My One and Only Packers Mock Draft 2021

Jersey Al bows to the pressure and does a Packers Mock Draft. 

Like the swallows returning to Capistrano, every year on draft day I put down (figuratively) the CheeseheadTV Draft Guide for a few minutes and give you my feeble attempt at a Packers Mock Draft. It's a combination of science, logic, reasoning and lots of black magic. Mgeneral approach is this - try to determine what positions will provide good value in which rounds, sprinkle in a bit of need and then choose the player that best fits the Packers scheme and team personality.
 
The "my one and only" term is technically not true, as I do a seven round Packers mock draft for the Draft Guide. But this is the only one out there for public consumption. Doing a mock draft in March is very different than one just before the draft, as back then, you haven't been influenced by the preponderance of draft content out there. I don't know if it's just coincidence, but my record with the Draft Guide mock drafts has been much better than my draft-eve mocks. For the record, my first round choice for the Packers in the draft guide was CB Greg Newsome II. To know the rest, you'll have to have the guide.
 
Note that this year I decided to list players' RAS scores, as Gutey's preference for high athletic thresholds is quite clear. This year, however, with some players doing all of the tests/drills and without a centralized combine, I believe much more leeway has to be given to RAS scores and consideration to just "good" and not "great" scores. You just want to avoid anyone that falls into the "poor" or "bad" categories.
 
Anyway, on to this year's futile attempt:
 
ROUND 1 #29. Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU, 6'1" 202lbs. (7.37 RAS) With the importance of the safety position in the new defensive scheme coming to Green Bay, having three good safeties, with one possibly taking over the "STAR" position for significant game snaps, becomes an under-the-radar but important need. Moehrig has that sought-after trait of versatility, having played various roles for TCU. Physicality, ball skills and football IQ are all high on his traits list, plus he's a locker room leader with no off the field concerns.
 
ROUND 2 #62. Brady Christensen, OT, BYU, 6'5" 302lbs.  (9.84 RAS) I don't think I can remember a first-team All-American getting so little love from the draft community. A three-year starter at left tackle, Christensen has a frame to pack on more muscle, quick feet and sufficient athleticism to thrive at RT in the Packers' offense.
 
ROUND 3 #92. Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia, 6'1" 193lbs.  (7.53 RAS) A good value in round three, Campbell has plenty of raw physical traits and athletic ability with footwork that needs some fine tuning. He'll have at least a year to work on that as Kevin King's backup.
 
ROUND 4 #135. Anthony Schwartz, WR, Auburn, 6'0" 186lbs. (6.91 RAS)  Fly Anthony Fly! I look at Schwartz as a smaller version of MVS with better hands and possibly even more speed. Similar to MVS coming in, he will have to learn how to run proper routes and be where Rodgers expects him to be.
 
ROUND 4 #142. Charles Snowden, LB, Virginia, 6'6" 243lbs. (RAS N/A - injury rehab)  Unusually tall for an ILB with an 82in. wingspan, Snowden excelled in pass coverage. He was also used as an Edge pass rusher, where I think a lot of his potential lies. In all, he does his best work out in space where he can attack or pursue away from the scrums. With some development, he could be an interesting Swiss Army Knife piece for the Packers' defense.
 
ROUND 5 #173. Khyiris Tonga, IDL, BYU, 6'2" 325lbs  (7.24 RAS) - Tonga is a space-eating, early down run stuffer that would allow the Packers to line up Kenny Clark in positions where he could draw single blocking assignments from a guard. That's a win for the Packers.
 
ROUND 5 #178. Kawaan Baker, WR, South Alabama, 6'1" 210lbs (9.08 RAS) The Packers double up at the position with one of my favorite late round developmental wide receivers. Baker has all the physical tools if he can handle the big step up to the NFL
 
ROUND 6 #214. Zech McPhearson, CB, Texas Tech, 5'11" 191lbs.  (9.56 RAS) From a family of athletes, McPhearson plays with physicality and enthusiasm, but needs to develop better techniques in coverage. He will be a key special teams contributor.
 
