2 of the 2024 season, Lloyd was set for a return, which was ultimately derailed by appendicitis which ended his season. Then in 2025, a hamstring injury in the preseason landed him on the injured reserve again, with another setback coming in December that effectively ended his sophomore NFL season.
Your heart really does break for the guy. Every interview and comment I’ve heard from or about Lloyd is about how eager he is to finally return to the football field and play for the Packers. I hope that the football gods will be kind to him for the remainder of his career, but the unfortunate truth is that history is against him. Justis Mosqueda of the Acme Packing Company did a wonderful job at looking for historical comparisons for the unfortunate beginning of Lloyd’s career.
I hope that Lloyd can prove to be the exception. Can you imagine adding a dynamic speed threat to this offense? It kinda feels like the last infinity stone in the infinity gauntlet that is Green Bay’s offensive weapon group. For a preview of what that looks like: his 33 yard catch in last year’s preseason. There’s so much to be excited about here, and it goes so far in electrifying the Packers’ offense.
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Co-Owner of the thirteen time world champion Green Bay Packers. Sometimes I write about them. Follow me on Twitter at https://x.com/kjones_in_co and on Substack for film breakdowns!
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Comments (22)
Coldworld
May 18, 2026 at 07:59 am
Brooks as a runner is a strictly up the middle power type. He doesn’t have the speed or burst of Wilson, and that was not primarily Wilson’s game. He does get low and push the pile. All his outside stuff is in the passing game. He’s got pretty good hands, but runs a very limited route tree. Obviously, part of that is he’s often protecting initially or being used as a surprise outlet.
His catching is really the only similarity to Lloyd. Lloyd is smaller but still powerful and with the burst and enough strength to win up the middle, but his bread and butter is his ability to win outside. He also ran a noticeably more expansive route tree in college, so he’s not just a near the line outlet for Love. A completely different proposition to Brooks.
As you point out though, can Lloyd protect now? I think it’s stretch to predict he will have improved enough to be used on third downs. He needs to show he can do it adequately on earlier downs. Brooks is going to be the third down back most of the time for that reason.
I think if Brooks gets hurt they look for another protector rather than rely on Lloyd. It’s not a Jacobs strong point either. Of the back ups, perhaps Strong is good enough (I don’t know). It was Martinez’ biggest weakness coming out, so probably not him. He profiles more as a Wilson type, early down between the tackles depth.
Gute can usually find RBs who don’t excite as runners but can protect at cut down or after (Brooks being a prime example, as was Taylor before him). It wouldn’t shock me to see on added to our PS in September. Those types very rarely get poached. If Lloyd can’t go, then it’s a choice between Strong, who is the nearest equivalent or Martinez who would give us a similar RB2 to last year, at least on the current roster.
Cheezehead72
May 18, 2026 at 08:30 am
Your analysis is good.
I like brooks because overall he is the whole package. Yes he does not run outside as well as he does inside but pass to him in the flat and he will run over guys.
I hate the term 3rd down back because that means you are substituting the RB. Once you substitute your allowing the defense time to match up.
Brooks is a 3 down back and would be better than Llyod to give Jacobs a spell. Lloyd is good in his own way if he can stay healthy. I just do not see him being durable enough to go up the middle. The jury is out if he can make a living going up the middle.
I hope he stays healthy so we can at least see what we drafted.
Guam
May 18, 2026 at 08:52 am
The author sees both Brooks and Lloyd as "third down backs". but I agree with your point CW - they are not interchangeable players. It is highly doubtful Lloyd can be a "third down back" due to his shortcomings as a pass protector. I see Lloyd as a change of pace back for Jacobs when Jacobs needs a rest and Brooks as the Packers "third down back" due to his pass protection prowess.
Let's just hope Lloyd can stay healthy enough to play this year or Gute might be RB shopping again.
HarryHodag
May 18, 2026 at 08:03 am
My prediction: Lloyd gets hurt in training camp.
barutanseijin
May 18, 2026 at 03:29 pm
This guy is more injury prone than Justin Harrell. He’s going to get hurt again, then get cut.
TKWorldWide
May 18, 2026 at 08:33 am
He’s got talent and opportunity. Let’s see if he can stay healthy. (Large “if.) How heavily is GB counting on him?
golfpacker61
May 18, 2026 at 09:25 am
Well TK, as the author says, " It was very surprising GB didn't draft a RB." No, it really wasn't. We only had so many picks and if you don't grab one before round 6, what are you really getting? JAG that probably gets released.
