My One and Only 2022 Packers 53-man Roster Prediction

Jersey Al takes his annual shot at predicting the Packers roster just before cutdown day.

You've read too many 53-man roster predictions, you say? No kidding! Weekly predictions seem to be the norm nowadays. Going back over a decade, I've tried to be kind to you and only do one of these. 

So here it is, my annual stab at predicting the Packers' 53-man roster. Note that unless otherwise indicated, this is what I think the Packers will do, not necessarily what I would do.

The Turk is a cruel taskmaster, and soon, 27 NFL dreams will hit a bump in the road or be ended completely.

It's never a fun day, but it is a fun exercise to try to predict the outcomes. 

Here goes:.

 

OFFENSE: 25

QB: Rodgers, Love

RB: Jones, Dillon, Taylor

TE: Tonyan, Lewis, Deguara, Davis

WR:  Lazard, Watkins, Cobb, Rodgers, Watson, Doubs, Winfree

OL: DBAK, Jenkins, Myers, Runyan, Nijman, Newman, Hanson, Tom, Rhyan,

There were two big decisions here, keeping 2 vs. 3 running backs and the last wide receiver spot between Winfree and Toure. I feel like keeping only two running backs, when you plan to utilize those two fairly equally, is risky business. Yes, you could throw Amari Rodgers in there in an emergency, but Taylor does that all-important pass-blocking thing the Packers like in their running backs. Ty Goodson is likely the better runner, but there are a lot of  undrafted Ty Goodson's out there. He makes the PS. As for the wide receivers, I've been on the Juwann Winfree bandwagon since last season when it felt like he had Rodgers' trust over Malik Taylor. Even though Taylor had more snaps, Winfree had more targets from Rodgers. Winfree can block and runs precise routes and deserves to be on the team. Toure's fine ame against KC had me wavering, but I don't see a seventh round rookie WR being a target for some other team, so he makes it to PS. On a lesser scale, there was mild temptation to keep Caleb Jones or Rasheed Walker, but neither are NFL-ready and both likely make it to the PS - at worst, at least one does.

 

DEFENSE: 25

DL: Clark, Lowry, Reed, Slaton, Wyatt, 

ILB: Walker, Campbell, Barnes, McDuffie

OLB:  P Smith, Gary, Garvin, Enagbare, Jones

CB: Alexander, Stokes, Douglas, Shemar Jean-Charles, Nixon, Thomas

S: Amos, Savage, Davis, Abernathy, Carpenter

It's tough to leave Heflin off this team, but do the Packers really need another run-stuffer after having added Jarran Reed? Carpenter makes it on his safety/linebacker versatility and special teams play. If Leavitt is healthy, he likely takes a spot away from Carpenter or Abernathy. Kobe Jones or Hamilton as OLB5 was a toss-up, but I felt like Jones shows more upside and special teams potential.

 

SPECIALISTS: 3

Crosby, O'Donnell. Coco

Ho Hum, no surprises here as long as Mason Crosby is, in. fact, ready to go. Coco will be on a very short leash. The Packers will have the numbers of other long snappers on speed dial in case Coco falters.

 

PRACTICE SQUAD:

Goodson, Williams, Heflin, Slayton, Galeai, Gaines, Etling, Hamilton, Toure, Walker, C. Jones, Gafford, Cannella, Fulghem, Ahmed, sign a street free agent guard.

 

__________________________

"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  Follow Al on twitter at @JerseyalGBP

NFL Categories: 
8 points

Comments (43)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
packer132's picture

August 28, 2022 at 03:34 pm

Thanks Al, as almost the same as I had the mock final 53. I saw that Savage and Leavitt both were practicing today which is very good news. Now hoping to see Jenkins & Bakh doing 11 on 11. Vikings played very vanilla style against the Broncos in their last pre-season game so not to show GB anything. The special teams of the Vikings were the highlight. It's a new season and hope springs eternal.

5 points
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canadapacker's picture

August 28, 2022 at 03:34 pm

IMO - Goodson over Taylor - Kick off returner as well and the guy who comes in infrequently because he can break something and maybe gimicky play. Not impressed with Leavitt or Carpenter - not playing fast enough - would rather keep Heflin - ( think he might get scooped) and if needed can maybe get another safety from another team.

8 points
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NJ-RICK's picture

August 28, 2022 at 04:58 pm

I agree Leavitt is to slow, then again he has played for ST coach in Oakland so he may sneak in the 53. Its not what you know but who you know.. Same for Carpenter. Would rather have Heflin as well. I'm not a big fan of Gute maybe he will disappear next year also...

