Cory's Corner: Rashan Gary Doesn't Stop Working
With a healthy Gary proving everyone wrong, the Packers defense could crack the top 10.
Rahsan Gary’s work ethic should never be questioned again.
Last week, the linebacker was taken off of the Physically Unable to Perform list after only the second week of training camp.
“I’m just taking it day by day, just trying to check off as many boxes as I can,” said Gary, who is entering his fifth pro season this fall. “I’ve been checking them off, I’ve been staying on track and boom it ended up being this time.”
And after he finished up his first practice in nine months, he had a big smile and showcased how much he loves this game.
“It’s a complete honor,” Gary said. “It’s a privilege to be back on the field. My circle, my family, everybody knows what I’ve been putting into this.”
That’s exactly right. I’ll be honest, I wasn’t completely sold when the Packers chose him with the 12th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, but he has continually shown off his work ethic by getting better every season.
Gary was having a monster season with six sacks and 24 pressures before his right knee buckled at Ford Field on Nov. 6. With eight more games, he could’ve flirted with 15 sacks.
“It’s a tremendous loss,” said Packers coach Matt LaFleur last November. “Not only from the production standpoint. He is a guy who competes at the highest level. He’s one of the grittiest guys on this team. The effort he brings on a daily basis will definitely be missed.”
And that’s what Gary is — just a relentless worker. He comes off as an assuming guy, but he has been a grinder that just continues to work and work and work.
It also needs to be said that this is a contract year for Gary. Obviously, when he went down in Detroit last year, question marks went up about how the 25-year-old would be ready for the season and if that injury would cost him money. After judging how much hard work he put into his body to come back in such a short time, it would be smart for the Packers to have an offer ready soon. If he has another monster season, his number is only going to go up.
Granted, there are no guarantees that Gary will be playing in the season opener at Chicago. But I’m not going to bet against Gary. His work ethic and drive are things that are just beyond measure.
“If that is the case, that just tells you how hard my work has been,” said Gary. “And just me staying dedicated, not missing those days and trying to squeeze as much as I can — day in and day out.”
Ever since Gary has been a Packer, he has the epitome of selflessness. He is the shining example of what a leader should be and should be used as an example by the coaches whenever possible. This is a younger team and if these guys need someone to look up to in a league where injuries are commonplace, there’s nobody better than Rashan Gary.
today feels like a great day to extend rashan gary pic.twitter.com/ssUbxF46yR
— CheeseheadTV (@cheeseheadtv) August 6, 2023
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Cory Jennerjohn is a graduate from UW-Oshkosh and has been in sports media for over 15 years. He was a co-host on "Clubhouse Live" and has also done various radio and TV work as well. He has written for newspapers, magazines and websites. He currently is a columnist for CHTV and also does various podcasts. He recently earned his Masters degree from the University of Iowa. He can be found on Twitter: @Coryjennerjohn
Comments (36)
Lphill
August 15, 2023 at 06:34 am
great news I just hope they don't rush him back too soon we need him for the long haul .
TKWorldWide
August 15, 2023 at 07:40 am
I think we can be confident that GB will take a very cautious approach. They always do!
Coldworld
August 15, 2023 at 10:57 am
It’s not so much the team, as others have noted, we trend to caution further than most, it’s the expectations and role. I think Gary is going to want to go all out from the outset. I think many fans expect that. That’s not always successful coming off an ACL: it takes time to become the same player. I’d like to see him phased in and managed not just in terms of snaps but in terms if task. That means not expecting him to light things up, just to make us better in certain areas initially.
greengold
August 15, 2023 at 11:15 am
Exactly. Everyone here knows Rashan Gary is ALL OUT! He gives 100%.
From my perspective, the team would be best served with a mindset of trying to protect Rashan Gary from himself in terms of when he returns to action.
Savage57
August 15, 2023 at 06:49 am
A week 3 or 4 return seems to tie with their timeline for taking him off the PUP list.
Since this is the year going into his money contract, Handle With Care.
greengold
August 15, 2023 at 07:09 am
That was exactly my thought bubble!