I think GB's RB strategy for now is to see if Lloyd can finally stay healthy and grab the RB2 spot, and run with it. It's a scary proposition because RB2 is an injury away from being RB1. Yes, just as with the Edge position hole, teams want to see what they have in younger players and hope they take the opportunity and run with it, no pun intended.
I would think it wouldn't take a huge amount of time this summer to figure out if Lloyd, Strong, or Martinez can be the man. And I imagen Gutey and his staff are playing out the scenario already of those 3 not being what GB wants. Then filling the position at worst with a free agent or at best trading a later pick for someone with more promise, like Trey Benson-Cardinals RB.
LambeauPlain
May 19, 2026 at 09:47 am
Lloyd, if he stays healthy, will be the #2. Exciting skillset to give some fun changeups to Jacobs' fast ball strikes between the Tackles.
If the injury bug bites again, Brooks will be the #2 and used differently, with more snaps but also an even greater focus on his pass game, both receiving and blocking.
Look forward to Martinez's camp work too. He's going to be fun to watch.
golfpacker61
May 18, 2026 at 09:11 am
I think we should throw out the appendicitis in 2024. It's not like Lloyd wanted to have it, and it's not the same as an injury. I also don't care about the ankle injury his first year @ South Carolina, it's irrelevant to Lloyd as a Packer. Has he had anymore ankle injuries since then in college, or as a Packer? Hamstring injuries are almost a common as a cold in pro sports. Hopefully the off-season health work he did has strengthened the weakness. Does anyone know if it's the same facility that Watson and Stokes went to for their hamstring problems?
Lloyd was one of my favorite RB options in his draft. There were a ton of complete RBs who could run and catch very well. He was at the top of the list. Blocking is another issue, it seems like 99% of college RBs are not good blockers. Why would they be? As college stars they are asked to carry and catch the ball only. Saying a RB isn't a good blocker is almost used as much as saying that O & D lineman pad level is too high. Those 2 things are said about almost all RBs & linemen.
Was it really that surprising GB didn't select a RB in this draft? We only had so many picks and then we traded 3 away. The last decent RB that would have been an upgrade with the possibility to replace Jacobs was Nic Singleton-Penn State. He would have been an excellent player to add and he was still available with pick #160 that we traded to move up for McClellan, a move that will be debated for a couple years. After Singleton was gone, what is the point of drafting a RB with a late pick that won't have a snowballs chance of making the roster. Same goes with taking a late QB, it's like flushing the pick down the john. It's a much better strategy to trade a late pick in the 2027 draft for a proven, young RB that is stuck on some team's depth chart.
Marshawn Lloyd is down to his last chance to make this team. If he can't stay healthy and contribute, GB will move on. I would love to see Pierre Strong given a real solid look to grab that spot. He has the same skillset as Lloyd, only he is bigger, faster, and is actually healthy.
He should get as much attention as Lloyd gets. If neither takes control then there will be many options to fill the position. Trey Benson is rumored to be odd man out in Arizona and he was the 3rd best RB in his draft class. He would be a great bargain for a late round pick and could assume RB1 in 2027. Wilson is now viewed in Seattle as RB insurance and could also be a cap causalty. We could do worse than bringing back a proven vet and he would be vet minimum.
GregC
May 18, 2026 at 09:55 am
You say that Pierre Strong is bigger than Marshawn Lloyd, but on the roster, Strong is listed at 5'11" and 207 pounds, while Lloyd is listed at 5'9" and 220 pounds. So Strong is a couple inches taller, but Lloyd is heavier and therefore much thicker, with a lower center of gravity. I don't see what's preventing Lloyd from becoming a good blocker. Aaron Jones is 5'9" and was listed at 208 pounds, and he learned to be a decent blocker. I'm not on board with the suggestion, repeated by the author of this article, that Lloyd is a small RB. He is big and powerful, and his college highlights show him running effectively between the tackles.
Coldworld
May 18, 2026 at 10:05 am
Lloyd can run between the tackles. He is 5’9 and 220. He’s therefore got a low center of gravity. Add his burst and he has the power and leverage to succeed. However, vision between the tackles is not his greatest strength. It can be a bit hit and miss. Moreover, his real strength is the ability to get outside. We shouldn’t want to pound him into DL all the time. That would be wasting the difference he brings and his strength as well as restricting his interchangeability as a dual threat receiver in space.
Strong is taller, leaner and flat out fast in terms of burst and long speed (both more so than Lloyd). He is not going to carry DL consistently, though he is powerful enough to trouble linebackers, but he can split them. If he wins inside it’s because he’s through gaps so fast, but that’s more a secondary option to keep teams honest. Strong is a guy you want going outside more often than not and more so even than Loyd when Jacobs is the lead back.