-11 points
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NJ-RICK's picture

August 28, 2022 at 04:58 pm

I agree Leavitt is to slow, then again he has played for ST coach in Oakland so he may sneak in the 53. Its not what you know but who you know.. Same for Carpenter. Would rather have Heflin as well. I'm not a big fan of Gute maybe he will disappear next year also...

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mnbadger's picture

August 29, 2022 at 12:37 pm

I have Goodson over ARodgers. Better runner, good at running routes, neither is great (yet) at pass pro. Goodson far more upside as a runner and has shown more explosiveness in open field.
Also, I'm still advocating for a trade of Dean Lowery for either a proven safety or TE. Use money for free agents to fill the hole that the trade ignores. I'll keep saying this until final rosters are set, maybe week 3.
GPG!

1 points
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Coldworld's picture

August 28, 2022 at 03:35 pm

Well Al, I can’t argue it’s not close to what I fear may happen. I think it represents several wrong judgements.

I think at S, the miraculous reappearance of Leavitt changes the plan and puts carpenter or Davis on the PS. I’d waive Davis personally, he’s similar but Leavitt is the leader. Since we are there, I don’t keep Fulgham, I keep Hyam. Both block but one is younger and can be an emergency returner. I would not rule out a longer look at Cross in the PS either.

I PS Rhyan and keep C.Jones. Simply on film and durability over Walker. I think Rhyan will pass waivers despite his draft.

I PS Winfree or I’d get rid of Rodgers as not being close to the 6th best receiver. Winfree offers more and Toure is too good to risk and they let him put it on film. The only reason Rodgers has any claim to be here is returns, but I would use Doubs on punts and him and Watson on kicks. So, either Toure and Winfree or Toure and Goodson as a slot option RB. I don’t believe Winfree or Rodgers would be claimed, and, honestly, I don't see either turning a game against us.

Don’t take risks and the risk isn’t draft cost, it’s current ability and future upside and which, if any, you’d least like a divisional rival to line up against you. To me that rules out waiving Toure and Jones and maybe Walker.

Certainly looks like they wanted to make a point on STs by releasing Summers before practice after LaFleur’s comments yesterday.

10 points
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Swisch's picture

August 28, 2022 at 05:49 pm

Coldworld, in keeping with your comment, I earnestly hope the Packers do go beyond draft status, and truly look at the strengths and weaknesses of the individual players.
Perhaps in part because of you, I'm leaning toward Toure over Rodgers and Winfree. None of them are in the top three of our wide receivers, anyway, so take the most talented one for the future (and Toure seems to be learning fast for good service this season, too).
I also hope Goodson will get lots of consideration in comparison to Rodgers. If Rodgers is considered versatile as a receiver who can play some running back, it seems Goodson is a running back who can play receiver -- and Goodson seems more the electric, elusive gamebreaker.
It is hard for me to part with both Rodgers and Winfree if they're claimed by another team. However, tough decisions have to be made. I'm wondering if we can have fewer defensive players on the initial roster of 53 to keep at least one of Rodgers and Winfree.
***
I've argued the aging Cobb to be released as too diminished in athleticism to be a reliable option -- even though I'm a huge fan of his over the years -- but it's well known he has a powerful protector among the players.
If we wanted another wily vet at WR, I'd go for Cole Beasley as a guy who can really move the sticks in key situations -- with 82 receptions each of the past two seasons. He seems obvious to me, but obscure to other fans. Maybe I'm wrong.
If the Packers get another make-or-break moment in the playoffs on offense, wouldn't it be great to have Beasley as an option to keep a drive going, or to get the ball over the end zone?
***
Finally, I'd be glad if Jersey Al would also share his personal preferences for the team -- which I hope he sees as a compliment to him.

2 points
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Tundraboy's picture

August 28, 2022 at 08:40 pm

Yes, I would like to see Jersey Al's list of what he thinks more than this version.

4 points
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mnbadger's picture

August 29, 2022 at 12:43 pm

I hope and don't think this is a cop-out by Jersey Al, but I don't care what JA thinks the front office will do.
This is our only chance to stick our necks out and play arm chair GM before the roster is set. Anybody can do it after the fact. GPG

3 points
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JerseyAl's picture

August 29, 2022 at 01:45 pm

My preference would not be that different. I definitely want Winfree on the team, I've said that here before. Goodson over Taylor for sure. If Leavitt is really that good on special teams, I'd keep him, as long as he was the fifth safety and stash Abernathy or Carpenter on the PS. I'd probably try to keep one more linebacker, like Galeai. That's about it.