I’m very curious to see how they extend him. Do they do so now? Are they going to wait for some proof on the field? That may make an extension more expensive and less possible.
Savage57
August 15, 2023 at 07:35 am
My guess is they're going to wait a bit, see what they see, and then move forward or not.
At least that's what I hope. The Packers don't need another Nick PIRry.
Since'61
August 15, 2023 at 08:29 am
Savage57 - we agree. As I've posted previously I would be fine if Gary returns after the bye week. Regardless of when he returns I want the Packers and Gary to be sure that he is at 100%.
I supported the pick at the time and I've commented that he would become a force on the Packers defense. He was reaching that point when he went down last season. I just want to see him return where he left off when he returns. Thanks, Since '61
greengold
August 15, 2023 at 08:44 am
It’s a ton of cash we’re talking about here. That’s the crux of the biscuit.
The Packers may be re-thinking the fiscal part of today’s NFL, given their crash course on what not to do.
QB1s getting extensions past 12 years of service might be one example. Top $$$ extensions to underperforming Top picks might be another (Savage, Dillon). Injury/value return possibly another (Gary). Etc.
If we pay out Gary, Dillon & Savage, what will that leave us for a Top FA? Or extending a bunch of other rising young stars? Are we back to a “square 1” kind of cap hell?
It’s worth prudent consideration.
T7Steve
August 15, 2023 at 09:37 am
That's one of the problems with having so many draft picks in the early rounds. They're going to all have to be delt with at the same time. If you want the best players to play their best, you have to pay them eventually. You can't rely on replacing them with new draft picks.
I hope they have it all figured out, because they knew this was going to happen.
Since'61
August 15, 2023 at 09:40 am
gg, if Gary has a big season in 2023 you are correct, the Packers will be looking at a ton of cash. I also think that Gary will at least check out the FA market just to see what kind of offers he receives.
If he sees that Love can lead the Packers to. an SB similar to Reggie White in '92 when he played against Favre he might decide to stick with the Packers. It becomes a matter of the $$$$ plus what motivates Gary. Does he want to play with a contender, does he want a warm climate team, does he want to remain a Packer, how much will his agent influence his decisions? It's impossible to know at this point.
Based on where we are at today, I would not pay out for Savage or Dillon unless they have huge seasons for the Packers. Dillon maybe but not Savage. What happens with Dillon is also a matter of whether the Packers decide to retain Jones.
There are definitely numerous issues with each decision. However, let the season play out first and then go from there. One play, one game, one season at a time. 2024 will take care of itself when it gets here and it will be here sooner than we know it. Thanks, Since '61
Coldworld
August 15, 2023 at 07:21 pm
There are ways to share risk and upside. Escalators based on achievable metrics if healthy/living up to contract coupled with guaranteed elements. This deal can be fair to both side if both are reasonable even if the final recovery of form is still not yet confirmed. More complex yes, but doable.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 09:42 am
GG,
GBP have hired a specialist to tend to the salary cap, I'm certainly not going to think my shoot from the hip guesstimates are anywhere near accurate. I'm just going to state blatantly obvious things like $20MM / year is a LOT of money, and if star players have the latitude to play for that "little" instead of approaching 20% of the whole team's cap, that makes the whole team better. #52 is one of the best examples of "draft and develop" currently in GB, it would be a shame to do all that for the benefit of some other franchise. We can only hope LVN develops so well; further, we shouldn't be surprised or disappointed that he doesn't appear about to take the league by storm. Fortunately we have depth at edge.
#28 needs blockers to run behind, I still put that mostly on our O line. (And coaches) He's the right tool for very different jobs than #33 and I think he should be evaluated on that basis. Run straight ahead on third and short, punishing anybody who dares try to interfere. His conversion rate is a WAY more valid indicator of success rather than 1,000 yards rushing, just as one example. Our two headed monster probably comes in cheaper than any other stars?
No way can we afford a top FA next year either. Guys like 52 and 28 are worth building the team around IMHO. My gut feeling is maybe we could afford a FA by 2025, but keeping known greats already on the team should probably be a higher priority? I tend to think if anybody can come back from an ACL, #52 can. And yet his position requires such mobility and speed that it might take a full season or more?
mnbadger
August 15, 2023 at 09:32 pm
I'm not convinced that 28 should be included in the conversation as other "greats".