Lloyd’s ability is to do both, but he’s not the sledgehammer Jacobs is or Wilson was, he can do things they can’t. That was always the point of drafting him in my mind. Having him out there gives our run attack credibility in the extra dimension outside the tackles and thus should change defenses.
golfpacker61
May 18, 2026 at 11:17 am
As I stated Greg, I am a Marshawn Lloyd supporter and was extremely happy when GB drafted him. I saw him as a Jacobs replacement in 2026 or 2027. I don't know if Strong has gained weight since college, I would assume he has so he could be closer to 220 than 207 at this point. He is taller and ran 4.37 @ the combine. Not only a breakaway threat but has some power as well to go along with being a solid pass catcher too.
Injuries are a concern for Lloyd. I wonder how significant the injury he had last year from the cheap shot Nate Hobbs put on Lloyd was, after Hobbs was told to tone it down and didn't. How much that injury contributed to Lloyd missing time last year and what kind of injury it was.
Lloyd does have some power, being 220 lbs should have been a factor in drafting him over a RB like Bucky Brooks, who I liked as well but was smaller too.
Starrbrite
May 19, 2026 at 05:28 pm
I agree—the appendectomy is not a football injury.
From the Jungle Room
May 18, 2026 at 09:13 am
Like everyone, I've been intrigued with what Lloyd can bring to this team when he's healthy but unlike some, I'm not ready to toss this guy to the side just yet. I've read that he's worked with trainers since last year to strengthen his lower body which will hopefully reduce the soft tissue injuries that have plagued him so far. This is likely his make-or-break year, hopefully the conditioning he's been doing this off season to strengthen his lower body will help him overcome these nagging setbacks. His explosiveness and pass catching abilities would add some change of pace fire power to our O but he's gotta make it out of August first....I hope he can so that the Reuben Droughns comparisons can be put to rest!
GregC
May 18, 2026 at 10:12 am
Perhaps Kalani is overthinking this one. What part of 7.1 yards per carry (and 17.8 yards per reception) is not to like? Lloyd seems like the ideal #2 RB. Players who leave do not need to be replaced by players with identical skillsets, they just need to be replaced by good players. Lloyd should be very good if he stays healthy.
barutanseijin
May 18, 2026 at 05:41 pm
What’s not to like?
The blocking, the fragility and the fumbles.
GregC
May 19, 2026 at 04:11 am
We all know he has flaws. The article is about how he fits into the offense. I'm saying a player who was that effective running the ball and receiving profiles just fine as a #2 RB.
ricky
May 18, 2026 at 05:53 pm
If Lloyd is as bad a blocker as portrayed in the article, we should remember that the (apparent) main reason Aaron Jones didn't play more early on with the Packers was he was poor in pass protection. Though at times, the team seems to be turning into a run-first team, with an O-line that is better at pass protection.
LambeauPlain
May 19, 2026 at 09:56 am
Jonesy is Exhibit One showing how RB pass protection skills can be learned from a good teacher and coach.
Fortunately for Lloyd, he also has Ben Sirmans as his coach, who taught AJ how to pass block, and pass block very well.
Ben is the longest tenured Packer Coach for a reason...he's very good at his job. One of the best Packer Coaches on the team.
Leatherhead
May 18, 2026 at 08:27 pm
The Packers have drafted superduper RBs in the past that haven't amounted to squat. We took Alex Green with the 96th pick and he never amounted to squat. He was injured, never really got over it, and was released after two seasons.
Brandon Jackson was taken in the second round. He played four years, scored 7 TDs, and had about 1300 yards of offense over 4 seasons.
My all time favorite would be Brent Fullwood. He was the 4th overall pick in 1987, and played 3 years, scoring 17 TDs and getting about 1500 yards. But the reason he sticks in my mind was for asking Forrest Gregg if he had ever played in the league. By all accounts, this guy was not the sharpest tool in the shed.
MitchAnthony
May 19, 2026 at 08:58 am
Omigosh, I didn't recall the Brent Fullwood - Forrest Gregg interaction. That's damn funny stuff. Self awareness man, not everyone possesses it.
I remember hearing a story where some young up and coming player asked a same/similar question to Bo Jackson upon getting to meet Bo Jackson (probably one of the best athletes to ever play in professional sports).
Starrbrite
May 20, 2026 at 09:20 pm
Right LH—great recollections.