Packers Face Very Difficult Free Agent Decisions in 2021

While it is still a year away, as we look ahead to the 2021 offseason, the Green Bay Packers are going to have some difficult decisions to make in free agency. 

The 2020 free agency period is just over a week old and of course, the season still needs to be played as well. However, in the NFL it is never too early to look ahead and when it comes to the Green Bay Packers 2021 free agency class, it is loaded with key players. 

This list includes David Bakhtiari, Kenny Clark, Corey Linsley, Kevin King, and Aaron Jones. All of which as we know, play important roles in Green Bay's success. 

Unfortunately, the odds of Green Bay bringing back all five of these players are incredibly slim. And while there are strong cases for each player to stay, in the end, who will the Packers bring back and who will they let walk? 

For me, the two players that have to be brought back are Bakhtiari and Clark. Bakhtiari has consistently been one of the best tackles in the NFL and a year from now he will still only be 29 years old. Not to mention that with a quarterback that will be turning 37 this season, having a rock-solid left tackle is uber-important. Meanwhile, Clark continues to establish himself as one of the best interior defensive linemen in the game and letting him walk just simply isn't an option. 

But after those two, the decision making certainly becomes more difficult. 

Linsley has been incredibly durable over his career, playing in 100 percent of Green Bay's offensive snaps in three of his six NFL seasons. Not to mention that his play on the field has been very good for the most part and he has a great connection with Aaron Rodgers. But it's worth pointing out that Green Bay did give Lucas Patrick a cheap contract extension this past season and he is someone who could step in at center if needed. The big question, however, is how much of a downgrade would Patrick be? And after losing Bryan Bulaga this offseason, is it wise to move on from your starting center as well? 

Then there is Jones who put together a fantastic season in 2019. He was effective both out of the backfield as well as in the passing game and I don't even want to think about what this offense would have looked like last season without him. And that is the tricky part in all of this. 

Moving on from a player as important to the offense as Jones is just doesn't make much sense on the surface. But as we've seen around the NFL, there is an unwillingness to pay running backs big money and many successful teams have running backs on cheap deals. I mean, Jones himself is a prime example of how you can find an effective running back during Day 3 of the draft. 

So regardless of what ends up happening between Jones and the Packers, Green Bay should be drafting a running back this year because Jamaal Williams is a free agent next offseason as well, and they need to be prepared for life without Jones or Williams. 

Lastly, we have King who has been a punching bag for Packers fans during his short career but in 2019 he was able to stay healthy for the most part as he put together a breakout season with five interceptions, 11 pass breakups, and opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of just 86.6 when targeting him according to Pro Football Focus.

Given his injury history along with the other free agents that the Packers have to worry about, moving on from King may seem like an easy decision to some. And if that is in fact the case, the Green Bay Packers already light cornerback room takes another big hit.

Despite spending quite a bit of draft capital on the position in recent years, the Packers still have a lot of question marks there. Chandon Sullivan emerged over the second half of the season but can he produce throughout a full season with more playing time? Then we have Josh Jackson who rarely saw the field and while Ka'dar Hollman flashed in the preseason, he is still a relative unknown. 

So while moving on from King is certainly a possibility, as it currently stands, Green Bay would once again have a major hole at the position without him. 

In order to help gain some perspective into what Green Bay's plans might be with these five future free agents, Rob Demovsky of ESPN spoke with a scout and a coach to get their opinions on the matter:

"Two longtime NFL people -- a scout and an assistant coach -- agreed to rank the Packers' fivesome of starters who will be free agents this season in order of who they should re-sign.

Independent of the other, they both submitted the exact same order: Bakhtiari, Clark, Linsley, Jones, and King."

While arguments can be made in regards to whether Bakhtiari or Clark should be first, overall these rankings make a lot of sense. 