He's been a good player, not sure he's lived up to 2nd round draft position yet. We'll know more about 2nd GBPkr contract by mid year, but not a great.
GPG!
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 09:25 am
61, you put an interesting perspective on this: at 277#, Gary's our biggest LB. If he was only just becoming a force for our defense in his fourth year, this says something about LVN in his first year as our second biggest LB at 273#.
It's almost like rookie contracts are cheaper for a reason.
jannesbjornson
August 15, 2023 at 03:43 pm
Then they would have left him on the PUP. He must have some solid feedback coming from the orthopedic guys.
marpag1
August 15, 2023 at 08:33 am
I hated the Gary pick when it was made, and I said so many times. And this, you see, is because I'm kinda stupid. So kudos to Rashan for making that clear to the world.
That said, we need to be careful here. It is not exactly straight-line logic (or necessarily even true) to say, "Rashan came back very quickly, therefore we know he is a hard worker." The extent of the injury, the skill of the surgeon and the natural healing ability of the player are all obvious factors that don't really involve hard work. More than that, perhaps the most important thing to ACL recovery is that players DON'T push and work too hard for at least the first 3 months or so. You just need time to heal, and "hard work" - despite the good intentions - can often do more harm than good.
Furthermore, we don't really know if Rashan is truly "back" or not, or if he will ever be the same. ACL tears are not the career enders that they used to be, but people act as if a full recovery is some sort of guarantee now. Obviously, I hope that Rashan comes back better than ever, but let me just drop something here to keep expectations under control. Consider the results of the following study published via the National Institutes of Health ( https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35284583/ )
From the abstract: "312 NFL players were included in this study, and 174 (55.8%) returned to play. Of the eligible players, only 28.5% (n = 59/207) remained in the league 3 years postinjury. Within the first 3 years postinjury, players played in fewer games (8.7 vs 13.7; P < .0001), started in fewer games (3.0 vs 8.3; P < .0001), had lower AVs (1.5 vs 4.3; P < .0001), and had decreased snap counts (259.0 vs 619.0; P < .0001) compared with preinjury. Quarterbacks were most likely to return to play (92.9% vs 53.7%; P = .0040) and to return to performance (2% vs 50% decrease in AV; P = .0165) compared with the other positions. Running backs had the largest decrease in AV (90.5%), followed by defensive linemen (76.2%) and linebackers (62.5%)."
porupack
August 15, 2023 at 08:47 am
Good post marpag, I like your pragmatic response to the idea that early recovery is attributable to work ethic. Yes, and no. Rehab certainly is hard work and it does certainly contribute to recovery, but as you say, there are other factors.
Your analysis is interesting. I do point out that injuries are more likely to occur statistically the longer one is in the league, thus if the average player is in the league 3 years ( I think I read this previously), then already the years post injury are likely to have the normal decline trajectories. So that skews the stats a bit, but I still like your point that we should not have irrational exuberance about "Gary is Back". Good post
MooPack
August 15, 2023 at 08:55 am
Thanks for looking that up. Hardest reality is accepting the reality. Hope he makes the percentage of the few. Bakhtiari would be a case in point of coming back before his body was ready and he will never be the same. Gary is younger so he has that advantage.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 09:59 am
I think your judgment on Bakh is premature; we don't know he'll never be the same, and we don't know he came back before he was ready. Both are speculation, that might prove true or false.
Coldworld
August 15, 2023 at 11:00 am
He was pretty close to the same last year. What we may never know is how often he can be out there and how long he will hold up is just as unclear. His problem appears to be uncertain durability and longevity.
CheesedDeadHead
August 15, 2023 at 09:32 am
"Consider the results of the following study published via the National Institutes of Health ( https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35284583/ )"
I'm sorry, but that's a horrible study that was published in the Orthopedics Journal of Sports Medicine (Not the NIH) - a niche journal for sports medicine. Some major issues are they don't adjust for age, they don't compare their study set to players of the same age/position for career paths. Any time you are presenting a before/after study you need to look at a matched or similar population and control for age and other factors. Very poor methodology that leads to bad info.