1 points
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Guam's picture

August 28, 2022 at 06:10 pm

Unless Gute and most of the draftniks were completely wrong about Rhyan, he won't make the PS if he is cut. Some other team will scoop him up. I understand he has looked lost this preseason, but I assume he was drafted in the third round for good reasons and he will be given another year to demonstrate his draft position. See Rodgers, Amari for a nearly identical situation last year.

Most of your other takes I agree with.

4 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

August 29, 2022 at 02:19 am

I think that PS group is one of the better groups in recent memory. I'd dump Dexter and add Cross to it.

Leavitt makes it and Shawn Davis to the PS.
Toure over Winfree.
7 WRs is enough. None on the PS. (Davis takes that spot.)

PS needs a better TE than Cannella or Mack.
Trade Amari to keep Caleb or Walker.
Release Crosby to generate $2.9M cap savings.
Restructure Lazard to get $2.4M cap savings.

Restructure Lowry to get $3.5M cap savings; OR

Trade Lowry ($5.45M savings) for a player or draft pick. I am uneasy about this. Heflin has taken all of his snaps at DE, and perhaps he can handle the run defense adequately, but probably a downgrade from Lowry, and Heflin has zero pass rush. Means I'd be relying on Reed to bring Lowry's pass rush, and I am not crazy about Reed. He had a good camp, but then IIRC Reed went 0-4 against Runyan. Beat up on the lesser IOL guys..

Sign an OLB in week two with the money. Enagbare might not be ready to be the rotational OLB just yet. Failing a fit at OLB, get a safety. I wouldn't say no to a TE either down the line/later in the year.

2 points
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Swisch's picture

August 29, 2022 at 05:46 am

Release Crosby?
As I understand it, our punter of last season started out booming but then regressed with the winter weather.
I think that lesson from punting applies to kicking.
Crosby has shown over and over and over . . . he's clutch in all weather.
How long have the Bears been trying to replace Robbie Gould? They're probably kicking themselves for that one.

2 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

August 29, 2022 at 08:12 pm

heck, they don't even know if Crosby can kick at all. As far as I can tell, he's kicking beach balls. When will he get his leg strength back, if ever? Will they have to milk his knee every day like a dairy cow due to inflammation?

I don't think Crosby comes off of PUP. If he does, they'd have to keep Ahmed on the PS and elevate him every game until Crosby shows he is fully recovered.

2 points
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mnbadger's picture

August 29, 2022 at 12:47 pm

Agreed with most all of what you said, but I'd trade Lowery and give Heflin a shot. Higher motor, great at run and cutback support. Never stops. I think heflin is more likely to end up on another division opponents' roster than any of our OL not named caleb Jones. GPG

2 points
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splitpea1's picture

August 28, 2022 at 03:43 pm

Probably as accurate as you can get IMHO. I don't see any surprises coming at all. The reserve safety situation has me a little nervous; better hope Amos and Savage continue to be as durable as they have been. Ditto for the OLBs. Difficult decision between P. Taylor and Goodson, but I also think the Packers stick with Taylor. And I hope Coco proves to be more than a short term answer here so we don't have to worry about this spot for a while.

7 points
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Packer_Fan's picture

August 28, 2022 at 04:04 pm

Yup, pretty good list for the 53 man squad and practice squad. Leavitt returned to practice today, so Carpenter or Abernathy will end up on the practice squad. Taylor over Goodson and Winfree over Toure because production over potential. Jones and Walker on PS to develop the potential for a year. Keep Heflin and Slaton on PS too. OLB is the only position of who will be the 4th or 5th kept. No clear cut standout

2 points
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PackfanNY's picture

August 28, 2022 at 04:52 pm

Thanks, Al. Looks as good as any.

I don’t think Toure or Goodson will be picked up so getting them on the PS is not a big deal. With expected injuries they will eventually get the call.

My issue is exposing Walker or Jones. Big men are hard to find. Why are they in love with Hanson? I assume they and others see something I don’t? I also have a feeling you are right about Heflin and I also think he gets picked up. Maybe not immediately but injuries will force another team to pick him up. I can understand losing him as Packers are deep there today. Nothing we can do about that. I also like the kicker Ahmed. He probably showed up a year early. Gotta think he finds a job outside of GB. Too bad for us.