It's also worth pointing out that the 2021 free agency period is effecting how Green Bay approaches this offseason. After having spent big money in 2019 on The Smiths, Adrian Amos, and Billy Turner, along with needing to have funds available to re-sign as many of these five players as they can, the Packers have had to go bargain shopping this offseason, so they don't eat up a ton of future cap space knowing what lies ahead for them. 

As I mentioned above, it's difficult to envision a world where Green Bay can keep all five of these players. The hope should be that Clark and Bakhtiari are both back on new deals and really anything after that is gravy. 

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Born and raised in Green Bay, WI and I still call it home. After my family, watching the Packers, sharing my opinions on the team through my writing and interacting with other fans is my greatest passion. You can find me on Twitter at @Paul_Bretl. 
 

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Comments (53)

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Ferrari-Driver's picture

March 27, 2020 at 01:57 pm

Paul, Thanks for taking the time to write the interesting article.
I think most Packer fans will agree that King is at the bottom of the list and will likely be replaced. Most will also likely agree that your first two are our Top Priority. It appears to me that after next year, it will hard for the Packers to improve much or at all with the anticipated loses. Jones, Linsley, and King are all above average and I expect we will wind up without Linsley, King, and perhaps even Jones. The must have guys that are free agents are going to be top dollar guys and will eat up a substantial portion of our cap and with guys like the Smiths and Rodgers already on big contracts, the wiggle room is tight. I certainly hope we can assemble a team that can at least make one or two more runs at a Super Bowl before we have to face the reality that Rodgers is done.

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wildbill's picture

March 27, 2020 at 02:12 pm

Aside from his injuries I think what most people dislike about King is that we passed on TJ Watt to draft him which is not his fault. When healthy he is a decent #2 CB but I don’t see us bringing him back with more important needs to be addressed and the money he would command

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CAG123's picture

March 27, 2020 at 06:07 pm

CB is never not going to be an important need in this league because all you have to do is lose one and boom it’s an instant need. Now the Packers number 2 CB is up for a new contract no way Linsey and Jones should get priority over him especially if he stays healthy and has another good season.

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wildbill's picture

March 27, 2020 at 08:54 pm

I may not have expressed myself well as I was not trying to state that CB wouldn’t be an important need, just that at the cost of resigning him would be too high as one of our important needs would be a cheaper alternative at CB.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 28, 2020 at 10:27 am

He pulled in five picks and dropped a couple more balls. See how he plays this year. If he continues to make plays and stays healthy, it would not be an easy call to move on from him. The Hierarchy of value is still QB, LT,CB and Pass Rusher.

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stockholder's picture

March 27, 2020 at 02:21 pm

Gute has a problem. It's not just the emotional impact on the player, but the team. And of course King and the others, will play their best football to get the $$$. Forget a 3rd contract from the packers. Paying Bahk 15 mil. doesn't help the ROSTER. Because as someone pointed out to me, the Roster is more important then any Super Bowl, OR Any All-pro status. So goodBye Bahk. A-Rod got your money. And to be truthful; I'd trade anybody right now before they walk. So the best GM move is protecting the franchise and it's product. You think I'm wrong I know. But isn't this what some owners do in Baseball? Free Agency is here to stay. The only way to judge a player is, on what someone will pay. IF The Packers can't afford any of their Free Agents. THEN NOW IS THE BEST TIME to move them.

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CAG123's picture

March 27, 2020 at 06:13 pm

I always get thumbs down when I suggest a more Bill Belichick approach but it makes sense I wholeheartedly believe teams know the season prior who they’re going to resign so why not get some nice picks from teams willing to part with decent draft capital.

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stockholder's picture

March 27, 2020 at 07:26 pm

So do I . Look what happen to Bulaga. Told everyone he and Martinez would go. It's just not Bellichick. Look at The Saints. They have Brez and still get what they need. The biggest mistake is letting players go in their Prime!

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 07:54 am

It seems to me that people have difficulty accepting the reality of cap life. The reason is the apparent assumption that we can bring in high priced free agents and retain everyone continually. We can’t. Football rosters are a trade off created to level the field. That is done by forcing good teams to let go of talent (bad ones too if they over pay). Everything has to be viewed through that lens.