ROUND 6 #220. Tommy Doyle, Miami (OH), OT, 6'6" 320lbs. (9.90 RAS) A former hockey player and defensive end, Doyle plays with attitude and looks to bury people. He does not look quite as athletic on tape as a 9.9 RAS score would indicate, but with experience at both tackle spots, should make a good swing tackle for the Packers.
 
ROUND 7 #256. Darius Stills, IDL, West Virginia, 6' 1/2" 278lbs.  (8.16 RAS) While lacking in size (he weighs the same as Rashan Gary and is 4 inches shorter), Stills shows ability to get in the backfield as a gap shooter, something of use in the new defensive scheme.
 
 
 

__________________________

"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  Follow Al on twitter at @JerseyalGBP

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12 points

Comments (70)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Bear's picture

April 28, 2021 at 05:45 pm

Like Schwartz in the 4th.

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Coldworld's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:12 pm

Schwartz would be interesting, but he is incredibly raw as a WR( much more so than MVS was even). Lightning fast, but stiff and needs the ball given to him. I struggle to see him as a 4th by some way.

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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 28, 2021 at 07:10 pm

Schwartz is presently a wind-up toy - just wind him up and watch him go - mostly in straight lines. He definitely need a year's development. In the meantime, if you just put him on the field, defenders can't ignore him. He'll run by a DB in the blink of an eye - which can ultimately open the field for other Packer receivers. Definitely worth a 4th round gamble.

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Coldworld's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:34 am

I say 3 to 4 years to become a true receiver. As an option player he may be interesting. In the slot, if you can give him the ball or a simple short pass in space, but he has poor agility and leap. It’s a one trick. Will it work? Yes in the 6th for a punt pick perhaps. Since he doesn’t return he will take up a spot on the active list from our 4th actual receiver and perhaps our returner can fill the same role anyway—we still would need to find one. If injuries occur, who is he replacing? Perhaps if he is a ST demon we could activate instead of another player.

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greengold's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:13 am

Totally agree. Love the speed number, but watching him, you can see he's not going to hold up physically, and he's entirely one dimensional. I don't see any toughness there, which kind of eliminates him from my own personal favorites at WR.

He just doesn't have the look of someone who is going to be a contributor for a full 16 game schedule plus playoffs. Many of those dedicated track guys don't.

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greengold's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:14 am

There are a good many options for jet sweep/slot WRs. The Packers will definitely add one.

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PackfanNY's picture

April 28, 2021 at 05:51 pm

Nice work Al. I can’t say I agree with a safety as a First Round pick. The only thing I’ve learned (or think I learned) watching the Packers Draft since Wolf was they don’t value middle linebackers or ....safeties. I get HaHa (heck it’s the only pick even I got right in the last 10 years at least) but they always seem to think they can find a guy. I hope you are right about the Tonga guy. Like Nags keeps saying Kenny Clark needs help.

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pack1487's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:44 pm

You don't have to go back to HaHa as they drafted Darnell Savage in the first just a few years ago. They also brought in Amos so I'd say safety is a position they value quite heavily

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PackfanNY's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:56 am

Your right. I forgot about Savage. We’ll see tonight, I guess.

I trust Gute. I’ll leave the picking to him.

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dblbogey's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:32 pm

I don't like the safety either. I think there will be a better player available at 29, or maybe a trade up for a guy they REALLY like. Tonga sounds interesting and I like the Christensen pick.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 28, 2021 at 11:21 pm

Tonga would be a great pick in the fifth.

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Leatherhead's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:04 pm

I think it will be interesting to see when these guys are actually drafted.

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Dragon5's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:12 pm

Jersey Al, what's your take on Andre CIsco? He is the safety I've been targeting in mocks.

Trade back, acquire 3 in the top 100...
slotWR Elijah Moore, D'Wayne Eskridge
OL Dillon Radunz, Quinn Meinerz, Liam Eichenberg
S Andre Cisco
CB Asante Samuel Jr
LB Nick Bolton

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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:24 pm

Lovely mock. On board with Moehrig - who will reinforce the D beginning Year 1. Very much like the Schwartz pick - he can only go in straight lines for now - so a year's development will be necessary for "college football's fastest player." Also picked my biggest draft crush "Tonga" - an absolute cannon ball who must learn the refinements of being an NFL d-lineman. I don't know how Tommy Doyle will fare, but being a former hockey player, he'll be the first man-in any scrums.

