Eat Up: Packer Nuggets Ahead of the 2024 NFL Draft

Ladies and gentlemen, we've made it. Draft week is finally here. 

The 2024 NFL mock draft SZN is almost a thing of the past as the NFL Draft is set to get underway this week in Detroit, Michigan. The first round is on Thursday, with coverage beginning at 7:00 p.m. CST. The second and third rounds are on Friday, with coverage beginning at 6:00 p.m. CST, and the remaining rounds are on Saturday, with coverage beginning at 11:00 a.m. CST. 

Looking to do some last-minute research? The 2024 CHTV Draft Guide has you covered. 

  • 2024 will be general manager Brian Gutekunst’s seventh draft since taking over at the helm in 2018. 
  • As it stands today, the Packers own 11 total draft picks – No. 25, 41 (via the New York Jets), 58, 88, 91 (via the Buffalo Bills), 126, 169, 202, 219, 219, 245, and 255. 
  • According to Tankathon's Draft Power Rankings, which "assigns a value to every pick in the draft and ranks teams based on the sum of their pick values," Green Bay is currently sixth in the NFL with a value of 972.4. Every team in front of them missed the playoffs and is picking in the top ten of the first round. In other words, this year’s NFL Draft is a golden opportunity for Gutekunst to differentiate the Packers from the other NFC contenders. 
  • One big reason why the Packers are sixth is because they currently have five selections in the top 100. Since the NFL Draft moved to a seven-round format in 1994, the franchise has only had five picks in the top 100 twice: 1995 (five picks in the top 90) and 2006 (five selections in the top 75; LB AJ Hawk, OL Daryn Colledge, and WR Greg Jennings were the team’s first three picks). The NFL expanded to 32 teams in 2002, as pointed out by ESPN’s Rob Demovsky
  • 2024 will mark the fourth time they have owned the 25th overall selection in the first round (1967, QB Don Horn; 1999, DB Antuan Edwards; and 2004, DB Ahmad Carroll). 
  • Other players selected with the 25th overall selection in the first round include: WR Santonio Holmes (2006), LB Jon Beason (2007), QB Tim Tebow (2010), LB Dont'a Hightower (2012), DB Jabril Peppers (2017), WR Marquise "Hollywood" Brown (2019), WR Brandon Aiyuk (2020), RB Travis Etienne (2021), OL Tyler Lindenbaum (2022), and TE Dalton Kincaid (2023). 
  • When Thursday rolls around, will the Packers stand pat at No. 25, or move around the board? Gutekunst traded up in the first round in his first three drafts, which resulted in CB Jaire Alexander in 2018 (27th, 76th, and 186th picks to the Seattle Seahawks for the 18th and 248th picks), S Darnell Savage in 2019 (30th, 114th, and 118th picks to the Seahawks for the 21st pick), and QB Jordan Love in 2020 (30th and 136th picks to the Miami Dolphins for the 26th pick). A pretty good hit rate, if you ask me. Gutekunst originally traded back in the 2018 NFL Draft, swapping the 14th pick (eventually used on edge rusher Marcus Davenport) to the New Orleans Saints for the 27th pick, 147th pick, and a 2019 first round pick. Gutekunst technically moved up in the 2023 NFL Draft, from No. 15 to No. 13, after swapping first-round picks with the New York Jets in the trade for QB Aaron Rodgers, which included other draft compensation. In sum, the Jets drafted edge rusher Will McDonald IV with the 15th overall pick, traded away the 170th pick to the Las Vegas Raiders for No. 204 (CB Jarrick Bernard-Converse) and No. 220 (TE Zack Kuntz), and were gifted with four plays in 2023 from Rodgers. (The number of plays in 2024 is TBD.) Meanwhile, the Packers used the 13th overall pick on DL Lukas Van Ness, drafted TE Luke Musgrave with the 42nd overall selection, drafted K Anders Carlson with the 207th overall selection, and will have No. 41 in this year's draft courtesy of the Jets. I think we can now safely assume Gutekunst is a smart person
  • Sticking with Green Bay draft trades, don’t be surprised to see one on Friday as the Packers have executed trades in the second round in back-to-back years. They traded the 53rd and 59th selections to the Minnesota Vikings for the 34th pick in 2022, selecting WR Christian Watson. Last season, they traded the 45th selection to the Detroit Lions, which the Lions used to select DB Brian Branch, for the 48th and 159th picks. The Packers traded back again, this time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, sending the 48th overall selection to the Bucs in exchange for the 50th and 179th picks. Tampa Bay selected OL Cody Mauch. The total haul for Green Bay: WR Jayden Reed (No. 50), Dontavyion Wicks (No. 159), and DL Karl Brooks (No. 179). *Cue the Larry David “pretty pretty good” GIF*