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dobber's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:57 am

The more you spend, the better you have to draft.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 28, 2020 at 12:56 pm

Or, the better you draft, the more you will pay to retain great players.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:32 am

You don't get better letting a 3x All Pro under the age of 30 leave. OT in general have a longer shelf life. They can play at a very high level well into the 30's (see Clifton and Tauscher for instance). Bahktiari is a top priority for sure and Rodgers will be the 1st person to tell you that a LT as good as Bahktiari is essential for his health and playing at a high level. Bahktiari is getting extended! You can count on that.

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dobber's picture

March 29, 2020 at 06:40 am

They would have to have someone in place that they feel really good about. I don't see that guy right now.

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splitpea1's picture

March 27, 2020 at 02:26 pm

Replacing the overall production of Jones shouldn't be taken lightly. Unless he has a noticeable drop-off or is shelved by injury, I wouldn't take a chance here.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:34 am

And that's why you would fail GM 101 class. Did you not see what Mostert did in the playoffs and he was on his 5th team in like 5 years!

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Lare's picture

March 27, 2020 at 03:03 pm

I would like to see TGR's take on next year's salary cap situation before looking at prioritizing players next offseason. There also is the minor matter of each players health situation at the time.

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TheVOR's picture

March 27, 2020 at 03:25 pm

Well, RT's are like QB's, you either have one or you don't. Bak gets signed. I think Lindsley is gone, King probably Gone, and Kenny Clark, I think they enjoy his 5th year, and he's a goner, too much money for DT position. Cook, maybe, maybe not, depending on how the draft falls. Certainly not premier money. My 2..

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Leatherhead's picture

March 27, 2020 at 03:40 pm

I would say this is premature. Rodgers could get broken and our decisions would be different.

We are tight against the cap and we certainly are going to lose good starters to FA next year. That’s why I think this season is Rodgers last best chance. If we play defense and protect the ball and move the chains.....then we’re going to have a good season.

But we’re going to lose some good players, no doubt. I’d probably draft an RB this year to replace Jones. If we can draft a DT this year who can play we might survive the loss of Clark. If King stays healthy we should try to keep him.

Even if we tag Bakhtiari, you have to pay him.

That’s why this year is our best chance.

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dobber's picture

March 27, 2020 at 04:19 pm

They need players from the 2018 and 2019 drafts to step up, and I think we learn a lot about team priorities regarding who they'll try to retain through the players (and positions) they pick early in this upcoming draft. The league is all about being able to replace good players. The cap ultimately wins. The Packers can try to mitigate the impact by extending some players (Bakhtiari before the season, maybe reworking Z or Adams later) to create room to keep others, but all you do in those cases is push your problems further down the line.

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 07:56 am

I find it odd that people vote down this. It’s simply the long accepted reality of NFL roster building. It might not be palatable, but it is true.

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dobber's picture

March 28, 2020 at 09:04 am

We've been saying pretty broadly that TTs draft failures are what have held this team back. Bad drafting is a killer for any team.

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SterlingSharpe's picture

March 27, 2020 at 04:35 pm

Bakh is priority #1, not Clark.
Clark is priority #2.
Jones should be able to be kept pretty inexpensive as RBs like him are undervalued.

Linsley, easily replaceable. Just like Scott Wells before him. JC Tretter was ok.
And Kevin King is going to get way overpaid. Hard pass.

Develop the young guys more like Josh Jackson, Chandon Sullivan, and Ka'Dar Hollman. And draft one between rounds 3 & 5.

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:14 am

Bakh is a left tackle par excellence, but he will also be 30 and might be the player in line for the biggest contract of all.

Clark is 26 and very highly rated and seen to be ascending. His type is hard to find. Typically he fits the profile of a player that must be signed.