Otherwise, I'm not so high on Christensen (age and arms). I'd rather pick Josh Ball in a later round. So instead of Christensen in the 2nd round - I would pick D'Wayne Eskbridge. Also substitute Tyson Campbell (boom or bust candidate) for Paulson Adebo or Robert Rochell.

Still a most acceptable draft!

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Turophile's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:15 pm

Nice choices. I especially like Snowdon (and Stills if he is still there in round 7).

In response to your mock, I just put together my own one that is a collection of players, all of whom I like for some reason (I like a LOT of players this year).

1) LB Zaven Collins Forget the 5th best or 6th best at a position with pick 29, go get a stud, even if it is at LB. RAS 8.72
2) DL Tommy Togiai I'm all-in on improving the D line early. In fact it was hard not to go Onwuzurike at 29. RAS 8.58
3) OT Stone Forsyth At 6'8" he is a bus ride to get round, seldom seems to get beaten. RAS 8.81
4) CB Robert Rochell Has some time to learn with King retained. RAS 9.65
4) Edge Patrick Jones II Great length and decent production (unlike similar ranked prospect with 9.33 RAS Janarius Robinson) RAS 6.29
5) S James Wiggins athletic ballhawk who is an Impactful and feisty safety RAS 9.70
5) WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette Good size, athletic, fast, should fit in Green Bay. RAS 6.81
6) CB Tay Gowan Falls this far due to so little tape. If you trust the little you see, he's a steal here RAS 7.65
6) WR Tamorrion Terry Gangly WR clocked at 24+mph on the field. No-one (not even Schwartz or Fehoko) tops that. RAS 7.30
7) RB Jaret Patterson Shifty, elusive RB, good in tight spaces, good outlet receiver - real value this late RAS 4.46

I'm almost certain the Packers end up with less than 10 picks, but since trades are so hard to predict, I just took the picks where they were. Did I miss on anything ? Well, I'd have liked a guard somewhere.

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Titletown222's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:05 pm

I like this a lot. Confident in saying rochell and smith-Marinette will not be there when we pick in those rounds

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Turophile's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:19 pm

It's very possible you are right. The estimated landing spots for many players are all over the place this year, so plenty of players will surprise (both in a good way and a bad way).

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 28, 2021 at 11:23 pm

Are you moving Up for Collins, he won't be around @ # 29.

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Turophile's picture

April 29, 2021 at 12:38 am

See my reply above to Titletown222 - ratings of where players go are all over the place.

Collins might be there at 29 as his position group isn't one of the highest rated ones, positions like QB, OT, Edge, CB, WR tend to go earliest.

Yes, Zaven could be taken as early as the low 20's, maybe even late teens, but he could also be around at #29. In just 24 hours we will know.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:00 am

I think he goes btw #15-18.

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Coldworld's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:49 am

I’ve seen him slipping into the second in a minority of pundit drafts. It’s not impossible and therefore reasonable here.

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greengold's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:56 am

Yeah, ILB has generally been an R2 position, historically. We'll see soon enough, and I'd have zero problem with him being our 29.

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Coldworld's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:48 am

Tamorrion Terry ran a 4.44 pro day 40. Schwartz ran a 4.28 and is a former US u20 Olympic team sprinter. Not close in terms of speed. Terry lacks the burst of a sprinter as well. All long speed. Has had significant injuries to his knees.

Essentially a less experienced and slower version of MVS (4.37 combine) when he was drafted, with an injury history and some issues with coaches. Have to disagree with you on him.

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Turophile's picture

April 29, 2021 at 11:01 am

I'd agree with you he IS a risk.................but it didn't cost much draft capital to get him.

Schwartz is a bit too much of a track guy for my taste, but darn, he IS fast and I had some inner wrangling choosing between him and Terry (E.J.Snyder of Bootleg Football absolutely loves Terry).

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splitpea1's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:20 pm

Okay with the first pick, though I'm not sure he'll be there. But the two BYU guys? No. Christensen will be almost 25 by the start of the season; Tonga, well, maybe okay if he's the second DL selected by the Packers, but otherwise I think we need to do better as far as athleticism and versatility. I will be very disappointed if Gute doesn't make a more serious effort at shoring up the middle of the defense than this. Z. Collins looks so good; if he's there, please take him!