  • Gutekunst has had a knack for finding starters or key role players in the last two rounds. Those players include, but are not limited to ... Carrington Valentine, who started 12 games last season and appeared in all 17 games, was drafted in the seventh round of the 2023 NFL Draft. Rasheed Walker, who started 15 games at left tackle last season, was drafted in the seventh round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Linebacker Isaiah McDuffie started eight games in 2023, finishing second on the team in total tackles, and was selected in the sixth round of the 2021 NFL Draft. Jon Runyan Jr., who signed a three-year, $30-million deal with the New York Giants during free agency last month and started 50 games for the Packers over the last three seasons, was drafted in the sixth round of the 2020 NFL Draft. And while it is still early, Brooks, who showed flashes throughout his rookie campaign, was selected in the sixth round last year. 
  • Other late-round finds include but are not limited to: OL Zach Tom (4th round, 2022), WR Romeo Doubs (4th round, 2022), WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (5th round, 2018), Wicks (5th round, 2023), and DL Tedarrell Slaton (5th round, 2021). 
  • The Packers’ wide receiver room seems to be filled with talent, but will the organization look to add to it? This year’s class is loaded, and Gutekunst has drafted at least one wide receiver in four of his six drafts.
  • Gutekunst has selected eight players in the first round, a group that has included only one offensive player: Love, the franchise quarterback. The seven other picks have consisted of two cornerbacks (Alexander; Eric Stokes, 2021), two defensive linemen (Van Ness, 2023; Devonte Wyatt, 2022) one safety (Savage, 2019), one linebacker (Quay Walker, 2022), and one edge rusher (Rashan Gary, 2019). And even before Gutekunst's time as general manager, the Packers selected a defensive player in the first round from 2012 to 2016. (Green Bay traded out of the first round in 2017.) That is all a fancy way of saying that the organization has selected one offensive player in the last 11 drafts in which they have had a first-round pick. At least that offensive player is good!
  • The Packers selected three offensive linemen in three consecutive drafts (2020-2022), but zero in 2023. It would not surprise me if 2024 is another draft that features three offensive linemen being taken, given the depth issues they are currently facing. The three linemen selected in the 2022 NFL Draft (Sean Rhyan, Tom, and Walker) could all potentially serve as starters in 2024. 
  • Right on cue, several draft analysts have mocked an offensive lineman to Green Bay in the first round. The last time the franchise selected an offensive lineman in the opening round? 2011, when they picked Derek Sherrod, who started one game in 20 career appearances. 
  • A lot of attention has been paid to the players taking “top 30” visits with the Packers. Every NFL team is allowed 30 official visits with prospects. As of April 18, there have been 24 players that have taken “top 30” visits with the organization, according to Packers Wire six offensive linemen (Amarius Mims, Georgia; Zak Zinter, Michigan; Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma; Giovanni Manu, British Columbia; Tanor Bortolini, Wisconsin; and Donovan Jennings, University of South Florida), four safeties (Kitan Oladapo, Oregon State; Akeem Dent, Florida State; Chris Edmonds, Arizona State; Omar Brown, Nebraska), three cornerbacks (Ja’Quan Sheppard, Maryland; Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama; Jarrian Jones, Florida State), three linebackers (Edgerrin Cooper, Texas A&M; Ty’Ron Hopper, Missouri; Trevin Wallace, Kentucky), three defensive linemen (Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State; Khristian Boyd, Northern Iowa; Maason Smith, LSU), two edge rushers (Austin Booker, Kansas; Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan), one running back (Ray Davis, Kentucky), one wide receiver (Jermaine Burton, Alabama), and one quarterback (Gavin Hardison, UTEP).
  • Wicks, QB Sean Clifford, Brooks, and RB Lew Nichols all came in for a “top 30” visit and were drafted by the Packers in 2023. In 2022, the Packers drafted six players whom they brought in for a "top 30" visit (S Tariq Carpenter, WR Samori Toure, Wyatt, Walker, Watson, and Doubs). In 2021, Green Bay did not draft a single player brought in for a "top 30" visit. 
  • However, just because a player does not have a “top 30” visit with Green Bay does not mean he is off the team's draft board. 