Ignoring the others for a moment. Can we afford to lose either?
If not, that could be the end of the discussion if we can in fact get both signed.

If we can only keep one, classic nfl wisdom would lean to Clark. However, we pay a QB a vast amount of money and Bakh could protect that QB’s blind side for the rest of his contract and has thus far been healthy.

This is the type of dilemma that gets GMs paid and makes it breaks them. I would look at an extension for King in season: he is young and a little more field time could boost his next contract.

I would look at the same for Jones, but if I were Jones, my interest may not align. The question we have to ask ourselves with Jones is just how special is he and do we that need enough if we retool our overall offense successfully?

No disrespect to Linsley, but C is the first bough to break on this team in my view. Jenkins knows the system, as does Patrick, and both could take over with limited drop off. Guards are typically easier and cheaper to acquire (and Patrick may be adequate).

All of this assumes the individuals stay healthy. A significant injury or spell of poor play changes the equation.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

March 29, 2020 at 02:37 am

Interesting. What is this classic NFL wisdom of which you speak? Age is in Clark's favor, but LT is much more valuable than NT or DT. If Bakh remains the best LT in the NFL, by definition the franchise tag will be for less than what he is worth.

GB has publicly indicated that an extension for Clark is a priority while remaining mum on Bakh. Sounds like GB agrees with you, but I'd put Bakh as priority #1 (barring any inside knowledge like injury not divulged to the public).

I don't see Aaron Jones getting an extension unless he is willing to sign an extension without also immediately getting a check or much in the way of increased pay this year. It is possible to use option bonuses but extra money this year (i.e., cash paid in 2020 via signing bonus or a raise) is going to be hard to fit under the cap.

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Dzehren's picture

March 27, 2020 at 10:06 pm

delete

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Ryan3468's picture

March 27, 2020 at 06:40 pm

Draft and develop. Stay young, and don’t over pay. There are going to be some tough goodbyes in the near future. It’ll probably be running backs. It shouldn’t be young offensive and defensive linemen that are good. Some franchise players have taken deals to stick around and play with a talented team. Not sure we will see some restructuring. Just want to see some Green and Gold rising to the top.

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taarons420's picture

March 27, 2020 at 06:53 pm

Bakhtiari is the only must sign.
Jones is a running back - enough said.
Linsley is a center - enough said.
If King gets hurt again - he's gone... if King stays healthy and plays poorly - he's gone... if King stays healthy and plays well - he'll price himself off the squad. No way around it - he's gone.
Clark is a DT. No way do I want the Packers to pay a DT $15-$20m/yr.

Look for the Packers to target replacements for all of these guys in THIS draft.
In the following order:
CB - critical position
DT - important (not critical) position
IOL - They have Patrick... also - not a critical position
RB - running back - enough said

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:54 am

You have to definitely consider Linsley an important player for the Packers. The Center takes alot of responsibility off the QB's shoulders and the relationship between a HOF QB and his Center can be critical to the offense. There are many things that Linsley does at the LOS that makes Rodgers job easier.

"Good teams pay centers," the assistant coach said. "And they pay them more than they're probably worth and maybe past their [prime] years because they understand the relationship between the center and the quarterback. You can't put a price on that relationship between him and Aaron Rodgers. And even if it's a young QB, that's important, too."

How long did Peyton Manning have the same Center in Indy, Before said Center, ended up in GB for a year?!

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MarkinMadison's picture

March 27, 2020 at 07:03 pm

King's health this year will determine his market value next year. It will be one of those things where if the Packers bring him back it will be because he had an injury-shortened season. Many here will hate it and see it as a waste of money. Some will view it as an opportunity. Or, he'll play 16 games, ball out like he is clearly capable of doing, and he will price himself out of town. Pick your poison.

I think Linsley is a bit overrated.

I saw at one point that the Packers and Jones had mutual interest in an extension. I think the draft will tell you a lot about the Packers' plans for the position.