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CheesyTex's picture

April 28, 2021 at 07:35 pm

I don't get it about Christensen and age. Linsley at 29 just got a huge contract after his rookie deal. Christensen would be 29 (or "almost 30") after his rookie contract. Seems to me he would be a great fit for LaF's offense, and with no obvious health concerns should have a 10 year career. Another plus is his body can handle additional bulk.

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flackcatcher's picture

April 28, 2021 at 08:31 pm

It comes down to being able to start right of the box. OT is viewed by some as equal to QB in value, and is treated as such. Having to sit a player for any length of time, that a team targeted for that position is a net negative in their eyes. The age factor is mostly about contract. Signing second contracts is usually in a player mid 20s. Ability to recover from injuries quickly is still there, along with the wiliness to 'play hurt'. A player hitting his 30s knows father time is knocking at his door, and will act accordingly. And like DL, OL careers can be longer than most of the players he was drafted with.

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splitpea1's picture

April 28, 2021 at 08:55 pm

On the other hand, Christensen has demonstrated the durability and maturity to succeed, and supposedly is very coachable. You're not alone in thinking he would be a worthwhile selection. Of course you read all kinds of opinions: he is athletic, he's not athletic, concerns about the level of competition he faced, projects more as a guard, etc. At any rate, he would need time to add to his frame and develop, and at age 24/25, that knocks him back on the draft boards. You could be right and he could be a great fit, but I wouldn't project the length of any prospect's career.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:10 am

He is a low second or high three pick. He covered the left flank for Wilson and can transition to RT right off the bat. If you want Campbell or the other rated CBs you have to snag them by the second round.

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PeteK's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:30 am

Tonga is a good pick in the 5th round, Lancaster block catcher type. I want Tufele in the 3rd round because he is a very active block shedder.

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CoachDino's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:18 pm

I hear ya on trevon if he drops to 29. Between the scheme, evolution of the game, team needs and the player himself this pick makes a ton of sense. The flexibility it allows the entire DB group alone is game changer. He can play nickel, Deep solo through quarters, box. He can replace greene or sullivan and/or allow savage and amos to be used at what they do best. Ability to better disguise the defense is something they could never do before, I bet he allows that to happen. Day 1 starter Impact. I'd be happy with it

I like BC as well just a bit worried about that level of competition and the "needs development (get stronger) evaluation so possibly little year 1 help. Still a good pick for rd 2

Will campbell be there in rd 3 - PFF rates him that way but few others have him that late. He would become the immediate heir apparent to King and has all the tools to be a plus player.

Love the Snowden pick - can not have enough edge rushers and if he puts on weight he could really be a game changer. good luck throwing when he's in the area. Wonder if he could be an Pass rush edge guy year 1 (sub in for Preston, kick gary to 5 tech with kenny Keke and Z on the other side....

Not as high on Swartz but he is a track star, will be one of the fastest guys on the field. I'd look Fehkoko and Eskridge to have a Big guy and a gadget slot guy (will they be there in the 4th is the question?

I was always picking up Zech as he is a specimen that could be a ST stud out of the chute and a development slot or even outside CB. Great pick

Not that high on the NT but if he can suck up double teams and hold the line of scrimmage thats huge - I see he has chase down skills as well.

Ive been asking if KC could be moved to 5 Tech if the find a stud NT or should they focus on 3-4 ends (I like Bashan, Peyten, Dayo, Sample) that can hold up against the run but can be pass rushers. Huge edge guys.

Just one guy that I don't see being available, thats a win in itself. So often people are mock drafting guys that would be gone a round earlier so either they just don't know or want it to seem like a great draft.

Good stuff as always Al

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Coldworld's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:25 pm

This is not perfect, but it’s one of the more credible mocks as a result. I can’t really argue with the first pick, i don’t see an obvious on roster candidate for the Star role, if that is indeed where the team is going.

This is a little more of a draft for 3 years than now after the first picks. I would hope for some more ready sub package types later this year. Perhaps I underestimate.

Is Schwartz your option candidate? I just see him as an ultra long shot as a receiver ... a round before MVS was taken. Who is returning?