 

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__________________________

Rex is a lifelong Packers fan but was sick of the cold, so he moved to the heart of Cowboys country. Follow him on Twitter (@Sheild92) and Instagram (@rex.sheild). 

__________________________

5 points
 

Comments (23)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
LLCHESTY's picture

April 22, 2024 at 01:13 pm

After seeing who they've taken at 25 in the past I'm almost hoping for trade down but maybe the 4th time would be the charm. Horn did have one Matt Flynn like game starting in place of an injured Starr and was part of a trade that got them John Brockington.

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T7Steve's picture

April 22, 2024 at 01:20 pm

"Top-50 picks by Brian Gutekunst that did NOT 30-visit the #Packers:"

Tis the season of smoke and mirrors.

There are some really good picks that they haven't had a visit with. Some of the other "sure thing" picks might have been weeded out if they had.

I guess with only 30 allowed, you have to be confident in the top of your board so you can sort through the others.

3 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 22, 2024 at 01:28 pm

41.
Byron Murphy II
DT Texas

54.
Zach Frazier
OC West Virginia

71.
Junior Colson
LB Michigan

88.
Jarrian Jones
CB Florida State

91.
Dominick Puni
OG Kansas

104.
Malik Mustapha
S Wake Forest

126.
MarShawn Lloyd
RB USC

138.
Jonah Elliss
EDGE Utah

156.
Javon Foster
OT Missouri

202.
Kimani Vidal
RB Troy

219.
Mark Perry
S TCU

245.
Nathaniel Watson
LB Mississippi State

255.
Nick Gargiulo
OC South Carolina

2025 Cardinals 1st

-2 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 22, 2024 at 02:46 pm

All I can say is that is going out on a limb. I hope for your sake it is not too high. I do not see Gute trading away the first rounder for an extra one next year.

2 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 22, 2024 at 04:01 pm

I picked up a 2nd and 5th round this year too so I think it's worth a gamble that the Cardinals aren't good again.

1 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 22, 2024 at 03:22 pm

I like your overall draft - especially acquiring a 1st for next year's GB Draft-A-Palooza.

Still what seems less likely to me is Byron Murphy @ 41 - giving only a 10% probability that he will fall that far. I think it is more likely that Darius Robinson / Marshawn Kneeland will be available @ 41 - who appear to be 2 players of interest for the Packers.

1 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 22, 2024 at 04:24 pm

Not a fan particularly.

Not on board with Jones (poor tackler with small hands and short arms). Puni, (older, still a project, too early), Vidal (not fast, not particularly physical) or Mustapha (a big play waiting to happen, which way is a lottery).

The rest I could happily live with. However, I interpret Hafley’s comments on what the DL will be doing as making an early DL pick seem a lot less likely.

That said, mine didn’t come out ideally either.