I don't care where you rate Bakh or Clark. They both have to get re-signed. It's almost a given.

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taarons420's picture

March 27, 2020 at 09:20 pm

Why does Clark HAVE to be re-signed?
Have you ever watched a Packer game and at the end said to yourself... "Man - no way they win that game without Clark"?

He's a great player... but DT is not a premier position. Nice to have but not necessary.

LT is NECESSARY
QB is NECESSARY
CB is NECESSARY
EDGE is NECESSARY

That's it.

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Dzehren's picture

March 27, 2020 at 10:25 pm

Taaroms- Agreed. However, DL players like Clark don’t get the stats or Credit. They are unselfish players that take
on double teams eat up blocks & allow other team
members to make plays & gain stats.
DL players like Clark should be placed @ a premium including drafting another trench DL in top 4 rounds.

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taarons420's picture

March 27, 2020 at 10:49 pm

I would try to avoid paying someone $20,000,000 a year to help other players make impact plays.

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:23 am

That’s the nature of DL and why the few that can do it are so highly rated. That’s also why coaches don’t look primarily at stats like sacks in isolation, but at disruption and role in achieving objectives. Clark will get paid because he makes our D line a much more formidable unit. Whether by us or another team, and rightly so based on performance.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 28, 2020 at 10:41 am

Belichick rarely pays his D line guys unless they are ALL PRO pass rushers. Even if they are talented he will move them out like Chandler. The Key players never change, as T stated. I still go Bhaktiari as the guy to re-sign, Clark can pull in a franchise tag after his fifth year in 2020. They may want to see what A.Jones market is, but he's another guy you have to play out the season to see if he holds up. If King can stay in one piece maybe he gets an offer at fair money.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 12:08 pm

Yeah, well Belicheat isn't coaching in GB, he's in NE. Many of his assistants have tried to replicate what Belicheat does, but NONE have been able. So its not quite so easy to say Belicheat doesn't do it so the Packers shouldn't. BTW Belicheat did let all All Pro Pass rusher leave, his name was Chandler Jones and he's been among the best pass rushers in the NFL since he got traded to AZ.

Belicheat is an anomoly, not unlike Lombardi. So just drop the belicheat crap and leave it out of the equation. No one is replicating what he does and its the reason many think the Lombardi Trophy should get renamed.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 28, 2020 at 01:11 pm

His pattern of success should should ring some bells, so I wouldn't negate his efficiency and the Packer Way has clearly gone the way of the dinosaurs. Mentioned Chandler(Jones) in the remark. He did not let Richard Seymour go and he held on to Bruschi. He keeps key leaders and performers. Lynch is starting to replicate the N.E. model in SanFrancisco , so it would be best to pay attention to see how he runs the show w/out Brady. It is not rocket science, as they say.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 02:44 pm

Actually he did let Seymour go. He went and played a couple more years in Oakland after leaving NE. But again, Belicheat is NOT in GB and no one other than Belicheat has succeeded in doing things w/ his methods. Many have tried and ALL have failed. Just stop w/ Belicheat already. NO ONE is duplicating what he does!

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MarkinMadison's picture

March 28, 2020 at 12:28 am

Clark is a special player. You get a lot worse by letting him go. Disruption in the middle helps production on the outside. The Packers were near the top in the league in sacks. Martinez was at the top of the league for tackles. You think that happens without Clark.

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taarons420's picture

March 28, 2020 at 05:51 am

...and the defense was still average at best.

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:26 am

No one said Clark was a one man D. Possibly there were other weaknesses and holes. We were good on the edge and had Clark, maybe the focus should be on the rest of the front?

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Leatherhead's picture

March 28, 2020 at 09:24 am

No. This was a better than average defense by most measures.

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hhsbaseball's picture

March 27, 2020 at 10:20 pm

Good call by many of you concerning King. Wow I hope he doesn’t play very well this season and/or gets hurt as usual otherwise will be too expensive for us to even think about compensating and then it will have to be some other team’s problem to get stuck with a 6 3 good cover corner.