Interesting and distinctive (refreshing after so many with the same names recycling). If this did transpire, I’d be relatively happy. Can Gute beat that reaction?

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:19 am

Talk of Savage being the Star, getting him in a prominent playmaker role, then Moehrig or Newsome make sense and move King to FS.

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Lphill's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:34 pm

Vernon Scott will play a big role this season under Barry as will Ty Summers who in the second half of the championship game played coverage very well when he came in .

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NickPerry's picture

April 29, 2021 at 05:34 am

Interesting take on Summers. I didn't notice that...I like Scott but my support for Summers really dropped after week 3 against the Saints last year. Summers was terrible in that game.

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Coldworld's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:56 am

Summers did seem to be improving somewhat as the season went on. He still made some big mistakes though. It’s not impossible that he clicks, he was a very raw athlete when picked in the 7th. It’s an outside chance.

I’d hope Scott and Black make a jump, but they really haven’t shown anything in coverage yet. Early and low starting points.

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Tingham's picture

April 28, 2021 at 06:54 pm

Well since I live in San Juan Capistrano I feel compelled to comment.

Nice job, Al. Wouldn't mind seeing a lot of these guys on the Pack.

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dobber's picture

April 28, 2021 at 07:22 pm

A safety early? I wonder who else said that earlier today...hmmm! ;)

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ImaPayne's picture

April 28, 2021 at 07:39 pm

obviously the teams has many needs. If I was GM I would prioritize those needs and take the bpa at need one. If you need an edge guy you don't take a great receiver just because he is available.
A team that is fat with talent can take now, not q team who needs a lot.

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Archie's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:21 am

need should not dictate a r1 pick. If you want to fill needs, trade down as appropriate to target your needs.

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greengold's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:33 am

Not so sure about that, Archie. Imagine if Ted had taken Eric Kendricks in R1 instead, back in the day, and what might have been...

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blacke00's picture

April 28, 2021 at 08:36 pm

I think CHTV should hold contests! I said this before and I think it would be fun. Especially humbling some people on this site who really think they know something. I like a contest which has the contestants pick their candidates and the round their picked are picked (if they are picked) Points awarded for guessing correctly the player and the round, but still get points for getting the right player but just on the wrong round! The number of points awarded would decrease by round. Come on Cory give it a try.

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JerseyAl's picture

April 29, 2021 at 12:00 pm

remind me of this next year - I like the idea!

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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

April 29, 2021 at 02:52 pm

I would simply like having a record of who wanted who because there is going to be a lot of whining regardless of who is selected. Keeping track would be nice for down the road for obvious reasons.

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stockholder's picture

April 28, 2021 at 09:01 pm

I can see your first pick. But Christian is going to be 25 in Sept. And he won't start until he's at least 26. Way Too early. Campbell is falling. He doesn't stay on his feet in a foot race. And where is your QB. Gute wants to draft another.

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albert999's picture

April 28, 2021 at 09:27 pm

HEY AL
've got a wild scenario for ya: Couple months ago, Kyle Shanahan called up Gutey and asked what it would take to trade for Love. Gutey told him #3 Overall. Shanahan said, "Sure Gutey, you got it, but we'll want Love, #29, and next year's #1... Gutey said, "Sure Kyle... You got it!"

So tomorrow night, you'll hear: 49ers on the Clock. There has been a trade: The Green Bay Packers are now on the clock: And the Green Bay Packers Select: Kyle Pitts, TE Florida

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:37 am

If Love stayed in school last year the case is moot. He would be in the top 5.

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albert999's picture

April 28, 2021 at 09:36 pm

Nice Jon with the mock Al
Sorry something messed up and printed my previous comment 3 times
Go Pack

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PhantomII's picture

April 28, 2021 at 09:59 pm

I like Moehrig a lot. It looks like he can cover up a lot of ugly in that secondary. I think we'll have to move up to 21 to get him. I like the CB Stokes from Georgia also. Looking at this years top draft prospects it seems like there are a lot of good players available, more than normal. Hope Gute is dialed in. Be nice to trade Love in the first to a needy team for a nice defensive player. I think Rodgers is good for 4 more years.