If you want a study that has much smaller study set (n=29), but compares the athletes undergoing procedures to matched controls (players at similar position, age, no ACL) see the following study in the American Journal of Sports Medicine:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19875359/
They found "Isolated ACL surgery did not significantly reduce the length of career in years or games played. " using players from 1998-2010.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 10:03 am
CDH, thank you for the counterpoint. Horrible research in the field of medicine abounds! Critical thinking is essential when reading it, and you give a good example of that. I'll point out that since the study term, both surgery and rehab has only improved so we should expect results to be better now. By some undefined amount.
Coldworld
August 15, 2023 at 11:03 am
Bakh’s injury was not certainly not isolated though. In addition to subsequent complications, the ACL seemingly was not the only tissue damaged.
marpag1
August 15, 2023 at 11:04 am
Fair enough, CDH. I have no desire to joust over research papers that I haven't even carefully studied. I'd just point out that someone might easily make the case that the very low study set, which you yourself seem to acknowledge as a weakness, makes that research pretty vulnerable to the same "horrible study" charge that you've made against the other one. And to be honest, comparing pre-injury performance with post-injury performance may not be the data that you most wanted to see, but that doesn't invalidate the data, either.
When I said that the study was "via" NIH, I simply meant that it could be found on their website, as you can see from the nih.gov domain. If you're saying that studies in the Orthopedics Journal of Sports Medicine are less reliable than studies in the American Journal of Sports Medicine, you are free to make that case, but I don't think you have yet.
My point is that we cannot just assume that Gary will come back as strong as ever. Do you dispute that?
marpag1
August 15, 2023 at 11:39 am
Forgot to add: If you're looking for matched controls, try this study, which arrived at a very different conclusion from the one you cited. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28467122/ You'll have to add the https://
Approximately 74% (28/38) of athletes who underwent ACLR returned to play at least 1 NFL game, and 61% (23/38) successfully returned to play at least half a season (ie, 8 games). Athletes in the ACLR group who returned retired from the NFL significantly sooner and more often after surgery than their matched controls. In the seasons leading up to their injury, athletes who successfully returned to play started a greater percentage of their games (81%) and made more solo tackles per game (3.44 ± 1.47) compared with athletes in the ACLR group who did not return to play (54% and 1.82 ± 1.17, respectively) and compared with healthy control players (52% and 1.77 ± 1.19, respectively). After the season of surgery, athletes in the ACLR group who returned to play decreased to 57% games started and 2.38 ± 1.24 solo tackles per game, while their matched controls suffered no significant decreases.
CheesedDeadHead
August 15, 2023 at 05:47 pm
"Fair enough, CDH. I have no desire to joust over research papers that I haven't even carefully studied."
I'm not going to defend any of these studies as they all have issues. Personally I have avoided small studies for most of my career because they are, to put it politely, absolute crap because they end up not adding to our knowledge. I had a colleague who would publish similar studies with health outcomes on 30-50 people and nothing held up when large numbers were eventually analyzed.
"When I said that the study was "via" NIH, I simply meant that it could be found on their website, as you can see from the nih.gov domain."
I just wanted to point out that it isn't a NIH study or sponsored by the NIH. For those who don't know, the National Library of Medicine which is part of the National Center for Biotechnology Information maintains the Pubmed database, which is a collection of all the published papers on medical research (mostly in English) from a vast majority of Scientific Journals. The NIH provides funding for the database and the necessary computing resources for anyone to access. Many Scientific Journals allow full access to the entire paper where you can see clearly how they designed their study and more of the raw results that go into the abstract, while others require you or your institution to pay for access. Without looking I think most of the sports medicine journals require a subsription/payment.
"My point is that we cannot just assume that Gary will come back as strong as ever. Do you dispute that?"