Lastly, I do think the Packers have one or two moves after the 53. I suspect this safety room is going to have a new body from somewhere. An upgrade for depth? Let’s hope so.

-2 points
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Lphill's picture

August 28, 2022 at 04:53 pm

I think they keep 4 OLB 's not 5, walker can rush from the outside so maybe Heflin or Slayton make it.

5 points
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Leatherhead's picture

August 28, 2022 at 05:10 pm

Looks quite a bit like mine, we’d just have different guys who’d be inactive on gameday v on the PS. About 6 differences., so that’s about 90% agreement.

1 points
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stockholder's picture

August 28, 2022 at 05:17 pm

I would take Goodson over Taylor. I get the Blocking. But that can be taught. Either way I believe Andy had it right. Both to PS.
I don't agree on Toure. He will be claimed within the week. Winfree has No Upside. Only a ST.
Your OL matched mine. Couldn't agree more.
Summers was my ST guy. But I can see why they let him go. Nixon can take his place.
I was Wanting [email protected]. But his toe and Poor tackling. Put him on the PS.

3 points
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greenandgoldguy's picture

August 28, 2022 at 05:40 pm

I just like Goodson over Taylor. He runs hard and can take it to the house! The Pack is ready for he Queens, although I had the same thought for game 1 last year :{)

4 points
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GregC's picture

August 28, 2022 at 06:19 pm

I'm thinking that they will keep either Caleb Jones or Rasheed Walker. Others have mentioned the idea of cutting Sean Ryan, which is interesting. He looks like such a project at this point that he does seem unlikely to make another team's roster. But then, all it takes is one team to pick him up, and then you miss out on a chance to develop a player who showed so much potential coming out of college. It depends on what the problem is with him, and I haven't heard anything about that. (Is it his strength? His technique? His football smarts?)

I think they will keep Tipa Galeai over Kobe Jones, if only because I never really noticed Jones on the field during the preseason and heard almost nothing about him in practice. Or maybe they only keep four OLBs. I'm also thinking they only keep four safeties because the depth is so unimpressive there. And maybe only five CBs for the same reason. That's all they need to suit up for games anyway, and they can always rotate practice squad players onto the roster if there are injuries. This would allow them to keep better players like Jack Heflin and Samori Toure.

No apology needed for the article. I've been waiting awhile for an article on this site about the roster. I seldom visit other Packer opinion sites. One is enough.

4 points
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PeteK's picture

August 28, 2022 at 06:39 pm

I haven't seen too many undrafted RBs that can make runs like Goodson did on that TD run. However, I get it, Taylor is the more polished player. Tough to leave Heflin off the team because of his good preseason play, but five DTs is enough. Wyatt's play ,even though preseason, has me a bit disappointed. Maybe he had a uniform mishap and was wearing those funny sneakers with wheels.

4 points
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Fubar's picture

August 28, 2022 at 10:29 pm

I loved that run but then read it was just after KC took the a team off the field and this run was against the scrubs. Before that he ran for minus yardage his 5 other carries. Tayler is 6'3 with speed and size to block and play special teams. There are a million Goodsons out there.

1 points
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NoNonsense's picture

August 29, 2022 at 02:16 am

There was no room to run on the first 2 drives, the blocking was terrible. Then you saw what can happen when the OL makes their blocks, a beauty of a 24 yrd TD run. To me Goodson has Aaron Jones potential, Taylor is maybe Jamal Williams without the swagger if that.

Give me Goodson all day over Taylor, not even close for me. Taylor can go to the PS, he won't be claimed. If they wanna use Taylor 3 times before Kylin Hill is activated fine but don't take the chance of losing Goodson on waivers.

2 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

August 29, 2022 at 08:16 pm

"Then you saw what can happen when the OL makes their blocks...."

What you saw is how much better the Packers OL is against 3rd stringers than against one starter and two second stringers. Check the snaps counts and note when KC pulled their starters and guys who are going to play a lot on a rotational basis.

The correlation is there. Is that the reason (causative) or did the OL just warm up? I think the former.

0 points
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wimiller's picture

August 28, 2022 at 06:52 pm

It would be hard to cut Crosby out for sentimental reasons, but those reasons should not prevent the tough decision to go with Ahmed. Last year Crosby could not kick it far enough into the endzone to save our specious teams from having to cover a kick off and then there are the days in which he just cannot hit anything. perhaps we could blame it on the holder, but.... time for him to retire since it seems our specious teams are again not about to decide to bring down a return man until he reaches about the 40. and I write this with a heavy heart for Crosby is just a class act guy.