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stockholder's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:08 pm

I still think Newsome. But- This draft is about Life after Rodgers. @29 Rashod Bateman WR @62 Liam Eichenberg OT @92 Ambry Thomas Cb 135 Dailen Hayes Edge 142,Kevin Mond QB 173 Drew Salmon C 178, Jaylon Twyman Dt, 214, Trill Williams CB 220, Demetric Felton RB 256. K.J. Britt I

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 28, 2021 at 11:29 pm

Some have Mond going in the first and he is better than some pegged before him.

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albert999's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:07 pm

Elijah Moore round 2 if he slides down

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Gman1976's picture

April 28, 2021 at 10:49 pm

Great picks Al! So glad that you didn’t pick a WR @ #1 like so many mocks. Every time I saw a WR @ #1, I thought, “This is not a legit mock draft” since it is not a major need for the Pack and quit reading those mocks. Got to believe #1 will either be a DB (unless Barmore is available) or an OL which are major needs. We need to build our lines and take care of the defensive backfield that got picked on by the Bucs if we want to go to the Big Game.
Can’t wait for the draft. It’s like Christmas in April! Go Gute! Go Pack!

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PhantomII's picture

April 28, 2021 at 11:13 pm

Our WR corp is pretty mediocre. It's too bad. Got to get the Defense up to snuff w/ another S and CB hopefully a couple DL players that will challenge for play time. Defense is the needed most and a OT.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:41 am

Like the DT and DE in the fourth.

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croatpackfan's picture

April 29, 2021 at 01:56 am

I wonder, did everyone forget that Packers drafted G. C and OT last draft. Jon Runyan played 160 snaps last season as LG and showed he belongs. Jake Hanson, C, was resigned to Packers roster, so there is obviously a chance he will compete for the starting job this off season. Simon Stepaniak, OT was drafted injured and many experts said that he felt to 6th round just because of the injury, otherwise he will be at least 2nd round pick. He recovered from his injury and was practicing with the team from December, 9th last year.

Why do you think we are in so need for OL (especially LT). Packers have enough O-Liners in the house. I can understand drafting the OL only is that player is clear HOF material, otherwise, that would be wasting high draft pick.

On the other hand, I tend to believe Al that he can value OL well. So, maybe he is right.

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PeteK's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:14 am

Until Bak comes back , we have a RT need. However, I also have some confidence in Runyon RT and Stepaniak G, but need some insurance because I don't want to weaken the heart of the team.

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NickPerry's picture

April 29, 2021 at 05:30 am

Love the first 2 picks. I would be doing backflips if the took Moehrig in the 1st and a All-Ameican in the 2nd. They get two plug and play guys and have DEFINITLY improved their team for the 2021 season.

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PeteK's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:19 am

Me too. Versatile safeties have always interested me because they can be positioned in different positions on the D. He could fill the Greene position or switch with Amos and have him move up.

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ABZdroik's picture

April 29, 2021 at 06:22 am

I really like this draft. Hits all pieces and adds the depth we need. FA for the rest.

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HarryHodag's picture

April 29, 2021 at 06:47 am

Prediction: Packers will trade OUT of the first round, get more picks. This a draft that will look toward 2022 when many fresh bodies will be needed. This flies in the face of current thinking, but the Packers are going to need an abundance of cheaper players next year when the poop hits the rotor blades regarding the salary cap.

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porupack's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:26 am

I agree that GB needs a strong crop of players (quantity) to sift through this year to replace the high number of costly players in 2022. But GB also needs to do what it takes to identify 2-3 highly probable impact players for this year to make the SB run. So...., I would err on the side of betting on 2 of those coming in Rds 1 and 2, and generally, the higher the pick, the better the probability that you get a more impactful and immediate contribution. So the thinking goes...

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dobber's picture

April 29, 2021 at 08:13 am

I think you're right; the Packers will need to start shedding contracts next off-season, and they'll be positioning themselves to do so.

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murf7777's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:19 am

How dare you wait till the 4th round to take a WR~. Overall, I like your draft.

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Coldworld's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:00 am

Who dares wins.

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porupack's picture

April 29, 2021 at 07:20 am

Thanks Al, appreciate the perspectives for those of us who don't follow college football.