25. Taliese Fuaga
OT | Oregon State

41 Graham Barton
IOL | Duke

64 Cole Bishop
S | Utah

88. Jaylen Wright
RB | Tennessee

95. Cedric Gray
LB | North Carolina

126
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
S | Texas Tech

159. Elijah Jones
CB | Boston College

173
Beaux Limmer
IOL | Arkansas

221
Nathaniel Watson
LB | Mississippi State

245
Trey Taylor
S | Air Force

255
Zion Tupuola-Fetui
EDGE | Washington

-1 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 22, 2024 at 06:36 pm

Wow Fuaga @ 25! The Packers will require assistance from one of the Deities of Good Fortune for this pick. Yet in every draft it seems that some team is blessed.

Graham Barton @ 41 would be great value. Although my guess is that the Packers may have to draft up 5-10 spots to select him.

Cole Bishop. Actually my favorte Safety. Then doubling-up with D. T.-D. @126 - could be dynamic.

Elijah Jones. I liken him to an excellent overage Junior hockey player. Very high floor but lower ceiling. Quite possibly a plug and play CB on Day 1 for Hafley. He fits.

Nathaniel Watson. Not enamored with either Trevin Wallace or Ty'Ron Hopper - so check.

It seems that it's not a Cw mock without Trey Taylor being included. Perhaps your Taylor is my Stiggers.

0 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 22, 2024 at 10:55 pm

Taylor won’t be there then I suspect, but he was and at a position of need that hadn’t been fully addressed. I have taken Stiggers in quite a few mocks, but here it didn’t fall that way. The first two fell beyond expectations. That’s great, but it then skews the other positions somewhat.

1 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

April 22, 2024 at 08:51 pm

Vidal ran a 4.46 at 213 lbs and had a higher score in the 10 yard split vs his overall 40. Not sure how that's not fast.

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 22, 2024 at 11:11 pm

Vidal has burst, but he often struggles to get outside the tackles consistently—he’s better in a straight line. Doesn’t play as fast as he’s timed therefore. A short guy yet seems to lack lateral ability and flexibility. Not as physical as one would wish, has a tendency to hesitate not burst through the hole. He’s got good hands but he’s only used to dump it off in space too, like Amari was in college. Very small target. Not a pick I would make and not the style of pick I’d hope for to best compliment what we have. Probably not vast untapped upside either, he is what he is.

0 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

April 23, 2024 at 02:15 pm

He is explosive and can crack ankles with the cut-back.

0 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

April 24, 2024 at 02:22 pm

That's 13 picks, and doesn't include #25. OP article includes 12, but says GB gets 11.

Pre-draft mania?

0 points
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splitpea1's picture

April 22, 2024 at 01:58 pm

The deluge of defensive capital spent in the first round needs to pay off at some point. Yes, Gute is a very smart man when it comes to offense, but when it comes to the other side of the ball...let's just say the jury is still out. Although there is shared blame with the coaching, since Gute became GM, the Packers are last in EPA per play vs. the run. The edge rushers and pass-rushing DLs are usually more explosive and athletic, but the less sexy jobs of manning the trenches, run containment, and proper tackling shouldn't be relegated to second fiddle when sifting through the prospects.

Looking at the current list of Top 30 visits--yipes (for the most part)! I think I like the no visit list of the Top 50 picks at the end of the article a little better. The rest of those visits didn't seem to yield a whole lot either with the huge exception of Love, and to a lesser extent, MVS.

1 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

April 22, 2024 at 02:48 pm

What is going to happen Thursday night is I will stay up past 11:00 (eastern Time Zone) to see the Packers pick and then I will ask myself why did I do that?

7 points
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x24's picture

April 23, 2024 at 09:11 am

If I manage to stay awake, it assures that they will trade away the pick

1 points
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murf7777's picture

April 22, 2024 at 03:27 pm

Traded down and received 7 picks in first 91.