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Coldworld's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:32 am

Ha ha. You mean they don’t grow on trees? I agree to a point but I think this will be shaped by Bakh and Clark. I also think King might have the most to gain from an extension in terms of future earning capacity.

If we want to continue the tone, we could resign Spriggs cheaply and be covered at tackle for the time being. Puts on hard hat and camouflage and leaves

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fthisJack's picture

March 28, 2020 at 08:34 am

I think Clark is a must sign. if he had another playmaker beside him, he would be a beast. the packers are already weak on the DL so how can you talk about not resigning a guy that never gets hurt and makes plays. Bahk didn't have a good year last year by his standards so it depends on how much money he wants. I think Jones is another guy you have to sign. he brings so much to the offense, how do you let him go? King and Lindsley are expendable or tradeable.

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jannes bjornson's picture

March 28, 2020 at 10:48 am

They can draft a DT high this year and use a #1 on DE/DT in 2021. The management still has leverage.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:26 am

In order of importance it Bahktiari and Clark as 1 and 1a. Both are incredibly important players for the Packers. After them its a choice between Linsley and King. The Center position is important because of the connection w/ Rodgers and making the OL calls and protections. The CB is one of the 4 premium positions and keeping a good CB has to remain a priority, so King is right on the same level as Linsley. You can make a case for either as the 3rd highest importance. Jones come in last in importance largely due to being a RB and as we've seen w/ Gurley and Bell, it usually doesn't work out when paying a top RB big money. If Jones is willing to accept 5M per season then its worth it. If he wants a number closer to 10M per, the Jones is playing his last season in GB.

Tough decisions on the top 4 IMO and it's likely they can't keep Bahktiari, Clark, King and Linsley. Most likely one of King or Linsley will not be back. Jones will have to accept much less to stay.

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stockholder's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:50 am

I'm not signing Bahk. Jones and king same amount of money. 8 mil. a yr. 2 year. This team wins with King. Franchise pay for Clark. Linsley Back is the question mark. Best to let him test the waters.

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Stroh's picture

March 28, 2020 at 12:19 pm

Not a chance the Packers pay Aaron Jones, A RB more than 6M per. No jones and King are not the same money. One plays a premium position, the other plays the easiest position to replace in the NFL. Not even close to similar. King would get over 10M per in FA and Jones wouldn't. Jones wants to stay so bad, he has to accept about 1/2 of what King will get!

If you don't pay Bahktiari then you might as well kiss the remainder of Rodgers career goodbye. LT AGAIN, is a premium position and one that has and does play very well into the 30's. Bahktiari and Clark are must signs. One of Linsley and King should get resigned. Jones ONLY if he accepts a 4 yr 20 M contract (5M AAV), otherwise he's Gone!

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stockholder's picture

March 28, 2020 at 12:31 pm

Your right about the CB pay. King walks at 10 mil. Jones might, but the packers will over-pay Jones I believe.( I wouldn't give him 3yrs. ) Bahk on a 3rd time? @ 15mil a yr. doesn't work with Rodgers regressing. The roster will be full of cheap walk ons.

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dobber's picture

March 29, 2020 at 06:34 am

Bakhtiari's cap hit is already $15M.

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dobber's picture

March 29, 2020 at 06:38 am

I think they extend Bakhtiari before the end of camp (maybe even before camp opens) to drop his short term cap hit. If their intent is to keep him, I don't see any way it pays to wait.

I have a hunch the Packers weight OL heavily in this draft, so it could be all bets are off if they find a guy they feel really good about...but that's a tremendous risk on a team with a narrow window.

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Qoojo's picture

March 28, 2020 at 11:46 am

Without a doubt, it's Bak and Clark at 1 and 2. I think the rest of the order depends on King's play. Another injury ridden season, then probably not. If he has a good season, then I prioritize him more. Hate to see good CBs leave.

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