I got 2 questions, i'd love to air out pertaining to draft strategy, especially regarding day 3.

1) Just reading the Teddy Bridgewater trade for a 6th round. Now a proven starter, with limited upside, at a premium position is a safe middling bet. Bridgewater isn't Aaron Rodgers, but he's not Sam Bradford. For a 6th rounder!! I am often amazed at the current talent (with full evidence) that can be had for prospective talent (relying on very imprecise indicators such as RAS, wonderlic, etc). Why on earth would GB not trade a few late round picks for proven veterans, that can contribute this year? If GB wants to get better this year, then this is the easiest way, and no better time to deal than on draft eve. Patriots have been fairly successful at getting talent that fell out of favor at previous teams at firesale price. It would have to be Vets taking a 'one year prove it' deal, but there are plenty out there this year due to falling Cap pricetags.

2) I can only think of NYG and SanDiego as the only team that drafted a player, then dealt during the draft. I'm fascinated by the idea by a high stakes, but potential benefit by drafting a player that you like, but immediately approaching a team you know wants that same player, and seeking a deal then. Its not high risk, as long as you do so with a player you like. Unorthodox, clearly. But there is some bargaining power potential considering the clock is ticking for another team to consider.

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greengold's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:04 am

Nice mock, Al! We share some ideas on the importance of some players, for sure. Been reluctant to toss out a few of my own mocks to not feed the hype train to this point. I have different combinations for different scenarios as they develop, and we all know some crazy shit happens. Another factor to consider is we really do not know the status of our OL as the organization sees it. That can greatly affect who gets added this weekend.

I’ll share something fun. Not thinking the Packers will do this, though they could, nor is this my favorite mock. Just an exercise I did for the Packers with Athlon/CHTV Top 100 scores attached:

29 - WR Elijah Moore 74/27
62 - CB Eric Stokes 41/59
92 - DT Daviyon Nixon 29/46
135 - ILB Chazz Surratt 52/40
142 - DT Jaylen Twyman 32/71
173 - ILB Dylan Moses 30/86
178 - S Jamien Sherwood 85/XX
214 - XXX
220 - XXX
256 - XXX

I kinda want to save that bottom section, as there are more gems there. Pretty much just showing how both Top 100s can fit this weekend. I'd be pretty damn happy with those top 7 for the Packers. Personally, I do think there will be adjustments required to actually get some of these guys. There will always be surprises.

Not trying to "guess right." Just looking at the possibilities for how the Packers can put a much better team on the field this year.

Judging from all of the 7 round mocks, three round mocks, you name it - they all collectively gave me a base to work from, these players all seem attainable at their given slots. There are any number of different combinations that would be considered reasonable without knowing the actual board setups. This is pretty much why I don’t want us to make a single trade if possible.

There are SO MANY LEGIT jumping off points for the Packers with the 29 pick. S, ILB, WR, DT, CB, OT... the last is questionable, but, all carry about the same importance to overall team improvement. This ought to be fun to see what happens. Not sure I want to drop too far into R2 with a trade down. Thinking PHI may prove to be our best/easiest partner there. Bet their GM is salivating at adding another R1.

I've got ONE or TWO players in mind to start the whole Packer run.

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jimtalkbox's picture

April 29, 2021 at 09:35 am

I like the 1-2 of DB and OT to start. I have a strong inkling that Moehrig will be in play for us this evening.

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Handsback's picture

April 29, 2021 at 11:05 am

Moehrig seems a very logical choice. Probably either him or Jamin Davis. The Packers are soft in the middle and need help for Clark. Since DL players aren't as highly rated...Davis or Moehrig seem to be the choices. As stated above...Moehrig will allow Savage or himself to be that playmaker closer to the LOS. You need three good safeties, the Packers have two.
I would go Stokes in the second with a trade up, and Eskridge in the third. Can't argue with the rest.
Big Al you did good!

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mrtundra's picture

April 29, 2021 at 04:46 pm

Today, Draft Day, Aaron Rodgers reportedly came out and said he doesn't want to play in GB, anymore, per Adam Schefter. If Rodgers does leave, Love is our only QB, on the roster. Does GB draft another QB, tonight, or are there viable QBs in FA? Is this some kind of bad dream? It surely feels like one.

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