Here they are:

26 - Cooper Dejean, CB/S Iowa
41 - Tyler Guyton OT Okla
58 - Peyton Wilson LB NC State
63 - Tyler Nubin S Minnesota
83 - Jaylen Wright RB Tennessee
89 - T'Vondre Sweat DL Texas
91 - Dominick Puni, IOL Kansas
126 - Khyree Jackson, CB Oregon
132 - Luke McCaffrey WR Rice
170 - Dylan Laube, RB New Hampshire
190 - Tyron Hopper LB Missouri
219 - Erick All TE Iowa
245 - MJ Devonshire, CB Pittsburgh
255 - Erick Watts, EDGE Uconn

That's 14 players, not sure how realistic these trades are, but fun to give it a try and be a GM for a hour!

1 points
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stockholder's picture

April 22, 2024 at 04:49 pm

26 - CB -GOOD PICK
41- OT - NOT GUYTON - Swap
with Wilson. He will be gone by 58.
58- Frazier, King Sua, Kiran, and Beebe.
It's the OL drop. A 50/50 trade.
Tyler Nubin could be 58,
89 - Sweat has dropped to 125
on Draft TEK - DWI was dumb
91- I like Fisher ND. He can play Lt
But Fisher moves Tom
Luke McCaffrey is getting more attn
He's up to 83.. Ok for the rest.
So Dejean plays S. Or your Lucky to get Nubin.
The Visits at Safety are tipping gute's hand

0 points
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LeotisHarris's picture

April 22, 2024 at 03:58 pm

I never thought we'd live in a world where Ross Unglem could share his feelings about what he thinks people don't understand. What a time to be alive! #blessed

2 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

April 22, 2024 at 04:43 pm

Tender mercies

1 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

April 22, 2024 at 03:58 pm

I think that this is going to be one humdinger of a draft for GB. Not only for the likely high volume of fresh talent coming to GB. But also for a very active draft board by Gutie & Co. - due to the multitude and allocation of GBs 11 picks. That being so, I project at least 3 trades by Gutekunst - including:

A. A 50+% probability that he will trade out of #25 - while more likely down than up. The #25 pick has been historically one of the most traded picks in the 1st round. Plus, in the past, Gutie has not been shy about moving around in the first.
B. A 50% probability that he will either trade-up or down @ 41. With the run on Tier One OTs and CBs likely exhausted at the end of 1st round or near the top of the 2nd. There may be less certainty as to premium draft talent bewteen picks 33 and 50. Thus prompting a potential trade-up/ trade-down scenario.
C. A 80% probability that Gutie will make at least one Day 3 trade. Perhaps nothing as dramatic as a Day 1 or Day 2 trade. But a reach here and a little trade-down there seems very likely.

Should all or most of the above come to fruition - I expect that the Packers will eat extremely well - especially in rounds 2 to 4.

2 points
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Matt's picture

April 22, 2024 at 04:31 pm

Draft can't be soon enough. The one thing is because it is interesting but the most important point is that I am a bit tired of all these analysis. We've already considered everything from every perspective. Who to draft? Who not to draft? Defense or offense. Biggest roster needs. Main draft stars. Hidden gems of the draft. Will Gutekunst trade up? Will he trade down? RAS vs. production. 30 visitis - who will be drafted from this group who will not. Draft needs and prospcets for division rivals... I think I've got enough of considering all possible scenarios when there will be only one that will happen.

Time to focus on the actual draftees and move on.

0 points
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GregC's picture

April 22, 2024 at 05:16 pm

If they use their first three picks on a linebacker, a safety, and an offensive lineman, I'll be feeling pretty good--as long as they are good players of course. They might be able to snag a suitable safety if they wait till the 3rd or even 4th round, but I would much rather see them get that out of the way in the 2nd.

I'm hoping for a defensive playmaker or two. This defense needs a little more pizzazz. They already got Hafley a shiny new toy (Xavier McKinley) in free agency, so maybe they can get him at least one potential big-time player in the draft. Meanwhile, all the offense really needs is to build depth on the O-line and find a future starter at guard or center. As usual, it is the defense that has some gaping holes (linebacker and safety).

2 points
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