4 points
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GregC's picture

August 28, 2022 at 07:32 pm

If they wanted to replace Crosby, the time to do it was much earlier. Hopefully they are right that he has at least one more good season in him. The snappers and the holder really were problems last year, and they should be better this year. Ahmed has looked good, but he only made 14 of 22 field goals in the USFL last year.

I don't worry too much about kickoffs falling short of the end zone. That often works out better anyway. I wish "average starting field position on kickoffs" was a stat that was easy to find, because it's the one that matters most. But I can't find it anywhere. I suspect there is not a lot of variation in that stat from one team to another. If someone can find that stat, maybe they can prove me wrong.

-1 points
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murf7777's picture

August 28, 2022 at 08:29 pm

Al, I agree with everything except I suspect they keep Heflin over Carpenter. I know 6 DL seems like too much, but I think they will play more DL this year and rotate a lot to keep them fresh. I also think a trade with Lowry isn’t out of the question to get better depth at safety, OLB and/or TE. There will be another player joining this team prior to the season starting, either by pick up or trade.

2 points
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Tundraboy's picture

August 28, 2022 at 08:53 pm

Maybe I'm dreaming, but I'd like to see us keep Toure Goodson, Heflin and Walker. I prefer adding some more youthful talent over draft status, especially when I watch at least three to four of these guys making plays that have I waited years to see from other recent drafts.

3 points
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PatrickGB's picture

August 28, 2022 at 09:02 pm

It’s probably pretty much as good a prediction as any. Yet, like a few others, I prefer Toure and Goodson. But it’s the coaches and staff that see more than I do.

2 points
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iamiz's picture

August 28, 2022 at 10:04 pm

It would be sad to see Rhyan make it over Jones or Walker simply based on where he was drafted, not on merit.

4 points
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Fubar's picture

August 28, 2022 at 10:25 pm

Not bad Al not bad.
It was a toss up over toure and Winfree and I choose Toure for speed and youth.
I also choose Taylor over Goodson and agree there are a lot of goodsons out there and I wouldn't put him on the PS.
Matter of fact many of your PS names I would cut and find better talent from other teams. I think we had a week draft and a weeker undrafted selections.
Last for sure they keep Crosby but I feel its time to part ways and say adios thanks for the memories. This team has to give up the loyalty crap and start replacing guys who are mediocre.

-2 points
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Johnblood27's picture

August 28, 2022 at 11:28 pm

its not loyalty crap.

its draft and develop.

sometimes development takes a few years.

patience is a part of draft and development.

3 points
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porupack's picture

August 29, 2022 at 07:10 am

well said, JB

0 points
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Johnblood27's picture

August 29, 2022 at 10:26 pm

Thank you kind sir!

0 points
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Tundraboy's picture

August 29, 2022 at 08:27 am

Sometimes it's both with the Packers.

0 points
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croatpackfan's picture

August 29, 2022 at 02:50 am

My only wish at the moment is to be able to read Jersay Al 53 Packers roster + PS.

I know they are talking about Mason Crosby's reliability, but, my opinion is that he lost his leg strength and that will be more missed opportunities despite new LS and holder. There was some bad snaps and bad kicks too. So not every missed kick was on LS or holder. And Mason had under 20% of his kicks deep in the end zone. I hope I'm wrong, but for me it looks like that! And that is the most important assumption (leg strength) for precision.

1 points
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porupack's picture

August 29, 2022 at 07:13 am

I agree Croat. Losing the leg strength will affect accuracy because a kicker would have to push harder to compensate, and that reduces and changes the fluid kick into a more stressed kick.

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

August 29, 2022 at 07:41 am

I just hope they don’t rush to activate him until they know he’s ready. I’m happy to wait a few weeks for him if he stays on PUP. Perhaps that says more about where I am at on him at this point than I’d really given thought to.

1 points
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ReaganRulz's picture

August 29, 2022 at 07:18 am

These decisions are definitely challenging. Your predictions are the safe route to go which is usually the Packer way. Most fans would like see a little splash too, so it will be interesting if they keep Goodson, Toure, and CJones on the offensive side of the ball.

1 points
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Dragon5's picture

August 29, 2022 at 09:43 am

"It's tough to leave Heflin off this team, but do the Packers really need another run-stuffer after having added Jarran Reed?"

YES!!! Reed tops our roster of most likely to be injured this year, followed by Preston Smith and Rasul Douglas. I'll go on record saying Reed is Gute's Bust of the offseason.

-2 points
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