The only person with any reasonable information about his recovery chances is the surgeon who performed his procedure. (Having distinct injuries makes this type of analysis even harder). If it was a clean ACL tear with minimal neighboring damage then I would say he has a better than 50/50 chance of returning to pre-surgery performance. One factor supporting a clean surgery is that he is back so quickly. We saw with Bakh that his extended return was due to a host of issues that needed to be addressed with additional procedures to clean up his knee. It's best not to assume anything as I think we all would be wrong based on Bahk and Jenkins pathways back from ACL. I don't dispute that there is still a significant chance that Gary doesn't regain his performance level from pre-surgery. I'm encouraged, with the little data that we have, that the difference might not be that much. But what do I know, I thought Amari Rodgers tape from Clemson looked fantastic.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 09:56 am
More and more, Doctors are recognizing that physical therapy beginning immediately after surgery is essential to regaining joint mobility and normal use. This is true of all sorts of injuries and a standard thing for a PT to tell a new patient is "you're going to hate me." This is because proper PT hurts like hell and is exhausting.
#52 demonstrated impeccable work ethic for years before his injury, and probably refined that further through the crucible of this potential career ender. Yet he's not back 100%, no way. Hopefully he is someday.
This all highlights Friday's injury to #84, and Bakh's concern about artificial turf. How many ACL injuries has just this team suffered? It would be interesting to plot a graph over say 20 years, with different variables. It might show that turf vs grass is the biggest factor, but it also might show sheer body weight is. Or some combination of height and weight. Or position?
I still consider linemen over 6'6 to sorta be an experiment. We have 4, and only one has ever played a regular season down. They might prove dominant, or we might discover an upper limit. Here's hoping Nijman stays injury-free ...
porupack
August 15, 2023 at 08:35 am
Well said, Cory. Glad you admitted your initial assessment as wrong, and glad for your accolades. He is deserving. A Mike Danials +. I loved Danials. Gary is worth locking up sooner than later.
>>>>It would be smart for the Packers to have an offer ready soon. If he has another monster season, his number is only going to go up. <<<<<
Fully Agree. Great article.
ricky
August 15, 2023 at 08:36 am
My only concern is that he might be trying to come back too quickly, and could re-injure the knee more severely. Or, he could do great and never be injured again. A snap count for him at the start of the year might be a good idea. Whatever, the coaches and trainers/doctors will make that decision.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 10:05 am
Fortunately we have some depth at the position. The team shouldn't have any need to pressure him into more than he can do.
lou
August 15, 2023 at 09:09 am
The recovery from ACL's rally varies as we have seen with our LT who lost almost 2 seasons and with our former RT (Bulaga) who came back quickly twice so no one can be certain when Gary will be available. What we do know is the Packers pass rush fell off the charts when he went down last season. I dread seeing him on the field in the opener because of the poor condition of Soldier's Field year after year and still remember Eddie Lee Ivery tearing his ACL there in back to back seasons, he would have been a great one in healthy.
SicSemperTyrannis
August 15, 2023 at 10:07 am
Excellent point, Lou. Fortunately this is something that coaches don't have to decide. They rely on medical staff. Who are anything but perfect.
greengold
August 15, 2023 at 11:35 am
You know it, lou!!! Gary should be protected by our staff for a while longer to insure his best outcome in healing, while avoiding as much risk as possible.
The biggest concern with Gary, in my eyes, is his game is built on SPEED & TORQUE. The Packers should want the healthiest timeline possible in order to resume that level of play. I don't believe Week 1 fits that, personally, nor do the substandard conditions of Chicago's municipally run & maintained field.
stockholder
August 15, 2023 at 10:31 am
I still would Franchise Gary.
I get you never have enough Rushers.
But with the injury, and a OLB that weighs 278.
His roll will regress. Even if his back holds up.
Nick Perry and Arron Kampman did.
And if you're looking at a OLB player.
Then Gutey should have taken Burns.
Because he will be in the Hall of Fame.
And Gary won't be. Sure we need him.
But is Gary worth the $$$ "down the road".
You pay a Reggie White. Is Gary?
vin0770
August 16, 2023 at 01:13 pm
What a great role model for anyone new looking around wondering what it means to be a professional footballer for this young team! Thanks Rashan 👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